Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL8
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 118
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
505 PM CDT SUN APR 5 2009
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL ALABAMA
WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST GEORGIA
EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND MONDAY MORNING FROM 505 PM
UNTIL 100 AM CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 90 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 50 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
EVERGREEN ALABAMA TO 15 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF LA GRANGE
GEORGIA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 117...
DISCUSSION...TSTMS EXPECTED TO INCREASE OVER S CNTRL AL DURING THE
NEXT FEW HOURS AS SLOW DESTABILIZATION CONTINUES IN WAKE OF EARLIER
ELEVATED STORMS...AND E OF ACCELERATING COLD FRONT/PRE-FRONTAL
TROUGHS NOW INVOF THE MS/AL BORDER. GRADUALLY STRENGTHENING DEEP
SHEAR...RICH LOW LVL MOISTURE...AND INCREASING LARGE SCALE UVV
TOGETHER SUGGEST POTENTIAL FOR A FEW SUSTAINED STORMS/SUPERCELLS.
THESE WILL POSE A THREAT FOR LARGE HAIL/HIGH WIND...AND...ESPECIALLY
NEAR OUTFLOW BOUNDARY LEFT BY EARLIER STORMS /REF MCD
401/...TORNADOES.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26035.
...CORFIDI
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW8
WW 118 TORNADO AL GA 052205Z - 060600Z
AXIS..90 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
50SE GZH/EVERGREEN AL/ - 15WNW LGC/LA GRANGE GA/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 80NM E/W /13ENE CEW - 5WNW LGC/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26035.
LAT...LON 30898795 33068686 33068375 30898493
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU8.
Watch 118 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 118
VALID 060335Z - 060440Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 NW PNS TO
30 WSW GZH TO 15 W MGM TO 35 WNW AUO TO 20 NW LGC.
..JEWELL..04/06/09
ATTN...WFO...BMX...MOB...TAE...FFC...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 118
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC005-011-013-031-035-039-041-045-053-061-067-069-081-085-087-
101-109-113-060440-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBOUR BULLOCK BUTLER
COFFEE CONECUH COVINGTON
CRENSHAW DALE ESCAMBIA
GENEVA HENRY HOUSTON
LEE LOWNDES MACON
MONTGOMERY PIKE RUSSELL
$$
GAC037-053-061-099-145-197-199-201-215-239-243-259-263-273-285-
307-060440-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CALHOUN CHATTAHOOCHEE CLAY
EARLY HARRIS MARION
MERIWETHER MILLER MUSCOGEE
QUITMAN RANDOLPH STEWART
TALBOT TERRELL TROUP
WEBSTER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 118
VALID 060150Z - 060240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..JEWELL..04/06/09
ATTN...WFO...BMX...MOB...TAE...FFC...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 118
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC001-005-011-013-017-021-031-035-037-039-041-045-047-051-053-
061-067-069-081-085-087-099-101-109-113-123-131-060240-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AUTAUGA BARBOUR BULLOCK
BUTLER CHAMBERS CHILTON
COFFEE CONECUH COOSA
COVINGTON CRENSHAW DALE
DALLAS ELMORE ESCAMBIA
GENEVA HENRY HOUSTON
LEE LOWNDES MACON
MONROE MONTGOMERY PIKE
RUSSELL TALLAPOOSA WILCOX
$$
GAC037-053-061-099-145-197-199-201-215-239-243-259-263-273-285-
307-060240-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CALHOUN CHATTAHOOCHEE CLAY
EARLY HARRIS MARION
MERIWETHER MILLER MUSCOGEE
QUITMAN RANDOLPH STEWART
TALBOT TERRELL TROUP
WEBSTER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 118
VALID 060045Z - 060140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..JEWELL..04/06/09
ATTN...WFO...BMX...MOB...TAE...FFC...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 118
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC001-005-011-013-017-021-031-035-037-039-041-045-047-051-053-
061-067-069-081-085-087-099-101-109-113-123-131-060140-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AUTAUGA BARBOUR BULLOCK
BUTLER CHAMBERS CHILTON
COFFEE CONECUH COOSA
COVINGTON CRENSHAW DALE
DALLAS ELMORE ESCAMBIA
GENEVA HENRY HOUSTON
LEE LOWNDES MACON
MONROE MONTGOMERY PIKE
RUSSELL TALLAPOOSA WILCOX
$$
GAC037-053-061-099-145-197-199-201-215-239-243-259-263-273-285-
307-060140-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CALHOUN CHATTAHOOCHEE CLAY
EARLY HARRIS MARION
MERIWETHER MILLER MUSCOGEE
QUITMAN RANDOLPH STEWART
TALBOT TERRELL TROUP
WEBSTER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 118
VALID 052345Z - 060040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..CORFIDI..04/05/09
ATTN...WFO...BMX...MOB...TAE...FFC...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 118
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC001-005-011-013-017-021-031-035-037-039-041-045-047-051-053-
061-067-069-081-085-087-099-101-109-113-123-131-060040-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AUTAUGA BARBOUR BULLOCK
BUTLER CHAMBERS CHILTON
COFFEE CONECUH COOSA
COVINGTON CRENSHAW DALE
DALLAS ELMORE ESCAMBIA
GENEVA HENRY HOUSTON
LEE LOWNDES MACON
MONROE MONTGOMERY PIKE
RUSSELL TALLAPOOSA WILCOX
$$
GAC037-053-061-099-145-197-199-201-215-239-243-259-263-273-285-
307-060040-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CALHOUN CHATTAHOOCHEE CLAY
EARLY HARRIS MARION
MERIWETHER MILLER MUSCOGEE
QUITMAN RANDOLPH STEWART
TALBOT TERRELL TROUP
WEBSTER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (10%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.