Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL5
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 125
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
925 AM CDT THU APR 18 2013
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL AND EASTERN ARKANSAS
SOUTHERN ILLINOIS
SOUTHWESTERN INDIANA
WESTERN KENTUCKY
SOUTHEASTERN MISSOURI
* EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON FROM 925 AM UNTIL
500 PM CDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
SEVERAL TORNADOES LIKELY WITH A FEW INTENSE TORNADOES POSSIBLE
SEVERAL DAMAGING WIND GUSTS LIKELY WITH A FEW SIGNIFICANT GUSTS
TO 75 MPH POSSIBLE
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 90 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF
MOUNT VERNON ILLINOIS TO 40 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF HOT SPRINGS
ARKANSAS. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 122...WW 123...WW 124...
DISCUSSION...QUASI-LINEAR BAND OF TSTMS WITH EMBEDDED LEWP/BOW
FORMATIONS IS EXPECTED TO PROCEED EWD 20-25 KT ACROSS WW AREA WITH
EMBEDDED ELEMENTS MOVING MORE RAPIDLY NEWD...ROUGHLY 40 KT. GIVEN
LACK OF CINH EVIDENT IN 12Z LZK RAOB...DEVELOPMENT OF SUPERCELLS
AND/OR LINE SEGMENTS AHEAD OF INITIAL/PRIMARY CONVECTION CANNOT BE
RULED OUT AS WELL. WARM SECTOR IS FCST TO DESTABILIZE STEADILY
THROUGHOUT DAYLIGHT HOURS IN PRESENCE OF FAVORABLE DEEP SHEAR.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 22040.
...EDWARDS
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW5
WW 125 TORNADO AR IL IN KY MO 181425Z - 182200Z
AXIS..90 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
40ENE MVN/MOUNT VERNON IL/ - 40SSE HOT/HOT SPRINGS AR/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 80NM E/W /42NNW PXV - 41N ELD/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..65 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 22040.
LAT...LON 38528651 33919126 33919440 38528984
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU5.
Watch 125 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #7 ON WW 125
VALID 182135Z - 182200Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NE LLQ TO
30 SSW JBR TO 15 E ARG TO 20 SW CGI TO 10 SSE MDH TO 20 NE MVN.
WW 125 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 182200Z.
..MARSH..04/18/13
ATTN...WFO...LZK...MEG...PAH...SGF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 125
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC021-031-035-037-041-055-077-093-095-107-111-123-182200-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLAY CRAIGHEAD CRITTENDEN
CROSS DESHA GREENE
LEE MISSISSIPPI MONROE
PHILLIPS POINSETT ST. FRANCIS
$$
ILC003-047-055-059-065-069-087-127-151-153-165-181-185-191-193-
199-182200-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALEXANDER EDWARDS FRANKLIN
GALLATIN HAMILTON HARDIN
JOHNSON MASSAC POPE
PULASKI SALINE UNION
WABASH WAYNE WHITE
WILLIAMSON
$$
INC051-125-129-147-163-173-182200-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GIBSON PIKE POSEY
SPENCER VANDERBURGH WARRICK
$$
KYC007-039-055-075-083-101-105-139-145-157-225-233-182200-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALLARD CARLISLE CRITTENDEN
FULTON GRAVES HENDERSON
HICKMAN LIVINGSTON MCCRACKEN
MARSHALL UNION WEBSTER
$$
MOC069-133-143-155-201-207-182200-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DUNKLIN MISSISSIPPI NEW MADRID
PEMISCOT SCOTT STODDARD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 125
VALID 182045Z - 182140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SSE PBF
TO 45 ENE LIT TO 25 SSW ARG TO 10 SW POF TO 15 W CGI TO 15 NNW
MDH TO 15 ESE SLO.
..MARSH..04/18/13
ATTN...WFO...LZK...MEG...PAH...SGF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 125
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC001-021-031-035-037-041-043-055-067-077-079-093-095-107-111-
123-147-182140-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARKANSAS CLAY CRAIGHEAD
CRITTENDEN CROSS DESHA
DREW GREENE JACKSON
LEE LINCOLN MISSISSIPPI
MONROE PHILLIPS POINSETT
ST. FRANCIS WOODRUFF
$$
ILC003-047-055-059-065-069-077-081-087-127-145-151-153-165-181-
185-191-193-199-182140-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALEXANDER EDWARDS FRANKLIN
GALLATIN HAMILTON HARDIN
JACKSON JEFFERSON JOHNSON
MASSAC PERRY POPE
PULASKI SALINE UNION
WABASH WAYNE WHITE
WILLIAMSON
$$
INC051-125-129-147-163-173-182140-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GIBSON PIKE POSEY
SPENCER VANDERBURGH WARRICK
$$
KYC007-039-055-075-083-101-105-139-145-157-225-233-182140-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALLARD CARLISLE CRITTENDEN
FULTON GRAVES HENDERSON
HICKMAN LIVINGSTON MCCRACKEN
MARSHALL UNION WEBSTER
$$
MOC023-031-069-133-143-155-201-207-182140-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUTLER CAPE GIRARDEAU DUNKLIN
MISSISSIPPI NEW MADRID PEMISCOT
SCOTT STODDARD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 125
VALID 181955Z - 182040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SSW PBF
TO 35 NE LIT TO 20 SW ARG TO 10 NNW POF TO 10 SSE SLO.
..MARSH..04/18/13
ATTN...WFO...LZK...MEG...PAH...SGF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 125
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC001-011-021-031-035-037-041-043-055-067-077-079-093-095-107-
111-117-123-147-182040-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARKANSAS BRADLEY CLAY
CRAIGHEAD CRITTENDEN CROSS
DESHA DREW GREENE
JACKSON LEE LINCOLN
MISSISSIPPI MONROE PHILLIPS
POINSETT PRAIRIE ST. FRANCIS
WOODRUFF
$$
ILC003-047-055-059-065-069-077-081-087-127-145-151-153-165-181-
185-191-193-199-182040-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALEXANDER EDWARDS FRANKLIN
GALLATIN HAMILTON HARDIN
JACKSON JEFFERSON JOHNSON
MASSAC PERRY POPE
PULASKI SALINE UNION
WABASH WAYNE WHITE
WILLIAMSON
$$
INC051-125-129-147-163-173-182040-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GIBSON PIKE POSEY
SPENCER VANDERBURGH WARRICK
$$
KYC007-039-055-075-083-101-105-139-145-157-225-233-182040-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALLARD CARLISLE CRITTENDEN
FULTON GRAVES HENDERSON
HICKMAN LIVINGSTON MCCRACKEN
MARSHALL UNION WEBSTER
$$
MOC017-023-031-069-133-143-155-157-201-207-223-182040-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOLLINGER BUTLER CAPE GIRARDEAU
DUNKLIN MISSISSIPPI NEW MADRID
PEMISCOT PERRY SCOTT
STODDARD WAYNE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 125
VALID 181845Z - 181940Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 WSW PBF
TO 30 NNE LIT TO 25 NNW ARG TO 10 SW SLO.
..MARSH..04/18/13
ATTN...WFO...LZK...MEG...PAH...SGF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 125
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC001-011-021-025-031-035-037-041-043-055-063-067-069-075-077-
079-085-093-095-107-111-117-121-123-145-147-181940-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARKANSAS BRADLEY CLAY
CLEVELAND CRAIGHEAD CRITTENDEN
CROSS DESHA DREW
GREENE INDEPENDENCE JACKSON
JEFFERSON LAWRENCE LEE
LINCOLN LONOKE MISSISSIPPI
MONROE PHILLIPS POINSETT
PRAIRIE RANDOLPH ST. FRANCIS
WHITE WOODRUFF
$$
ILC003-047-055-059-065-069-077-081-087-127-145-151-153-165-181-
185-191-193-199-181940-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALEXANDER EDWARDS FRANKLIN
GALLATIN HAMILTON HARDIN
JACKSON JEFFERSON JOHNSON
MASSAC PERRY POPE
PULASKI SALINE UNION
WABASH WAYNE WHITE
WILLIAMSON
$$
INC051-125-129-147-163-173-181940-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GIBSON PIKE POSEY
SPENCER VANDERBURGH WARRICK
$$
KYC007-039-055-075-083-101-105-139-145-157-225-233-181940-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALLARD CARLISLE CRITTENDEN
FULTON GRAVES HENDERSON
HICKMAN LIVINGSTON MCCRACKEN
MARSHALL UNION WEBSTER
$$
MOC017-023-031-069-133-143-155-157-181-201-207-223-181940-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOLLINGER BUTLER CAPE GIRARDEAU
DUNKLIN MISSISSIPPI NEW MADRID
PEMISCOT PERRY RIPLEY
SCOTT STODDARD WAYNE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 125
VALID 181710Z - 181840Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 S HOT TO
35 NNW LIT TO 35 SSE UNO TO 35 SSW FAM TO 20 WSW SLO.
..LEITMAN..04/18/13
ATTN...WFO...LZK...MEG...PAH...SGF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 125
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC001-011-013-021-023-025-031-035-037-039-041-043-045-053-055-
063-067-069-075-077-079-085-093-095-103-107-111-117-119-121-123-
125-135-145-147-181840-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARKANSAS BRADLEY CALHOUN
CLAY CLEBURNE CLEVELAND
CRAIGHEAD CRITTENDEN CROSS
DALLAS DESHA DREW
FAULKNER GRANT GREENE
INDEPENDENCE JACKSON JEFFERSON
LAWRENCE LEE LINCOLN
LONOKE MISSISSIPPI MONROE
OUACHITA PHILLIPS POINSETT
PRAIRIE PULASKI RANDOLPH
ST. FRANCIS SALINE SHARP
WHITE WOODRUFF
$$
ILC003-047-055-059-065-069-077-081-087-127-145-151-153-165-181-
185-191-193-199-181840-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALEXANDER EDWARDS FRANKLIN
GALLATIN HAMILTON HARDIN
JACKSON JEFFERSON JOHNSON
MASSAC PERRY POPE
PULASKI SALINE UNION
WABASH WAYNE WHITE
WILLIAMSON
$$
INC051-125-129-147-163-173-181840-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GIBSON PIKE POSEY
SPENCER VANDERBURGH WARRICK
$$
KYC007-039-055-075-083-101-105-139-145-157-225-233-181840-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALLARD CARLISLE CRITTENDEN
FULTON GRAVES HENDERSON
HICKMAN LIVINGSTON MCCRACKEN
MARSHALL UNION WEBSTER
$$
MOC017-023-031-069-133-143-155-157-181-201-207-223-181840-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOLLINGER BUTLER CAPE GIRARDEAU
DUNKLIN MISSISSIPPI NEW MADRID
PEMISCOT PERRY RIPLEY
SCOTT STODDARD WAYNE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 125
VALID 181625Z - 181740Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 NE TXK TO
20 ENE RUE TO 35 W POF TO 10 WNW FAM.
..LEITMAN..04/18/13
ATTN...WFO...LZK...MEG...PAH...SGF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 125
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC001-011-013-019-021-023-025-029-031-035-037-039-041-043-045-
051-053-055-059-063-065-067-069-075-077-079-085-093-095-103-105-
107-111-117-119-121-123-125-135-137-145-147-181740-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARKANSAS BRADLEY CALHOUN
CLARK CLAY CLEBURNE
CLEVELAND CONWAY CRAIGHEAD
CRITTENDEN CROSS DALLAS
DESHA DREW FAULKNER
GARLAND GRANT GREENE
HOT SPRING INDEPENDENCE IZARD
JACKSON JEFFERSON LAWRENCE
LEE LINCOLN LONOKE
MISSISSIPPI MONROE OUACHITA
PERRY PHILLIPS POINSETT
PRAIRIE PULASKI RANDOLPH
ST. FRANCIS SALINE SHARP
STONE WHITE WOODRUFF
$$
ILC003-047-055-059-065-069-077-081-087-127-145-151-153-165-181-
185-191-193-199-181740-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALEXANDER EDWARDS FRANKLIN
GALLATIN HAMILTON HARDIN
JACKSON JEFFERSON JOHNSON
MASSAC PERRY POPE
PULASKI SALINE UNION
WABASH WAYNE WHITE
WILLIAMSON
$$
INC051-125-129-147-163-173-181740-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GIBSON PIKE POSEY
SPENCER VANDERBURGH WARRICK
$$
KYC007-039-055-075-083-101-105-139-145-157-225-233-181740-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALLARD CARLISLE CRITTENDEN
FULTON GRAVES HENDERSON
HICKMAN LIVINGSTON MCCRACKEN
MARSHALL UNION WEBSTER
$$
MOC017-023-031-035-069-133-143-149-155-157-181-201-207-223-
181740-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOLLINGER BUTLER CAPE GIRARDEAU
CARTER DUNKLIN MISSISSIPPI
NEW MADRID OREGON PEMISCOT
PERRY RIPLEY SCOTT
STODDARD WAYNE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 125
VALID 181525Z - 181640Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..LEITMAN..04/18/13
ATTN...WFO...LZK...MEG...PAH...SGF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 125
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC001-005-011-013-019-021-023-025-029-031-035-037-039-041-043-
045-049-051-053-055-059-063-065-067-069-075-077-079-085-093-095-
097-103-105-107-109-111-115-117-119-121-123-125-135-137-141-145-
147-149-181640-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARKANSAS BAXTER BRADLEY
CALHOUN CLARK CLAY
CLEBURNE CLEVELAND CONWAY
CRAIGHEAD CRITTENDEN CROSS
DALLAS DESHA DREW
FAULKNER FULTON GARLAND
GRANT GREENE HOT SPRING
INDEPENDENCE IZARD JACKSON
JEFFERSON LAWRENCE LEE
LINCOLN LONOKE MISSISSIPPI
MONROE MONTGOMERY OUACHITA
PERRY PHILLIPS PIKE
POINSETT POPE PRAIRIE
PULASKI RANDOLPH ST. FRANCIS
SALINE SHARP STONE
VAN BUREN WHITE WOODRUFF
YELL
$$
ILC003-047-055-059-065-069-077-081-087-127-145-151-153-165-181-
185-191-193-199-181640-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALEXANDER EDWARDS FRANKLIN
GALLATIN HAMILTON HARDIN
JACKSON JEFFERSON JOHNSON
MASSAC PERRY POPE
PULASKI SALINE UNION
WABASH WAYNE WHITE
WILLIAMSON
$$
INC051-125-129-147-163-173-181640-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GIBSON PIKE POSEY
SPENCER VANDERBURGH WARRICK
$$
KYC007-039-055-075-083-101-105-139-145-157-225-233-181640-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALLARD CARLISLE CRITTENDEN
FULTON GRAVES HENDERSON
HICKMAN LIVINGSTON MCCRACKEN
MARSHALL UNION WEBSTER
$$
MOC017-023-031-035-069-091-133-143-149-155-157-181-201-203-207-
223-181640-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOLLINGER BUTLER CAPE GIRARDEAU
CARTER DUNKLIN HOWELL
MISSISSIPPI NEW MADRID OREGON
PEMISCOT PERRY RIPLEY
SCOTT SHANNON STODDARD
WAYNE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Mod (30%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (<5%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.