Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL3
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 133
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
250 PM EDT FRI APR 10 2009
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL INTO EASTERN KENTUCKY
EASTERN TENNESSEE
FAR WESTERN VIRGINIA
EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 250 PM UNTIL
1000 PM EDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES NORTH OF JACKSON
KENTUCKY TO 80 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF LONDON KENTUCKY. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 131...WW 132...
DISCUSSION...BROKEN LINE OF SUPERCELLS WILL CONTINUE DEVELOPING
ENEWD ACROSS WW THROUGH THE EARLY TO MID EVENING. SHEAR REMAINS
VERY STRONG AND WILL SUPPORT AT LEAST A THREAT OF ISOLATED
TORNADOES...ALONG WITH LIKELY POTENTIAL FOR LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING
WINDS FROM THE STRONGER STORMS.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
400. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
...EVANS
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW3
WW 133 TORNADO KY TN VA 101850Z - 110200Z
AXIS..60 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
40N JKL/JACKSON KY/ - 80SSE LOZ/LONDON KY/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM E/W /74WSW HNN - 19ENE VXV/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 400. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
LAT...LON 38118227 36008245 36008461 38118448
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU3.
Watch 133 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 133
VALID 110040Z - 110140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 WNW HSS
TO 5 N TRI.
..GOSS..04/11/09
ATTN...WFO...JKL...MRX...RLX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 133
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TNC019-029-059-091-163-171-179-110140-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CARTER COCKE GREENE
JOHNSON SULLIVAN UNICOI
WASHINGTON
$$
VAC191-520-110140-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
WASHINGTON
VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
BRISTOL
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 133
VALID 102335Z - 110040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 ENE CSV
TO 60 N TRI.
..GOSS..04/10/09
ATTN...WFO...JKL...MRX...RLX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 133
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TNC019-025-029-057-059-063-067-073-089-091-163-171-173-179-
110040-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CARTER CLAIBORNE COCKE
GRAINGER GREENE HAMBLEN
HANCOCK HAWKINS JEFFERSON
JOHNSON SULLIVAN UNICOI
UNION WASHINGTON
$$
VAC027-051-105-167-169-191-195-520-720-110040-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUCHANAN DICKENSON LEE
RUSSELL SCOTT WASHINGTON
WISE
VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
BRISTOL NORTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 133
VALID 102140Z - 102240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..GOSS..04/10/09
ATTN...WFO...JKL...MRX...RLX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 133
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KYC011-013-025-051-063-065-069-071-095-109-115-119-121-125-129-
131-133-147-153-159-165-173-175-189-193-195-197-199-203-205-231-
235-237-102240-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BATH BELL BREATHITT
CLAY ELLIOTT ESTILL
FLEMING FLOYD HARLAN
JACKSON JOHNSON KNOTT
KNOX LAUREL LEE
LESLIE LETCHER MCCREARY
MAGOFFIN MARTIN MENIFEE
MONTGOMERY MORGAN OWSLEY
PERRY PIKE POWELL
PULASKI ROCKCASTLE ROWAN
WAYNE WHITLEY WOLFE
$$
TNC019-025-029-057-059-063-067-073-089-091-163-171-173-179-
102240-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CARTER CLAIBORNE COCKE
GRAINGER GREENE HAMBLEN
HANCOCK HAWKINS JEFFERSON
JOHNSON SULLIVAN UNICOI
UNION WASHINGTON
$$
VAC027-051-105-167-169-191-195-520-720-102240-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUCHANAN DICKENSON LEE
RUSSELL SCOTT WASHINGTON
WISE
VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
BRISTOL NORTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.