Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL2
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 122
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
805 AM EDT MON APR 6 2009
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA
SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA
COASTAL WATERS
EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON FROM 805 AM UNTIL 300
PM EDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 85 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 45 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
JACKSONVILLE NORTH CAROLINA TO 75 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF
NORFOLK VIRGINIA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 121...
DISCUSSION...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE INCREASING ACROSS CENTRAL
NC INTO SOUTHEAST VA...IN REGION OF STRONG LOW LEVEL
THERMAL/MOISTURE ADVECTION. ACTIVITY WILL LIKELY BECOME SEVERE WITH
DEEP LAYER VERTICAL SHEAR FAVORING SUPERCELL/BOW STRUCTURES. HAIL
AND DAMAGING WINDS ARE THE MAIN THREAT OVER THE WESTERN HALF OF THE
WATCH...WITH AN INCREASING RISK OF TORNADOES FARTHER EAST WHERE
RICHER MOISTURE AND MORE BACKED LOW LEVEL WINDS WILL PROMOTE LOW
LEVEL MESOCYCLOGENESIS.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
...HART
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW2
WW 122 TORNADO NC VA CW 061205Z - 061900Z
AXIS..85 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
45SW OAJ/JACKSONVILLE NC/ - 75NNE ORF/NORFOLK VA/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 75NM E/W /15W ILM - 28SSW SBY/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
LAT...LON 34367966 37887723 37887411 34367669
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU2.
Watch 122 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 122
VALID 061845Z - 061900Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 N HSE TO
55 E ORF TO 50 E WAL.
WW 122 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 061900Z.
..PETERS..04/06/09
ATTN...WFO...MHX...AKQ...RAH...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 122
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NCC055-061900-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DARE
$$
AMZ150-152-154-061900-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
COASTAL WATERS FROM CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT TO OREGON INLET NC OUT
20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OREGON INLET TO CAPE HATTERAS NC OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HATTERAS TO OCRACOKE INLET NC OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 122
VALID 061735Z - 061840Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 ENE ILM
TO 30 SSW ECG TO 25 WSW ORF TO 15 W WAL.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 410.
..PETERS..04/06/09
ATTN...WFO...MHX...AKQ...RAH...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 122
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NCC029-031-053-055-095-137-139-143-177-187-061840-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CAMDEN CARTERET CURRITUCK
DARE HYDE PAMLICO
PASQUOTANK PERQUIMANS TYRRELL
WASHINGTON
$$
VAC001-131-550-650-700-710-740-800-810-061840-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ACCOMACK NORTHAMPTON
VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
CHESAPEAKE HAMPTON NEWPORT NEWS
NORFOLK PORTSMOUTH SUFFOLK
VIRGINIA BEACH
$$
AMZ130-135-150-152-154-156-158-ANZ632-633-652-654-656-658-
061840-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
ALBEMARLE SOUND
PAMLICO SOUND
COASTAL WATERS FROM CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT TO OREGON INLET NC OUT
20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OREGON INLET TO CAPE HATTERAS NC OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HATTERAS TO OCRACOKE INLET NC OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OCRACOKE INLET TO CAPE LOOKOUT NC OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE LOOKOUT TO SURF CITY NC OUT 20 NM
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM NEW POINT COMFORT TO CAPE HENRY VA
CURRITUCK SOUND
COASTAL WATERS FROM CHINCOTEAGUE TO PARRAMORE ISLAND VA OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM PARRAMORE ISLAND TO CAPE CHARLES LIGHT VA OUT
20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE CHARLES LIGHT VA TO NC VA BORDER OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM NC VA BORDER TO CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT NC OUT
20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 122
VALID 061640Z - 061740Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 WNW ILM
TO 40 E RWI TO 35 ENE RZZ TO 35 ESE RIC TO 30 N ORF TO 15 W WAL.
..PETERS..04/06/09
ATTN...WFO...MHX...AKQ...RAH...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 122
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NCC013-015-029-031-041-049-053-055-073-091-095-103-117-133-137-
139-143-147-177-187-061740-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEAUFORT BERTIE CAMDEN
CARTERET CHOWAN CRAVEN
CURRITUCK DARE GATES
HERTFORD HYDE JONES
MARTIN ONSLOW PAMLICO
PASQUOTANK PERQUIMANS PITT
TYRRELL WASHINGTON
$$
VAC001-093-131-175-199-550-620-650-700-710-735-740-800-810-830-
061740-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ACCOMACK ISLE OF WIGHT NORTHAMPTON
SOUTHAMPTON YORK
VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
CHESAPEAKE FRANKLIN HAMPTON
NEWPORT NEWS NORFOLK POQUOSON
PORTSMOUTH SUFFOLK VIRGINIA BEACH
WILLIAMSBURG
$$
AMZ130-135-150-152-154-156-158-ANZ632-633-652-654-656-658-
061740-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
ALBEMARLE SOUND
PAMLICO SOUND
COASTAL WATERS FROM CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT TO OREGON INLET NC OUT
20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OREGON INLET TO CAPE HATTERAS NC OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HATTERAS TO OCRACOKE INLET NC OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OCRACOKE INLET TO CAPE LOOKOUT NC OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE LOOKOUT TO SURF CITY NC OUT 20 NM
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM NEW POINT COMFORT TO CAPE HENRY VA
CURRITUCK SOUND
COASTAL WATERS FROM CHINCOTEAGUE TO PARRAMORE ISLAND VA OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM PARRAMORE ISLAND TO CAPE CHARLES LIGHT VA OUT
20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE CHARLES LIGHT VA TO NC VA BORDER OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM NC VA BORDER TO CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT NC OUT
20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 122
VALID 061530Z - 061640Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 S FAY TO
25 WNW RWI TO AVC TO 25 ESE RIC TO 30 ENE RIC TO 30 N RIC.
..PETERS..04/06/09
ATTN...WFO...MHX...AKQ...RAH...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 122
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NCC013-015-029-031-041-049-053-055-061-065-069-073-079-083-091-
095-101-103-107-117-127-131-133-137-139-143-147-163-177-185-187-
191-195-061640-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEAUFORT BERTIE CAMDEN
CARTERET CHOWAN CRAVEN
CURRITUCK DARE DUPLIN
EDGECOMBE FRANKLIN GATES
GREENE HALIFAX HERTFORD
HYDE JOHNSTON JONES
LENOIR MARTIN NASH
NORTHAMPTON ONSLOW PAMLICO
PASQUOTANK PERQUIMANS PITT
SAMPSON TYRRELL WARREN
WASHINGTON WAYNE WILSON
$$
VAC001-057-073-081-093-095-103-115-119-131-133-175-181-183-199-
550-595-620-650-700-710-735-740-800-810-830-061640-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ACCOMACK ESSEX GLOUCESTER
GREENSVILLE ISLE OF WIGHT JAMES CITY
LANCASTER MATHEWS MIDDLESEX
NORTHAMPTON NORTHUMBERLAND SOUTHAMPTON
SURRY SUSSEX YORK
VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
CHESAPEAKE EMPORIA FRANKLIN
HAMPTON NEWPORT NEWS NORFOLK
POQUOSON PORTSMOUTH SUFFOLK
VIRGINIA BEACH WILLIAMSBURG
$$
AMZ130-135-150-152-154-156-158-ANZ630-631-632-633-652-654-656-658-
061640-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
ALBEMARLE SOUND
PAMLICO SOUND
COASTAL WATERS FROM CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT TO OREGON INLET NC OUT
20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OREGON INLET TO CAPE HATTERAS NC OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HATTERAS TO OCRACOKE INLET NC OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OCRACOKE INLET TO CAPE LOOKOUT NC OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE LOOKOUT TO SURF CITY NC OUT 20 NM
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM SMITH POINT TO WINDMILL POINT VA
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM WINDMILL POINT TO NEW POINT COMFORT VA
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM NEW POINT COMFORT TO CAPE HENRY VA
CURRITUCK SOUND
COASTAL WATERS FROM CHINCOTEAGUE TO PARRAMORE ISLAND VA OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM PARRAMORE ISLAND TO CAPE CHARLES LIGHT VA OUT
20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE CHARLES LIGHT VA TO NC VA BORDER OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM NC VA BORDER TO CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT NC OUT
20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 122
VALID 061445Z - 061540Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NE FLO TO
20 E SOP TO AVC TO 25 ESE RIC TO 30 ENE RIC TO 30 N RIC.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 408.
..PETERS..04/06/09
ATTN...WFO...MHX...AKQ...RAH...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 122
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NCC013-015-029-031-041-049-051-053-055-061-065-069-073-079-083-
085-091-093-095-101-103-107-117-127-131-133-137-139-143-147-163-
177-183-185-187-191-195-061540-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEAUFORT BERTIE CAMDEN
CARTERET CHOWAN CRAVEN
CUMBERLAND CURRITUCK DARE
DUPLIN EDGECOMBE FRANKLIN
GATES GREENE HALIFAX
HARNETT HERTFORD HOKE
HYDE JOHNSTON JONES
LENOIR MARTIN NASH
NORTHAMPTON ONSLOW PAMLICO
PASQUOTANK PERQUIMANS PITT
SAMPSON TYRRELL WAKE
WARREN WASHINGTON WAYNE
WILSON
$$
VAC001-057-073-081-093-095-103-115-119-131-133-175-181-183-199-
550-595-620-650-700-710-735-740-800-810-830-061540-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ACCOMACK ESSEX GLOUCESTER
GREENSVILLE ISLE OF WIGHT JAMES CITY
LANCASTER MATHEWS MIDDLESEX
NORTHAMPTON NORTHUMBERLAND SOUTHAMPTON
SURRY SUSSEX YORK
VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
CHESAPEAKE EMPORIA FRANKLIN
HAMPTON NEWPORT NEWS NORFOLK
POQUOSON PORTSMOUTH SUFFOLK
VIRGINIA BEACH WILLIAMSBURG
$$
AMZ130-135-150-152-154-156-158-ANZ630-631-632-633-652-654-656-658-
061540-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
ALBEMARLE SOUND
PAMLICO SOUND
COASTAL WATERS FROM CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT TO OREGON INLET NC OUT
20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OREGON INLET TO CAPE HATTERAS NC OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HATTERAS TO OCRACOKE INLET NC OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OCRACOKE INLET TO CAPE LOOKOUT NC OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE LOOKOUT TO SURF CITY NC OUT 20 NM
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM SMITH POINT TO WINDMILL POINT VA
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM WINDMILL POINT TO NEW POINT COMFORT VA
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM NEW POINT COMFORT TO CAPE HENRY VA
CURRITUCK SOUND
COASTAL WATERS FROM CHINCOTEAGUE TO PARRAMORE ISLAND VA OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM PARRAMORE ISLAND TO CAPE CHARLES LIGHT VA OUT
20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE CHARLES LIGHT VA TO NC VA BORDER OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM NC VA BORDER TO CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT NC OUT
20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 122
VALID 061335Z - 061440Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..PETERS..04/06/09
ATTN...WFO...MHX...AKQ...RAH...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 122
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NCC013-015-029-031-041-049-051-053-055-061-065-069-073-079-083-
085-091-093-095-101-103-107-117-127-131-133-137-139-143-147-163-
165-177-183-185-187-191-195-061440-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEAUFORT BERTIE CAMDEN
CARTERET CHOWAN CRAVEN
CUMBERLAND CURRITUCK DARE
DUPLIN EDGECOMBE FRANKLIN
GATES GREENE HALIFAX
HARNETT HERTFORD HOKE
HYDE JOHNSTON JONES
LENOIR MARTIN NASH
NORTHAMPTON ONSLOW PAMLICO
PASQUOTANK PERQUIMANS PITT
SAMPSON SCOTLAND TYRRELL
WAKE WARREN WASHINGTON
WAYNE WILSON
$$
VAC001-025-033-036-041-053-057-073-081-085-087-093-095-097-101-
103-115-119-127-131-133-149-159-175-181-183-199-550-570-595-620-
650-670-700-710-730-735-740-760-800-810-830-061440-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ACCOMACK BRUNSWICK CAROLINE
CHARLES CITY CHESTERFIELD DINWIDDIE
ESSEX GLOUCESTER GREENSVILLE
HANOVER HENRICO ISLE OF WIGHT
JAMES CITY KING AND QUEEN KING WILLIAM
LANCASTER MATHEWS MIDDLESEX
NEW KENT NORTHAMPTON NORTHUMBERLAND
PRINCE GEORGE RICHMOND SOUTHAMPTON
SURRY SUSSEX YORK
VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
CHESAPEAKE COLONIAL HEIGHTS EMPORIA
FRANKLIN HAMPTON HOPEWELL
NEWPORT NEWS NORFOLK PETERSBURG
POQUOSON PORTSMOUTH RICHMOND
SUFFOLK VIRGINIA BEACH WILLIAMSBURG
$$
AMZ130-135-150-152-154-156-158-ANZ630-631-632-633-652-654-656-658-
061440-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
ALBEMARLE SOUND
PAMLICO SOUND
COASTAL WATERS FROM CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT TO OREGON INLET NC OUT
20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OREGON INLET TO CAPE HATTERAS NC OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HATTERAS TO OCRACOKE INLET NC OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OCRACOKE INLET TO CAPE LOOKOUT NC OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE LOOKOUT TO SURF CITY NC OUT 20 NM
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM SMITH POINT TO WINDMILL POINT VA
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM WINDMILL POINT TO NEW POINT COMFORT VA
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM NEW POINT COMFORT TO CAPE HENRY VA
CURRITUCK SOUND
COASTAL WATERS FROM CHINCOTEAGUE TO PARRAMORE ISLAND VA OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM PARRAMORE ISLAND TO CAPE CHARLES LIGHT VA OUT
20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE CHARLES LIGHT VA TO NC VA BORDER OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM NC VA BORDER TO CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT NC OUT
20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Mod (30%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.