SEL3
   
   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 133
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   355 PM EDT FRI APR 19 2013
   
   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
   
   * TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
     SOUTHEAST NEW YORK
     CENTRAL AND EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA
   
   * EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 355 PM UNTIL
     1100 PM EDT.
   
   * PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
     SEVERAL TORNADOES POSSIBLE
     SEVERAL DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
   
   THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 70 STATUTE
   MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF
   HARRISBURG PENNSYLVANIA TO 50 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF
   WILKESBARRE PENNSYLVANIA.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH
   SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
   
   PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
   
   REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
   TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
   AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
   THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
   AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
   
   &&
   
   OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 129...WW 130...WW
   131...WW 132...
   
   DISCUSSION...A STRONGLY FORCED CONVECTIVE BAND WITH EMBEDDED TSTMS
   IS CURRENTLY EVOLVING ALONG THE SYNOPTIC COLD FRONT OVER CNTRL PA. 
   THE DOWNSTREAM AIR MASS ACROSS ERN PA SHOULD CONTINUE TO
   WARM/MOISTEN LATE THIS AFTERNOON WITH MLCAPE VALUES RISING TO
   250-500 J/KG.  WHEN COUPLED WITH INTENSIFYING DEEP-LAYER
   ASCENT...EXPECT FURTHER STRENGTHENING OF THE CONVECTIVE BAND AMIDST
   A STRONGLY SHEARED ENVIRONMENT.  AS SUCH...THE POTENTIAL WILL EXIST
   FOR EMBEDDED SUPERCELL AND/OR LEWP STRUCTURES CAPABLE OF DAMAGING
   WINDS AND MESO-VORTICES/TORNADOES.
   
   AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
   SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 0.5 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
   WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
   350. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23045.
   
   
   ...MEAD

   SEL3
   
   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 133
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   355 PM EDT FRI APR 19 2013
   
   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
   
   * TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
     SOUTHEAST NEW YORK
     CENTRAL AND EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA
   
   * EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 355 PM UNTIL
     1100 PM EDT.
   
   * PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
     SEVERAL TORNADOES POSSIBLE
     SEVERAL DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
   
   THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 70 STATUTE
   MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF
   HARRISBURG PENNSYLVANIA TO 50 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF
   WILKESBARRE PENNSYLVANIA.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH
   SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
   
   PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
   
   REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
   TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
   AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
   THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
   AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
   
   &&
   
   OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 129...WW 130...WW
   131...WW 132...
   
   DISCUSSION...A STRONGLY FORCED CONVECTIVE BAND WITH EMBEDDED TSTMS
   IS CURRENTLY EVOLVING ALONG THE SYNOPTIC COLD FRONT OVER CNTRL PA. 
   THE DOWNSTREAM AIR MASS ACROSS ERN PA SHOULD CONTINUE TO
   WARM/MOISTEN LATE THIS AFTERNOON WITH MLCAPE VALUES RISING TO
   250-500 J/KG.  WHEN COUPLED WITH INTENSIFYING DEEP-LAYER
   ASCENT...EXPECT FURTHER STRENGTHENING OF THE CONVECTIVE BAND AMIDST
   A STRONGLY SHEARED ENVIRONMENT.  AS SUCH...THE POTENTIAL WILL EXIST
   FOR EMBEDDED SUPERCELL AND/OR LEWP STRUCTURES CAPABLE OF DAMAGING
   WINDS AND MESO-VORTICES/TORNADOES.
   
   AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
   SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 0.5 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
   WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
   350. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23045.
   
   
   ...MEAD

   WOUS64 KWNS 191953
   WOU3
   
   BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 133
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   355 PM EDT FRI APR 19 2013
   
   TORNADO WATCH 133 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM EDT FOR THE
    FOLLOWING LOCATIONS
   
   NYC105-200300-
   /O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0133.130419T1955Z-130420T0300Z/
   
   NY 
   .    NEW YORK COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
   
   SULLIVAN             
   
   
   PAC001-011-015-025-027-029-035-037-041-043-055-057-061-067-069-
   071-075-077-079-081-087-089-093-095-097-099-103-107-109-113-115-
   117-119-127-131-133-200300-
   /O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0133.130419T1955Z-130420T0300Z/
   
   PA 
   .    PENNSYLVANIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
   
   ADAMS                BERKS               BRADFORD            
   CARBON               CENTRE              CHESTER             
   CLINTON              COLUMBIA            CUMBERLAND          
   DAUPHIN              FRANKLIN            FULTON              
   HUNTINGDON           JUNIATA             LACKAWANNA          
   LANCASTER            LEBANON             LEHIGH              
   LUZERNE              LYCOMING            MIFFLIN             
   MONROE               MONTOUR             NORTHAMPTON         
   NORTHUMBERLAND       PERRY               PIKE                
   SCHUYLKILL           SNYDER              SULLIVAN            
   SUSQUEHANNA          TIOGA               UNION               
   WAYNE                WYOMING             YORK                
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...BGM...CTP...PHI...
   
   
   

   SAW3 
   WW 133 TORNADO NY PA 191955Z - 200300Z
   AXIS..70 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
   35SSW CXY/HARRISBURG PA/ - 50NNW AVP/WILKESBARRE PA/
   ..AVIATION COORDS.. 60NM E/W /16NNW EMI - 35W HNK/
   HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..0.5 INCH. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
   MAX TOPS TO 350. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23045.
   
   LAT...LON 39747841 41997745 41997473 39747576
   
   THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA.  FOR A
   COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
   FOR WOU3.
   

Watch 133 Status Report Messages:

STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 133

VALID 192325Z - 200040Z

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 S CXY TO
45 SE IPT TO 15 WSW BGM.

..COHEN..04/19/13

ATTN...WFO...BGM...CTP...PHI...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WT 133 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

NYC105-200040-

NY 
.    NEW YORK COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

SULLIVAN	     
$$


PAC011-015-025-029-037-043-069-071-075-077-079-089-093-095-103-
107-115-127-131-133-200040-

PA 
.    PENNSYLVANIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BERKS		     BRADFORD		 CARBON 	     
CHESTER 	     COLUMBIA		 DAUPHIN	     
LACKAWANNA	     LANCASTER		 LEBANON	     
LEHIGH		     LUZERNE		 MONROE 	     
MONTOUR 	     NORTHAMPTON	 PIKE		     
SCHUYLKILL	     SUSQUEHANNA	 WAYNE		     
WYOMING 	     YORK		 
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 133

VALID 192235Z - 192340Z

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 ENE HGR
TO 15 SSE ELM.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 540.

..GRAMS..04/19/13

ATTN...WFO...BGM...CTP...PHI...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WT 133 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

NYC105-192340-

NY 
.    NEW YORK COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

SULLIVAN	     
$$


PAC001-011-015-025-029-037-041-043-069-071-075-077-079-081-089-
093-095-097-099-103-107-109-113-115-119-127-131-133-192340-

PA 
.    PENNSYLVANIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ADAMS		     BERKS		 BRADFORD	     
CARBON		     CHESTER		 COLUMBIA	     
CUMBERLAND	     DAUPHIN		 LACKAWANNA	     
LANCASTER	     LEBANON		 LEHIGH 	     
LUZERNE 	     LYCOMING		 MONROE 	     
MONTOUR 	     NORTHAMPTON	 NORTHUMBERLAND      
PERRY		     PIKE		 SCHUYLKILL	     
SNYDER		     SULLIVAN		 SUSQUEHANNA	     
UNION		     WAYNE		 WYOMING	     
YORK		     
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 133

VALID 192135Z - 192240Z

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 WNW HGR
TO 25 WSW ELM.

..GRAMS..04/19/13

ATTN...WFO...BGM...CTP...PHI...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WT 133 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

NYC105-192240-

NY 
.    NEW YORK COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

SULLIVAN	     
$$


PAC001-011-015-025-027-029-037-041-043-055-057-067-069-071-075-
077-079-081-087-089-093-095-097-099-103-107-109-113-115-117-119-
127-131-133-192240-

PA 
.    PENNSYLVANIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ADAMS		     BERKS		 BRADFORD	     
CARBON		     CENTRE		 CHESTER	     
COLUMBIA	     CUMBERLAND 	 DAUPHIN	     
FRANKLIN	     FULTON		 JUNIATA	     
LACKAWANNA	     LANCASTER		 LEBANON	     
LEHIGH		     LUZERNE		 LYCOMING	     
MIFFLIN 	     MONROE		 MONTOUR	     
NORTHAMPTON	     NORTHUMBERLAND	 PERRY		     
PIKE		     SCHUYLKILL 	 SNYDER 	     
SULLIVAN	     SUSQUEHANNA	 TIOGA		     
UNION		     WAYNE		 WYOMING	     
YORK		     
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

Please visit the National Weather Service Interactive Weather Information Network (IWIN) for more information on the warnings.

For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch (listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster. The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2% to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities), "Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%. High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of an increased threat for a particular event.