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The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL9
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 119
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
955 PM CDT WED APR 17 2013
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
A SMALL PART OF WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS
EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS
SOUTHWEST...CENTRAL...AND NORTHEAST MISSOURI
* EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY MORNING FROM 955 PM
UNTIL 500 AM CDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
SEVERAL TORNADOES POSSIBLE
SEVERAL DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
A FEW LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 90 MILES NORTHEAST OF COLUMBIA
MISSOURI TO 15 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF GROVE OKLAHOMA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...THIS TORNADO WATCH REPLACES TORNADO
WATCH NUMBER 114. WATCH NUMBER 114 WILL NOT BE IN EFFECT AFTER
955 PM CDT. CONTINUE...WW 116...WW 117...WW 118...
DISCUSSION...CONVECTION ALONG COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO CONSOLIDATE
INTO A MORE SOLID SQUALL LINE OVERNIGHT AS A WEAK SURFACE WAVE
GRADUALLY FORMS ACROSS CENTRAL MO. THOUGH THE BOUNDARY LAYER WILL
STABILIZE GRADUALLY OVERNIGHT...THE PRESENCE OF LOW 60S DEW POINTS
WILL MAINTAIN SURFACE-BASED STORMS. MEANWHILE...THE LLJ WILL
CONTINUE TO STRENGTHEN...RESULTING IN STRONG LOW-LEVEL SHEAR AND AN
ATTENDANT RISK FOR EMBEDDED CIRCULATIONS WITH A COUPLE OF TORNADOES.
OTHERWISE...DAMAGING WINDS AND ISOLATED/MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL WILL
BE POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGER STORMS OVERNIGHT.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 22040.
...THOMPSON
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW9
WW 119 TORNADO IL KS MO 180255Z - 181000Z
AXIS..60 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
90NE COU/COLUMBIA MO/ - 15ESE GMJ/GROVE OK/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM E/W /14ESE UIN - 24NW RZC/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 22040.
REPLACES WW 114..IL KS MO
LAT...LON 39728988 36529341 36529556 39729215
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU9.
Watch 119 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 119
VALID 180735Z - 180840Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 WSW GMJ
TO 10 NNW JLN TO 40 N JLN.
..BROYLES..04/18/13
ATTN...WFO...LSX...SGF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 119
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC001-009-149-180840-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS BROWN PIKE
$$
MOC007-009-011-015-019-027-029-039-043-051-057-059-073-077-085-
097-105-109-111-113-119-125-127-131-135-137-139-141-145-151-163-
167-169-173-185-205-209-217-219-225-180840-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AUDRAIN BARRY BARTON
BENTON BOONE CALLAWAY
CAMDEN CEDAR CHRISTIAN
COLE DADE DALLAS
GASCONADE GREENE HICKORY
JASPER LACLEDE LAWRENCE
LEWIS LINCOLN MCDONALD
MARIES MARION MILLER
MONITEAU MONROE MONTGOMERY
MORGAN NEWTON OSAGE
PIKE POLK PULASKI
RALLS ST. CLAIR SHELBY
STONE VERNON WARREN
WEBSTER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 119
VALID 180545Z - 180640Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..BROYLES..04/18/13
ATTN...WFO...LSX...SGF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 119
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC001-009-149-180640-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS BROWN PIKE
$$
KSC011-021-037-180640-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOURBON CHEROKEE CRAWFORD
$$
MOC007-009-011-015-019-027-029-039-043-051-057-059-073-077-085-
097-105-109-111-113-119-125-127-131-135-137-139-141-145-151-163-
167-169-173-185-205-209-217-219-225-180640-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AUDRAIN BARRY BARTON
BENTON BOONE CALLAWAY
CAMDEN CEDAR CHRISTIAN
COLE DADE DALLAS
GASCONADE GREENE HICKORY
JASPER LACLEDE LAWRENCE
LEWIS LINCOLN MCDONALD
MARIES MARION MILLER
MONITEAU MONROE MONTGOMERY
MORGAN NEWTON OSAGE
PIKE POLK PULASKI
RALLS ST. CLAIR SHELBY
STONE VERNON WARREN
WEBSTER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 119
VALID 180450Z - 180540Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 513
..COHEN..04/18/13
ATTN...WFO...LSX...SGF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 119
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC001-009-149-180540-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS BROWN PIKE
$$
KSC011-021-037-180540-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOURBON CHEROKEE CRAWFORD
$$
MOC007-009-011-015-019-027-029-039-043-051-057-059-073-077-085-
097-105-109-111-113-119-125-127-131-135-137-139-141-145-151-163-
167-169-173-185-205-209-217-219-225-180540-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AUDRAIN BARRY BARTON
BENTON BOONE CALLAWAY
CAMDEN CEDAR CHRISTIAN
COLE DADE DALLAS
GASCONADE GREENE HICKORY
JASPER LACLEDE LAWRENCE
LEWIS LINCOLN MCDONALD
MARIES MARION MILLER
MONITEAU MONROE MONTGOMERY
MORGAN NEWTON OSAGE
PIKE POLK PULASKI
RALLS ST. CLAIR SHELBY
STONE VERNON WARREN
WEBSTER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 119
VALID 180355Z - 180440Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..COHEN..04/18/13
ATTN...WFO...LSX...SGF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 119
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC001-009-149-180440-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS BROWN PIKE
$$
KSC011-021-037-180440-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOURBON CHEROKEE CRAWFORD
$$
MOC007-009-011-015-019-027-029-039-043-051-057-059-073-077-085-
097-105-109-111-113-119-125-127-131-135-137-139-141-145-151-163-
167-169-173-185-205-209-217-219-225-180440-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AUDRAIN BARRY BARTON
BENTON BOONE CALLAWAY
CAMDEN CEDAR CHRISTIAN
COLE DADE DALLAS
GASCONADE GREENE HICKORY
JASPER LACLEDE LAWRENCE
LEWIS LINCOLN MCDONALD
MARIES MARION MILLER
MONITEAU MONROE MONTGOMERY
MORGAN NEWTON OSAGE
PIKE POLK PULASKI
RALLS ST. CLAIR SHELBY
STONE VERNON WARREN
WEBSTER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (<5%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.