SEL8
   
   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 138
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   440 PM CDT THU MAR 27 2008
   
   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
   
          PARTS OF NORTHWEST ARKANSAS
          PARTS OF SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL MISSOURI
          PARTS OF NORTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA
   
   EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 440 PM UNTIL
   1100 PM CDT.
   
   HAIL TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
   MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
   
   THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60
   STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 10 MILES SOUTH
   SOUTHEAST OF MUSKOGEE OKLAHOMA TO 35 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF
   VICHY MISSOURI.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
   ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).
   
   REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
   FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
   AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
   THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
   AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
   DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
   
   DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP RAPIDLY ALONG/AHEAD
   OF COLD FRONT FROM CENTRAL MO TO NERN OK.  WITH MLCAPES TO 2000
   J/KG...STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND 40-50KT OF SHEAR...SEVERE
   THUNDERSTORM ALONG WITH POSSIBLE SUPERCELLS ARE EXPECTED.  PRIMARY
   THREAT WILL BE LARGE HAIL BUT WIND DAMAGE WILL INCREASE BY THIS
   EVENING AS STORMS EVOLVE MORE INTO SHORT LINES/BOWS.
   
   AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
   TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
   KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
   MOTION VECTOR 24030.
   
   
   ...HALES

   SEL8
   
   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 138
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   440 PM CDT THU MAR 27 2008
   
   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
   
          PARTS OF NORTHWEST ARKANSAS
          PARTS OF SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL MISSOURI
          PARTS OF NORTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA
   
   EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 440 PM UNTIL
   1100 PM CDT.
   
   HAIL TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
   MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
   
   THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60
   STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 10 MILES SOUTH
   SOUTHEAST OF MUSKOGEE OKLAHOMA TO 35 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF
   VICHY MISSOURI.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
   ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).
   
   REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
   FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
   AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
   THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
   AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
   DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
   
   DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP RAPIDLY ALONG/AHEAD
   OF COLD FRONT FROM CENTRAL MO TO NERN OK.  WITH MLCAPES TO 2000
   J/KG...STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND 40-50KT OF SHEAR...SEVERE
   THUNDERSTORM ALONG WITH POSSIBLE SUPERCELLS ARE EXPECTED.  PRIMARY
   THREAT WILL BE LARGE HAIL BUT WIND DAMAGE WILL INCREASE BY THIS
   EVENING AS STORMS EVOLVE MORE INTO SHORT LINES/BOWS.
   
   AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
   TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
   KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
   MOTION VECTOR 24030.
   
   
   ...HALES

   WOUS64 KWNS 272136
   WOU8
   
   BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 138
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   440 PM CDT THU MAR 27 2008
   
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 138 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT
   FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS
   
   ARC007-015-033-047-087-143-280400-
   /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0138.080327T2140Z-080328T0400Z/
   
   AR 
   .    ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
   
   BENTON               CARROLL             CRAWFORD            
   FRANKLIN             MADISON             WASHINGTON          
   
   
   MOC009-015-029-039-043-051-055-057-059-065-067-071-073-077-085-
   097-105-109-119-125-131-135-141-145-151-153-161-167-169-209-213-
   215-221-225-229-280400-
   /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0138.080327T2140Z-080328T0400Z/
   
   MO 
   .    MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
   
   BARRY                BENTON              CAMDEN              
   CEDAR                CHRISTIAN           COLE                
   CRAWFORD             DADE                DALLAS              
   DENT                 DOUGLAS             FRANKLIN            
   GASCONADE            GREENE              HICKORY             
   JASPER               LACLEDE             LAWRENCE            
   MARIES               MCDONALD            MILLER              
   MONITEAU             MORGAN              NEWTON              
   OSAGE                OZARK               PHELPS              
   POLK                 PULASKI             STONE               
   TANEY                TEXAS               WASHINGTON          
   WEBSTER              WRIGHT              
   
   
   OKC001-021-041-091-097-101-107-111-115-135-145-280400-
   /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0138.080327T2140Z-080328T0400Z/
   
   OK 
   .    OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
   
   ADAIR                CHEROKEE            DELAWARE            
   MAYES                MCINTOSH            MUSKOGEE            
   OKFUSKEE             OKMULGEE            OTTAWA              
   SEQUOYAH             WAGONER             
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...TSA...SGF...LSX...
   
   
   

   SAW8 
   WW 138 SEVERE TSTM AR MO OK 272140Z - 280400Z
   AXIS..60 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
   10SSE MKO/MUSKOGEE OK/ - 35NNE VIH/VICHY MO/
   ..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM E/W /46SSE TUL - 35ESE COU/
   HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
   MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24030.
   
   LAT...LON 35529637 38599262 38599041 35529423
   
   THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA.  FOR A
   COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
   FOR WOU8.
   

Watch 138 Status Report Messages:

STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 138

VALID 280340Z - 280400Z

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 ESE MKO
TO 25 NNW FYV TO 10 SE SGF TO 30 ESE TBN.

WW 138 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 280400Z. 

THREAT FOR HAIL WILL PERSIST WITH CLUSTER OF STORMS IN SRN MO. 
THIS ACTIVITY WILL EVENTUALLY SHIFT EAST INTO WW 139. STORM IN 
E CNTRL OK WILL REMAIN CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL NEXT HOUR 
OR SO...BUT THREAT APPEARS TOO ISOLATED FOR ANOTHER WW IN THIS 
REGION. 

..DIAL..03/28/08

ATTN...WFO...TSA...SGF...LSX...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 138 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

ARC007-015-033-047-087-131-143-280400-

AR 
.    ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BENTON		     CARROLL		 CRAWFORD	     
FRANKLIN	     MADISON		 SEBASTIAN	     
WASHINGTON	     
$$


MOC009-043-067-153-209-213-215-229-280400-

MO 
.    MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BARRY		     CHRISTIAN		 DOUGLAS	     
OZARK		     STONE		 TANEY		     
TEXAS		     WRIGHT		 
$$


OKC001-061-077-079-135-280400-

OK 
.    OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ADAIR		     HASKELL		 LATIMER	     
LE FLORE	     SEQUOYAH		 
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 138

VALID 280240Z - 280340Z

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 WSW MKO
TO 30 N FYV TO 10 SSE SGF TO 40 E SGF TO 15 E VIH TO 15 SSE JEF
TO 10 E JEF.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 491

..DIAL..03/28/08

ATTN...WFO...TSA...SGF...LSX...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 138 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

ARC007-015-033-047-087-131-143-280340-

AR 
.    ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BENTON		     CARROLL		 CRAWFORD	     
FRANKLIN	     MADISON		 SEBASTIAN	     
WASHINGTON	     
$$


MOC009-043-055-065-067-071-073-151-153-209-213-215-221-229-
280340-

MO 
.    MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BARRY		     CHRISTIAN		 CRAWFORD	     
DENT		     DOUGLAS		 FRANKLIN	     
GASCONADE	     OSAGE		 OZARK		     
STONE		     TANEY		 TEXAS		     
WASHINGTON	     WRIGHT		 
$$


OKC001-061-077-079-091-101-121-135-280340-

OK 
.    OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ADAIR		     HASKELL		 LATIMER	     
LE FLORE	     MCINTOSH		 MUSKOGEE	     
PITTSBURG	     SEQUOYAH		 
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 138

VALID 280135Z - 280240Z

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 WSW MKO
TO 10 SE SGF TO 40 E SGF TO 15 E VIH TO 15 SSE JEF TO 10 E JEF.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 489

..DIAL..03/28/08

ATTN...WFO...TSA...SGF...LSX...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 138 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

ARC007-015-033-047-087-131-143-280240-

AR 
.    ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BENTON		     CARROLL		 CRAWFORD	     
FRANKLIN	     MADISON		 SEBASTIAN	     
WASHINGTON	     
$$


MOC009-043-055-065-067-071-073-151-153-209-213-215-221-229-
280240-

MO 
.    MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BARRY		     CHRISTIAN		 CRAWFORD	     
DENT		     DOUGLAS		 FRANKLIN	     
GASCONADE	     OSAGE		 OZARK		     
STONE		     TANEY		 TEXAS		     
WASHINGTON	     WRIGHT		 
$$


OKC001-061-077-079-091-101-121-135-280240-

OK 
.    OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ADAIR		     HASKELL		 LATIMER	     
LE FLORE	     MCINTOSH		 MUSKOGEE	     
PITTSBURG	     SEQUOYAH		 
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 138

VALID 280030Z - 280140Z

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 WSW MKO
TO 25 E GMJ TO 25 W TBN TO 5 SE JEF.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE FORTHCOMING MESOSCALE DISCUSSION
489. 
..GRAMS..03/28/08

ATTN...WFO...TSA...SGF...LSX...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 138 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

ARC007-015-033-047-087-131-143-280140-

AR 
.    ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BENTON		     CARROLL		 CRAWFORD	     
FRANKLIN	     MADISON		 SEBASTIAN	     
WASHINGTON	     
$$


MOC009-043-055-065-067-071-073-105-125-151-153-161-169-209-213-
215-221-225-229-280140-

MO 
.    MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BARRY		     CHRISTIAN		 CRAWFORD	     
DENT		     DOUGLAS		 FRANKLIN	     
GASCONADE	     LACLEDE		 MARIES 	     
OSAGE		     OZARK		 PHELPS 	     
PULASKI 	     STONE		 TANEY		     
TEXAS		     WASHINGTON 	 WEBSTER	     
WRIGHT		     
$$


OKC001-021-061-077-079-091-101-121-135-280140-

OK 
.    OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ADAIR		     CHEROKEE		 HASKELL	     
LATIMER 	     LE FLORE		 MCINTOSH	     
MUSKOGEE	     PITTSBURG		 SEQUOYAH	     
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 138

VALID 272335Z - 280040Z

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 WSW MKO
TO 25 WNW SGF TO 45 WNW TBN TO 20 WSW COU.

..DIAL..03/27/08

ATTN...WFO...TSA...SGF...LSX...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 138 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

ARC007-015-033-047-087-143-280040-

AR 
.    ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BENTON		     CARROLL		 CRAWFORD	     
FRANKLIN	     MADISON		 WASHINGTON	     
$$


MOC009-029-043-051-055-059-065-067-071-073-077-105-109-119-125-
131-135-145-151-153-161-167-169-209-213-215-221-225-229-
280040-

MO 
.    MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BARRY		     CAMDEN		 CHRISTIAN	     
COLE		     CRAWFORD		 DALLAS 	     
DENT		     DOUGLAS		 FRANKLIN	     
GASCONADE	     GREENE		 LACLEDE	     
LAWRENCE	     MCDONALD		 MARIES 	     
MILLER		     MONITEAU		 NEWTON 	     
OSAGE		     OZARK		 PHELPS 	     
POLK		     PULASKI		 STONE		     
TANEY		     TEXAS		 WASHINGTON	     
WEBSTER 	     WRIGHT		 
$$


OKC001-021-041-091-097-101-107-111-135-145-280040-

OK 
.    OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ADAIR		     CHEROKEE		 DELAWARE	     
MCINTOSH	     MAYES		 MUSKOGEE	     
OKFUSKEE	     OKMULGEE		 SEQUOYAH	     
WAGONER 	     
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

Please visit the National Weather Service Interactive Weather Information Network (IWIN) for more information on the warnings.

For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch (listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster. The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2% to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities), "Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%. High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of an increased threat for a particular event.