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The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL6
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 136...CORRECTED
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
525 PM CDT MON APR 22 2013
CORRECTED FOR WORDING FOR GEOGRAPHIC PORTION OF STATE
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHERN KANSAS
NORTHWESTERN OKLAHOMA
* EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 525 PM UNTIL
1100 PM CDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
SEVERAL DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
SEVERAL LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 70
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 20 MILES SOUTHWEST
OF GAGE OKLAHOMA TO 25 MILES NORTHEAST OF PONCA CITY OKLAHOMA.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
&&
DISCUSSION...STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO FORM PRIMARILY ALONG SWD SURGING
FRONT OVER EXTREME SRN KS INTO NWRN OK. INITIAL STORMS COULD DEVELOP
SUPERCELL STRUCTURES...BUT STORMS MAY EVENTUALLY EVOLVE INTO A SMALL
CLUSTER OR LINE AS THEY CONTINUE SWD WITH A THREAT FOR BOTH ISOLATED
DAMAGING WIND AND LARGE HAIL.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 27035.
...DIAL
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW6
WW 136 SEVERE TSTM KS OK 222225Z - 230400Z
AXIS..70 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
20SW GAG/GAGE OK/ - 25NE PNC/PONCA CITY OK/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 60NM N/S /73SE LBL - 60SE ICT/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27035.
LAT...LON 37090001 37999677 35959677 35060001
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU6.
Watch 136 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 136
VALID 230230Z - 230340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SSW GAG
TO 40 SW EMP.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 551
..COHEN..04/23/13
ATTN...WFO...DDC...ICT...OUN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 136
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC015-035-077-173-191-230340-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUTLER COWLEY HARPER
SEDGWICK SUMNER
$$
OKC003-011-039-043-045-047-053-059-071-073-083-093-103-119-129-
151-153-230340-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALFALFA BLAINE CUSTER
DEWEY ELLIS GARFIELD
GRANT HARPER KAY
KINGFISHER LOGAN MAJOR
NOBLE PAYNE ROGER MILLS
WOODS WOODWARD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 136
VALID 230135Z - 230240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NW GAG TO
15 N ICT.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 550
..COHEN..04/23/13
ATTN...WFO...DDC...ICT...OUN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 136
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC015-035-077-095-173-191-230240-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUTLER COWLEY HARPER
KINGMAN SEDGWICK SUMNER
$$
OKC003-011-039-043-045-047-053-059-071-073-083-093-103-119-129-
151-153-230240-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALFALFA BLAINE CUSTER
DEWEY ELLIS GARFIELD
GRANT HARPER KAY
KINGFISHER LOGAN MAJOR
NOBLE PAYNE ROGER MILLS
WOODS WOODWARD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 136
VALID 230055Z - 230140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 550
..COHEN..04/23/13
ATTN...WFO...DDC...ICT...OUN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 136
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC007-015-033-035-077-095-151-173-191-230140-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBER BUTLER COMANCHE
COWLEY HARPER KINGMAN
PRATT SEDGWICK SUMNER
$$
OKC003-011-039-043-045-047-053-059-071-073-083-093-103-119-129-
151-153-230140-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALFALFA BLAINE CUSTER
DEWEY ELLIS GARFIELD
GRANT HARPER KAY
KINGFISHER LOGAN MAJOR
NOBLE PAYNE ROGER MILLS
WOODS WOODWARD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 136
VALID 230050Z - 230140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..COHEN..04/23/13
ATTN...WFO...DDC...ICT...OUN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 136
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC007-015-033-035-077-095-151-173-191-230140-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBER BUTLER COMANCHE
COWLEY HARPER KINGMAN
PRATT SEDGWICK SUMNER
$$
OKC003-011-039-043-045-047-053-059-071-073-083-093-103-119-129-
151-153-230140-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALFALFA BLAINE CUSTER
DEWEY ELLIS GARFIELD
GRANT HARPER KAY
KINGFISHER LOGAN MAJOR
NOBLE PAYNE ROGER MILLS
WOODS WOODWARD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 136
VALID 222335Z - 230040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..COHEN..04/22/13
ATTN...WFO...DDC...ICT...OUN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 136
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC007-033-077-095-151-230040-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBER COMANCHE HARPER
KINGMAN PRATT
$$
OKC003-011-039-043-045-047-053-059-071-073-083-093-103-119-129-
151-153-230040-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALFALFA BLAINE CUSTER
DEWEY ELLIS GARFIELD
GRANT HARPER KAY
KINGFISHER LOGAN MAJOR
NOBLE PAYNE ROGER MILLS
WOODS WOODWARD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.