Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL0
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 130
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1020 AM CDT TUE MAR 18 2008
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
A LARGE PORTION OF ARKANSAS
SMALL PART OF SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
PARTS OF NORTHEAST TEXAS
EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY MORNING AND EVENING FROM 1020 AM UNTIL 600
PM CDT.
...THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION...
DESTRUCTIVE TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...
THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 80 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE
POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 15 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF
JONESBORO ARKANSAS TO 55 MILES SOUTHWEST OF PARIS TEXAS. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP RAPIDLY ALONG AND S
OF WARM FRONT WHICH EXTENDS FROM E OF DAL TO NRN AR. VERY STRONG
DEEP LAYER SHEAR AND A MOIST...INCREASINGLY UNSTABLE AIR MASS
SUPPORTS TORNADIC SUPERCELLS. GIVEN THE STRENGTH OF VEERING SHEAR
PROFILES POTENTIAL EXITS FOR STRONG TORNADOES.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24040.
...HALES
SEL0
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 130
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1020 AM CDT TUE MAR 18 2008
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
A LARGE PORTION OF ARKANSAS
SMALL PART OF SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
PARTS OF NORTHEAST TEXAS
EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY MORNING AND EVENING FROM 1020 AM UNTIL 600
PM CDT.
...THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION...
DESTRUCTIVE TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...
THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 80 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE
POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 15 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF
JONESBORO ARKANSAS TO 55 MILES SOUTHWEST OF PARIS TEXAS. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP RAPIDLY ALONG AND S
OF WARM FRONT WHICH EXTENDS FROM E OF DAL TO NRN AR. VERY STRONG
DEEP LAYER SHEAR AND A MOIST...INCREASINGLY UNSTABLE AIR MASS
SUPPORTS TORNADIC SUPERCELLS. GIVEN THE STRENGTH OF VEERING SHEAR
PROFILES POTENTIAL EXITS FOR STRONG TORNADOES.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24040.
...HALES
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW0
WW 130 TORNADO AR OK TX 181520Z - 182300Z
AXIS..75 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
15ESE JBR/JONESBORO AR/ - 55SW PRX/PARIS TX/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 65NM N/S /34SE ARG - 47ENE DFW/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..70 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24040.
LAT...LON 34659040 31979612 34159612 36839040
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU0.
Watch 130 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 130
VALID 182135Z - 182240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 ESE DAL
TO 30 E FSM.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 463
..GUYER..03/18/08
ATTN...WFO...LZK...MEG...SHV...TSA...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 130
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC001-019-021-023-025-027-029-031-037-039-045-051-053-055-057-
059-061-063-065-067-069-071-073-075-077-081-083-085-091-095-097-
099-103-105-107-109-111-113-115-117-119-121-123-125-127-133-135-
137-141-145-147-149-182240-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARKANSAS CLARK CLAY
CLEBURNE CLEVELAND COLUMBIA
CONWAY CRAIGHEAD CROSS
DALLAS FAULKNER GARLAND
GRANT GREENE HEMPSTEAD
HOT SPRING HOWARD INDEPENDENCE
IZARD JACKSON JEFFERSON
JOHNSON LAFAYETTE LAWRENCE
LEE LITTLE RIVER LOGAN
LONOKE MILLER MONROE
MONTGOMERY NEVADA OUACHITA
PERRY PHILLIPS PIKE
POINSETT POLK POPE
PRAIRIE PULASKI RANDOLPH
ST. FRANCIS SALINE SCOTT
SEVIER SHARP STONE
VAN BUREN WHITE WOODRUFF
YELL
$$
OKC089-182240-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
MCCURTAIN
$$
TXC037-063-067-159-183-203-213-315-343-379-387-401-423-449-459-
467-499-182240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOWIE CAMP CASS
FRANKLIN GREGG HARRISON
HENDERSON MARION MORRIS
RAINS RED RIVER RUSK
SMITH TITUS UPSHUR
VAN ZANDT WOOD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 130
VALID 182035Z - 182140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 E DAL TO
20 ESE FSM.
..GUYER..03/18/08
ATTN...WFO...LZK...MEG...SHV...TSA...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 130
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC001-019-021-023-025-027-029-031-037-039-045-047-051-053-055-
057-059-061-063-065-067-069-071-073-075-077-081-083-085-091-095-
097-099-103-105-107-109-111-113-115-117-119-121-123-125-127-133-
135-137-141-145-147-149-182140-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARKANSAS CLARK CLAY
CLEBURNE CLEVELAND COLUMBIA
CONWAY CRAIGHEAD CROSS
DALLAS FAULKNER FRANKLIN
GARLAND GRANT GREENE
HEMPSTEAD HOT SPRING HOWARD
INDEPENDENCE IZARD JACKSON
JEFFERSON JOHNSON LAFAYETTE
LAWRENCE LEE LITTLE RIVER
LOGAN LONOKE MILLER
MONROE MONTGOMERY NEVADA
OUACHITA PERRY PHILLIPS
PIKE POINSETT POLK
POPE PRAIRIE PULASKI
RANDOLPH ST. FRANCIS SALINE
SCOTT SEVIER SHARP
STONE VAN BUREN WHITE
WOODRUFF YELL
$$
OKC089-182140-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
MCCURTAIN
$$
TXC037-063-067-159-183-203-213-315-343-379-387-401-423-449-459-
467-499-182140-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOWIE CAMP CASS
FRANKLIN GREGG HARRISON
HENDERSON MARION MORRIS
RAINS RED RIVER RUSK
SMITH TITUS UPSHUR
VAN ZANDT WOOD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 130
VALID 181950Z - 182040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 ENE DAL
TO 20 SE FSM.
..GUYER..03/18/08
ATTN...WFO...LZK...MEG...SHV...TSA...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 130
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC001-019-021-023-025-027-029-031-037-039-045-047-051-053-055-
057-059-061-063-065-067-069-071-073-075-077-081-083-085-091-095-
097-099-103-105-107-109-111-113-115-117-119-121-123-125-127-133-
135-137-141-145-147-149-182040-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARKANSAS CLARK CLAY
CLEBURNE CLEVELAND COLUMBIA
CONWAY CRAIGHEAD CROSS
DALLAS FAULKNER FRANKLIN
GARLAND GRANT GREENE
HEMPSTEAD HOT SPRING HOWARD
INDEPENDENCE IZARD JACKSON
JEFFERSON JOHNSON LAFAYETTE
LAWRENCE LEE LITTLE RIVER
LOGAN LONOKE MILLER
MONROE MONTGOMERY NEVADA
OUACHITA PERRY PHILLIPS
PIKE POINSETT POLK
POPE PRAIRIE PULASKI
RANDOLPH ST. FRANCIS SALINE
SCOTT SEVIER SHARP
STONE VAN BUREN WHITE
WOODRUFF YELL
$$
OKC089-182040-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
MCCURTAIN
$$
TXC037-063-067-119-159-183-203-213-223-315-343-379-387-401-423-
449-459-467-499-182040-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOWIE CAMP CASS
DELTA FRANKLIN GREGG
HARRISON HENDERSON HOPKINS
MARION MORRIS RAINS
RED RIVER RUSK SMITH
TITUS UPSHUR VAN ZANDT
WOOD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 130
VALID 181855Z - 181940Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 460
..GUYER..03/18/08
ATTN...WFO...LZK...MEG...SHV...TSA...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 130
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC001-019-021-023-025-027-029-031-037-039-045-047-051-053-055-
057-059-061-063-065-067-069-071-073-075-077-081-083-085-091-095-
097-099-103-105-107-109-111-113-115-117-119-121-123-125-127-131-
133-135-137-141-145-147-149-181940-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARKANSAS CLARK CLAY
CLEBURNE CLEVELAND COLUMBIA
CONWAY CRAIGHEAD CROSS
DALLAS FAULKNER FRANKLIN
GARLAND GRANT GREENE
HEMPSTEAD HOT SPRING HOWARD
INDEPENDENCE IZARD JACKSON
JEFFERSON JOHNSON LAFAYETTE
LAWRENCE LEE LITTLE RIVER
LOGAN LONOKE MILLER
MONROE MONTGOMERY NEVADA
OUACHITA PERRY PHILLIPS
PIKE POINSETT POLK
POPE PRAIRIE PULASKI
RANDOLPH ST. FRANCIS SALINE
SCOTT SEBASTIAN SEVIER
SHARP STONE VAN BUREN
WHITE WOODRUFF YELL
$$
OKC023-079-089-127-181940-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHOCTAW LE FLORE MCCURTAIN
PUSHMATAHA
$$
TXC037-063-067-119-159-183-203-213-223-315-343-379-387-401-423-
449-459-467-499-181940-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOWIE CAMP CASS
DELTA FRANKLIN GREGG
HARRISON HENDERSON HOPKINS
MARION MORRIS RAINS
RED RIVER RUSK SMITH
TITUS UPSHUR VAN ZANDT
WOOD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 130
VALID 181730Z - 181840Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 460
..GUYER..03/18/08
ATTN...WFO...LZK...MEG...SHV...TSA...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 130
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC001-019-021-023-025-027-029-031-037-039-045-047-051-053-055-
057-059-061-063-065-067-069-071-073-075-077-081-083-085-091-095-
097-099-103-105-107-109-111-113-115-117-119-121-123-125-127-131-
133-135-137-141-145-147-149-181840-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARKANSAS CLARK CLAY
CLEBURNE CLEVELAND COLUMBIA
CONWAY CRAIGHEAD CROSS
DALLAS FAULKNER FRANKLIN
GARLAND GRANT GREENE
HEMPSTEAD HOT SPRING HOWARD
INDEPENDENCE IZARD JACKSON
JEFFERSON JOHNSON LAFAYETTE
LAWRENCE LEE LITTLE RIVER
LOGAN LONOKE MILLER
MONROE MONTGOMERY NEVADA
OUACHITA PERRY PHILLIPS
PIKE POINSETT POLK
POPE PRAIRIE PULASKI
RANDOLPH ST. FRANCIS SALINE
SCOTT SEBASTIAN SEVIER
SHARP STONE VAN BUREN
WHITE WOODRUFF YELL
$$
OKC023-079-089-127-181840-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHOCTAW LE FLORE MCCURTAIN
PUSHMATAHA
$$
TXC037-063-067-119-147-159-183-203-213-223-231-257-277-315-343-
379-387-401-423-449-459-467-499-181840-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOWIE CAMP CASS
DELTA FANNIN FRANKLIN
GREGG HARRISON HENDERSON
HOPKINS HUNT KAUFMAN
LAMAR MARION MORRIS
RAINS RED RIVER RUSK
SMITH TITUS UPSHUR
VAN ZANDT WOOD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
High (80%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Mod (60%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (40%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (90%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.