Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL9
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 119
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
635 PM EDT SUN APR 5 2009
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHERN AND EASTERN INDIANA
CENTRAL KENTUCKY
SOUTHWEST OHIO
NORTHERN MIDDLE TENNESSEE
EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING FROM 635 PM UNTIL
100 AM EDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS
TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 85 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 5 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF
NASHVILLE TENNESSEE TO 40 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF COLUMBUS OHIO.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 117...WW 118...
DISCUSSION...BROKEN SHORT BANDS OF TSTMS EXPECTED TO PERSIST IN WARM
SECTOR OF DEEPENING SFC LOW NOW CENTERED NEAR SDF. STORMS MAY
BECOME MORE NUMEROUS AND POSSIBLY STRENGTHEN AS ASSOCIATED UPR VORT
NOW NEAR STL ACCELERATES ENEWD. SPARSE MOISTURE WILL LIMIT
CAPE...BUT RELATIVELY STEEP LOW TO MID LVL LAPSE
RATES...CONVERGENCE...AND STRONG LARGE SCALE UVV WILL BE PRESENT TO
FOSTER DEVELOPMENT. WHILE DMGG WIND SHOULD BE PRIMARY THREAT AS 700
MB FLOW INCREASES TO AROUND 60 KTS...ISOLD TORNADOES MAY OCCUR NEAR
LINE BREAKS AND/OR IN AREA OF BACKED LOW LVL FLOW ALONG SRN OH WARM
FRONT.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 400.
MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 22045.
...CORFIDI
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW9
WW 119 TORNADO IN KY OH TN 052235Z - 060500Z
AXIS..85 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
5WSW BNA/NASHVILLE TN/ - 40WNW CMH/COLUMBUS OH/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 75NM E/W /5WSW BNA - 21E ROD/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1 INCH. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 400. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 22045.
LAT...LON 36098829 40208519 40208197 36098523
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU9.
Watch 119 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 119
VALID 060255Z - 060340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..SPC..04/06/09
ATTN...WFO...IND...LMK...ILN...OHX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 119
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TNC035-049-133-137-141-175-185-060340-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CUMBERLAND FENTRESS OVERTON
PICKETT PUTNAM VAN BUREN
WHITE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 119
VALID 060145Z - 060240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 E BNA TO
45 ESE BWG TO 35 NW LOZ TO 15 NNE CMH.
..SPC..04/06/09
ATTN...WFO...IND...LMK...ILN...OHX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 119
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KYC001-017-045-049-053-057-079-135-137-151-161-171-181-207-
060240-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR BOURBON CASEY
CLARK CLINTON CUMBERLAND
GARRARD LEWIS LINCOLN
MADISON MASON MONROE
NICHOLAS RUSSELL
$$
OHC001-045-073-129-131-141-145-060240-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS FAIRFIELD HOCKING
PICKAWAY PIKE ROSS
SCIOTO
$$
TNC003-015-027-031-035-041-049-061-087-111-133-137-141-149-159-
175-177-185-189-060240-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEDFORD CANNON CLAY
COFFEE CUMBERLAND DEKALB
FENTRESS GRUNDY JACKSON
MACON OVERTON PICKETT
PUTNAM RUTHERFORD SMITH
VAN BUREN WARREN WHITE
WILSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 119
VALID 060055Z - 060140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM BNA TO 15 NE
LEX TO 25 ESE LUK TO 25 NNE DAY.
..SPC..04/06/09
ATTN...WFO...IND...LMK...ILN...OHX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 119
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KYC001-003-009-017-021-023-045-049-053-057-067-079-087-097-113-
135-137-151-155-161-167-169-171-181-201-207-217-060140-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR ALLEN BARREN
BOURBON BOYLE BRACKEN
CASEY CLARK CLINTON
CUMBERLAND FAYETTE GARRARD
GREEN HARRISON JESSAMINE
LEWIS LINCOLN MADISON
MARION MASON MERCER
METCALFE MONROE NICHOLAS
ROBERTSON RUSSELL TAYLOR
$$
OHC001-015-021-023-027-041-045-047-049-057-071-073-089-097-129-
131-141-145-159-060140-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS BROWN CHAMPAIGN
CLARK CLINTON DELAWARE
FAIRFIELD FAYETTE FRANKLIN
GREENE HIGHLAND HOCKING
LICKING MADISON PICKAWAY
PIKE ROSS SCIOTO
UNION
$$
TNC003-015-027-031-035-041-049-055-061-087-111-117-119-133-137-
141-149-159-165-169-175-177-185-187-189-060140-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEDFORD CANNON CLAY
COFFEE CUMBERLAND DEKALB
FENTRESS GILES GRUNDY
JACKSON MACON MARSHALL
MAURY OVERTON PICKETT
PUTNAM RUTHERFORD SMITH
SUMNER TROUSDALE VAN BUREN
WARREN WHITE WILLIAMSON
WILSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
High (70%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (<5%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (>95%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.