Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL4
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 134
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1050 PM CDT TUE MAR 18 2008
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS
EASTERN LOUISIANA
MUCH OF MISSISSIPPI
PARTS OF WEST TENNESSEE
EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY MORNING FROM 1050 PM
UNTIL 700 AM CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 0.5 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 135 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES SOUTH OF MONROE
LOUISIANA TO 30 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF COLUMBUS MISSISSIPPI.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 132...WW 133...
DISCUSSION...TSTMS NOW FORMING ALONG PRE-FRONTAL CONFLUENCE ZONE IN
ERN LA EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ENE INTO MS THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...
FOLLOWED BY STORMS FARTHER W ALONG COLD FRONT NOW NEAR THE SABINE
RIVER. WHILE KINEMATIC PROFILES WILL REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR
SUPERCELLS...ESPECIALLY OVER W CNTRL AND NRN MS /DOWNSTREAM FROM SRN
AR SFC WAVE/...VERY WEAK MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES /NOTE 03Z JAN RAOB/
AND SHALLOW CONVERGENCE WILL LIMIT COVERAGE OF SVR ACTIVITY.
NEVERTHELESS...OVERALL SETUP LIKELY WILL REMAIN SUPPORTIVE OF
ISOLATED TORNADOES...ONE OR TWO OF WHICH COULD BE STRONG...AND
NARROW SWATHS OF DMGG WIND.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 0.5 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 21045.
...CORFIDI
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW4
WW 134 TORNADO AR LA MS TN 190350Z - 191200Z
AXIS..135 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
35S MLU/MONROE LA/ - 30NNE CBM/COLUMBUS MS/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 115NM N/S /30S MLU - 36NNE IGB/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..0.5 INCH. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 21045.
LAT...LON 33979202 35978825 32088825 30059202
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU4.
Watch 134 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #7 ON WW 134
VALID 191125Z - 191200Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 WSW PIB
TO 20 WSW UOX TO 45 NE MKL.
GIVEN CURRENT TRENDS...AND LITTLE OBVIOUS INDICATIONS SUGGESTING
POTENTIAL FOR CONVECTIVE INTENSIFICATION AND AN INCREASING SEVERE
THREAT THRU THE 12-15Z TIME FRAME...REMAINING VALID PORTION OF WW
134 MAY BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 19/12Z.
..KERR..03/19/08
ATTN...WFO...JAN...LIX...MEG...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 134
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MSC003-007-013-017-019-023-025-031-035-057-061-067-069-071-073-
075-079-081-087-095-099-101-103-105-115-117-123-129-139-141-145-
155-159-161-191200-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALCORN ATTALA CALHOUN
CHICKASAW CHOCTAW CLARKE
CLAY COVINGTON FORREST
ITAWAMBA JASPER JONES
KEMPER LAFAYETTE LAMAR
LAUDERDALE LEAKE LEE
LOWNDES MONROE NESHOBA
NEWTON NOXUBEE OKTIBBEHA
PONTOTOC PRENTISS SCOTT
SMITH TIPPAH TISHOMINGO
UNION WEBSTER WINSTON
YALOBUSHA
$$
TNC039-071-109-191200-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DECATUR HARDIN MCNAIRY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 134
VALID 191030Z - 191140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 WSW PIB
TO 25 SSW UOX TO 20 WSW MEM.
..KERR..03/19/08
ATTN...WFO...JAN...LIX...MEG...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 134
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MSC003-007-009-013-017-019-023-025-031-035-057-061-067-069-071-
073-075-079-081-087-095-097-099-101-103-105-115-117-123-129-139-
141-145-155-159-161-191140-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALCORN ATTALA BENTON
CALHOUN CHICKASAW CHOCTAW
CLARKE CLAY COVINGTON
FORREST ITAWAMBA JASPER
JONES KEMPER LAFAYETTE
LAMAR LAUDERDALE LEAKE
LEE LOWNDES MONROE
MONTGOMERY NESHOBA NEWTON
NOXUBEE OKTIBBEHA PONTOTOC
PRENTISS SCOTT SMITH
TIPPAH TISHOMINGO UNION
WEBSTER WINSTON YALOBUSHA
$$
TNC023-039-069-071-077-109-191140-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHESTER DECATUR HARDEMAN
HARDIN HENDERSON MCNAIRY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 134
VALID 190930Z - 191040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 SSE MCB
TO 50 WNW JAN TO 35 SSE LLQ TO 25 ENE PBF.
..KERR..03/19/08
ATTN...WFO...JAN...LIX...MEG...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 134
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
LAC117-191040-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
WASHINGTON
$$
MSC003-007-009-013-015-017-019-023-025-029-031-035-043-049-051-
053-057-061-065-067-069-071-073-075-077-079-081-083-085-087-089-
091-095-097-099-101-103-105-115-117-121-123-127-129-139-141-145-
147-155-159-161-163-191040-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALCORN ATTALA BENTON
CALHOUN CARROLL CHICKASAW
CHOCTAW CLARKE CLAY
COPIAH COVINGTON FORREST
GRENADA HINDS HOLMES
HUMPHREYS ITAWAMBA JASPER
JEFFERSON DAVIS JONES KEMPER
LAFAYETTE LAMAR LAUDERDALE
LAWRENCE LEAKE LEE
LEFLORE LINCOLN LOWNDES
MADISON MARION MONROE
MONTGOMERY NESHOBA NEWTON
NOXUBEE OKTIBBEHA PONTOTOC
PRENTISS RANKIN SCOTT
SIMPSON SMITH TIPPAH
TISHOMINGO UNION WALTHALL
WEBSTER WINSTON YALOBUSHA
YAZOO
$$
TNC023-039-069-071-077-109-191040-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHESTER DECATUR HARDEMAN
HARDIN HENDERSON MCNAIRY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 134
VALID 190835Z - 190940Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..KERR..03/19/08
ATTN...WFO...JAN...LIX...MEG...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 134
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC003-017-190940-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ASHLEY CHICOT
$$
LAC025-029-035-041-063-065-067-083-091-105-107-117-123-190940-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
CATAHOULA CONCORDIA EAST CARROLL
FRANKLIN LIVINGSTON MADISON
MOREHOUSE RICHLAND ST. HELENA
TANGIPAHOA TENSAS WASHINGTON
WEST CARROLL
$$
MSC001-003-005-007-009-011-013-015-017-019-021-023-025-029-031-
035-037-043-049-051-053-055-057-061-063-065-067-069-071-073-075-
077-079-081-083-085-087-089-091-095-097-099-101-103-105-113-115-
117-121-123-125-127-129-133-139-141-145-147-149-151-155-159-161-
163-190940-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS ALCORN AMITE
ATTALA BENTON BOLIVAR
CALHOUN CARROLL CHICKASAW
CHOCTAW CLAIBORNE CLARKE
CLAY COPIAH COVINGTON
FORREST FRANKLIN GRENADA
HINDS HOLMES HUMPHREYS
ISSAQUENA ITAWAMBA JASPER
JEFFERSON JEFFERSON DAVIS JONES
KEMPER LAFAYETTE LAMAR
LAUDERDALE LAWRENCE LEAKE
LEE LEFLORE LINCOLN
LOWNDES MADISON MARION
MONROE MONTGOMERY NESHOBA
NEWTON NOXUBEE OKTIBBEHA
PIKE PONTOTOC PRENTISS
RANKIN SCOTT SHARKEY
SIMPSON SMITH SUNFLOWER
TIPPAH TISHOMINGO UNION
WALTHALL WARREN WASHINGTON
WEBSTER WINSTON YALOBUSHA
YAZOO
$$
TNC023-039-069-071-077-109-190940-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHESTER DECATUR HARDEMAN
HARDIN HENDERSON MCNAIRY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 134
VALID 190745Z - 190840Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..KERR..03/19/08
ATTN...WFO...JAN...LIX...MEG...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 134
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC003-017-190840-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ASHLEY CHICOT
$$
LAC005-025-029-033-035-037-041-047-063-065-067-077-083-091-105-
107-117-121-123-125-190840-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
ASCENSION CATAHOULA CONCORDIA
EAST BATON ROUGE EAST CARROLL EAST FELICIANA
FRANKLIN IBERVILLE LIVINGSTON
MADISON MOREHOUSE POINTE COUPEE
RICHLAND ST. HELENA TANGIPAHOA
TENSAS WASHINGTON WEST BATON ROUGE
WEST CARROLL WEST FELICIANA
$$
MSC001-003-005-007-009-011-013-015-017-019-021-023-025-027-029-
031-035-037-043-049-051-053-055-057-061-063-065-067-069-071-073-
075-077-079-081-083-085-087-089-091-093-095-097-099-101-103-105-
107-113-115-117-119-121-123-125-127-129-133-135-137-139-141-145-
147-149-151-155-157-159-161-163-190840-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS ALCORN AMITE
ATTALA BENTON BOLIVAR
CALHOUN CARROLL CHICKASAW
CHOCTAW CLAIBORNE CLARKE
CLAY COAHOMA COPIAH
COVINGTON FORREST FRANKLIN
GRENADA HINDS HOLMES
HUMPHREYS ISSAQUENA ITAWAMBA
JASPER JEFFERSON JEFFERSON DAVIS
JONES KEMPER LAFAYETTE
LAMAR LAUDERDALE LAWRENCE
LEAKE LEE LEFLORE
LINCOLN LOWNDES MADISON
MARION MARSHALL MONROE
MONTGOMERY NESHOBA NEWTON
NOXUBEE OKTIBBEHA PANOLA
PIKE PONTOTOC PRENTISS
QUITMAN RANKIN SCOTT
SHARKEY SIMPSON SMITH
SUNFLOWER TALLAHATCHIE TATE
TIPPAH TISHOMINGO UNION
WALTHALL WARREN WASHINGTON
WEBSTER WILKINSON WINSTON
YALOBUSHA YAZOO
$$
TNC023-039-069-071-077-109-190840-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHESTER DECATUR HARDEMAN
HARDIN HENDERSON MCNAIRY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 134
VALID 190625Z - 190740Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..KERR..03/19/08
ATTN...WFO...JAN...LIX...MEG...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 134
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC003-017-190740-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ASHLEY CHICOT
$$
LAC005-025-029-033-035-037-041-047-063-065-067-077-083-091-105-
107-117-121-123-125-190740-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
ASCENSION CATAHOULA CONCORDIA
EAST BATON ROUGE EAST CARROLL EAST FELICIANA
FRANKLIN IBERVILLE LIVINGSTON
MADISON MOREHOUSE POINTE COUPEE
RICHLAND ST. HELENA TANGIPAHOA
TENSAS WASHINGTON WEST BATON ROUGE
WEST CARROLL WEST FELICIANA
$$
MSC001-003-005-007-009-011-013-015-017-019-021-023-025-027-029-
031-035-037-043-049-051-053-055-057-061-063-065-067-069-071-073-
075-077-079-081-083-085-087-089-091-093-095-097-099-101-103-105-
107-113-115-117-119-121-123-125-127-129-133-135-137-139-141-145-
147-149-151-155-157-159-161-163-190740-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS ALCORN AMITE
ATTALA BENTON BOLIVAR
CALHOUN CARROLL CHICKASAW
CHOCTAW CLAIBORNE CLARKE
CLAY COAHOMA COPIAH
COVINGTON FORREST FRANKLIN
GRENADA HINDS HOLMES
HUMPHREYS ISSAQUENA ITAWAMBA
JASPER JEFFERSON JEFFERSON DAVIS
JONES KEMPER LAFAYETTE
LAMAR LAUDERDALE LAWRENCE
LEAKE LEE LEFLORE
LINCOLN LOWNDES MADISON
MARION MARSHALL MONROE
MONTGOMERY NESHOBA NEWTON
NOXUBEE OKTIBBEHA PANOLA
PIKE PONTOTOC PRENTISS
QUITMAN RANKIN SCOTT
SHARKEY SIMPSON SMITH
SUNFLOWER TALLAHATCHIE TATE
TIPPAH TISHOMINGO UNION
WALTHALL WARREN WASHINGTON
WEBSTER WILKINSON WINSTON
YALOBUSHA YAZOO
$$
TNC023-039-069-071-077-109-190740-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHESTER DECATUR HARDEMAN
HARDIN HENDERSON MCNAIRY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 134
VALID 190530Z - 190640Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..KERR..03/19/08
ATTN...WFO...JAN...LIX...MEG...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 134
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC003-017-190640-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ASHLEY CHICOT
$$
LAC005-025-029-033-035-037-041-047-063-065-067-077-083-091-105-
107-117-121-123-125-190640-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
ASCENSION CATAHOULA CONCORDIA
EAST BATON ROUGE EAST CARROLL EAST FELICIANA
FRANKLIN IBERVILLE LIVINGSTON
MADISON MOREHOUSE POINTE COUPEE
RICHLAND ST. HELENA TANGIPAHOA
TENSAS WASHINGTON WEST BATON ROUGE
WEST CARROLL WEST FELICIANA
$$
MSC001-003-005-007-009-011-013-015-017-019-021-023-025-027-029-
031-035-037-043-049-051-053-055-057-061-063-065-067-069-071-073-
075-077-079-081-083-085-087-089-091-093-095-097-099-101-103-105-
107-113-115-117-119-121-123-125-127-129-133-135-137-139-141-145-
147-149-151-155-157-159-161-163-190640-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS ALCORN AMITE
ATTALA BENTON BOLIVAR
CALHOUN CARROLL CHICKASAW
CHOCTAW CLAIBORNE CLARKE
CLAY COAHOMA COPIAH
COVINGTON FORREST FRANKLIN
GRENADA HINDS HOLMES
HUMPHREYS ISSAQUENA ITAWAMBA
JASPER JEFFERSON JEFFERSON DAVIS
JONES KEMPER LAFAYETTE
LAMAR LAUDERDALE LAWRENCE
LEAKE LEE LEFLORE
LINCOLN LOWNDES MADISON
MARION MARSHALL MONROE
MONTGOMERY NESHOBA NEWTON
NOXUBEE OKTIBBEHA PANOLA
PIKE PONTOTOC PRENTISS
QUITMAN RANKIN SCOTT
SHARKEY SIMPSON SMITH
SUNFLOWER TALLAHATCHIE TATE
TIPPAH TISHOMINGO UNION
WALTHALL WARREN WASHINGTON
WEBSTER WILKINSON WINSTON
YALOBUSHA YAZOO
$$
TNC023-039-069-071-077-109-190640-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHESTER DECATUR HARDEMAN
HARDIN HENDERSON MCNAIRY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
High (80%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (10%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (<5%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (>95%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.