Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL0
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 140
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
930 PM CDT FRI APR 26 2013
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHERN AND EASTERN OKLAHOMA
* EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING FROM 930 PM
UNTIL 400 AM CDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
SEVERAL LARGE HAIL EVENTS WITH A FEW VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 2
INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
SEVERAL DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 55
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 20 MILES SOUTH
SOUTHWEST OF CHICKASHA OKLAHOMA TO 75 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF
MCALESTER OKLAHOMA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE
THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 139...
DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING EAST SOUTHEASTWARD ALONG A
FRONTAL ZONE ACROSS CENTRAL INTO SOUTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA APPEAR LIKELY
TO MAINTAIN STRENGTH AT LEAST INTO THE 06-07Z TIME FRAME. STRONGEST
ACTIVITY WILL REMAIN CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SEVERE HAIL AND A FEW
POTENTIALLY DAMAGING WIND GUSTS.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 28035.
...KERR
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW0
WW 140 SEVERE TSTM OK 270230Z - 270900Z
AXIS..55 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
20SSW CHK/CHICKASHA OK/ - 75ESE MLC/MCALESTER OK/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM N/S /40SW OKC - 57SSW FSM/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 28035.
LAT...LON 35639809 35259455 33659455 34049809
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU0.
Watch 140 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 140
VALID 270740Z - 270840Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 5 WSW DUA TO
15 S RKR.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 561
..SMITH..04/27/13
ATTN...WFO...OUN...TSA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 140
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC013-023-079-127-270840-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BRYAN CHOCTAW LE FLORE
PUSHMATAHA
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 140
VALID 270635Z - 270740Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SSW ADM
TO 20 NNW RKR.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 561
..SMITH..04/27/13
ATTN...WFO...OUN...TSA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 140
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC005-013-023-029-061-069-077-079-095-127-270740-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATOKA BRYAN CHOCTAW
COAL HASKELL JOHNSTON
LATIMER LE FLORE MARSHALL
PUSHMATAHA
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 140
VALID 270525Z - 270640Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 5 W CHK TO
25 W MLC TO 25 SW MKO.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 560
..SMITH..04/27/13
ATTN...WFO...OUN...TSA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 140
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC005-013-019-023-029-049-051-061-063-067-069-077-079-085-087-
091-095-099-101-121-123-127-137-270640-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATOKA BRYAN CARTER
CHOCTAW COAL GARVIN
GRADY HASKELL HUGHES
JEFFERSON JOHNSTON LATIMER
LE FLORE LOVE MCCLAIN
MCINTOSH MARSHALL MURRAY
MUSKOGEE PITTSBURG PONTOTOC
PUSHMATAHA STEPHENS
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 140
VALID 270440Z - 270540Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 W CHK TO
40 S CQB TO 40 SSE CQB TO 20 SSE TUL.
..JEWELL..04/27/13
ATTN...WFO...OUN...TSA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 140
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC005-013-019-023-029-049-051-061-063-067-069-077-079-085-087-
091-095-099-101-107-111-121-123-125-127-133-137-270540-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATOKA BRYAN CARTER
CHOCTAW COAL GARVIN
GRADY HASKELL HUGHES
JEFFERSON JOHNSTON LATIMER
LE FLORE LOVE MCCLAIN
MCINTOSH MARSHALL MURRAY
MUSKOGEE OKFUSKEE OKMULGEE
PITTSBURG PONTOTOC POTTAWATOMIE
PUSHMATAHA SEMINOLE STEPHENS
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (10%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.