Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL1
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 141
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
955 PM CDT SUN MAR 30 2008
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
A LARGE PART OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN KANSAS
EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING FROM 955 PM UNTIL
500 AM CDT.
HAIL TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 70
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 45 MILES SOUTH
SOUTHWEST OF WICHITA KANSAS TO 60 MILES NORTH OF MANHATTAN
KANSAS. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED
WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 140...
DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP RAPIDLY NEWD FROM
CENTRAL OK INTO KS AS LOW/MID LEVEL JET INCREASES AHEAD OF
APPROACHING S/WV TROUGH NOW CROSSING CENTRAL ROCKIES. STEEP MID
LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND THE INCREASE IN GULF MOISTURE WILL SUPPORT
ELEVATED SUPERCELLS. PRIMARY THREAT WILL BE LARGE HAIL GIVEN THE
STABLE LOW LEVELS...HOWEVER AS WARM SECTOR SHIFTS NWD INTO SRN KS
THERE COULD BE AN INCREASING CONCERN OF DAMAGING WINDS.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 24030.
...HALES
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW1
WW 141 SEVERE TSTM KS 310255Z - 311000Z
AXIS..70 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
45SSW ICT/WICHITA KS/ - 60N MHK/MANHATTAN KS/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 60NM E/W /43NNE END - 24WSW PWE/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24030.
LAT...LON 37049901 39999798 39999534 37049647
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU1.
Watch 141 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #7 ON WW 141
VALID 310850Z - 310940Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SE P28 TO
25 SE RSL.
CORRECTED TO ADD CLEARANCE LINE.
..SPC..03/31/08
ATTN...WFO...DDC...ICT...TOP...GID...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 141
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC013-015-017-019-027-029-035-041-049-053-061-073-077-079-085-
087-089-095-105-111-113-115-117-123-127-131-139-143-149-155-157-
159-161-169-173-177-191-197-201-310940-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BROWN BUTLER CHASE
CHAUTAUQUA CLAY CLOUD
COWLEY DICKINSON ELK
ELLSWORTH GEARY GREENWOOD
HARPER HARVEY JACKSON
JEFFERSON JEWELL KINGMAN
LINCOLN LYON MCPHERSON
MARION MARSHALL MITCHELL
MORRIS NEMAHA OSAGE
OTTAWA POTTAWATOMIE RENO
REPUBLIC RICE RILEY
SALINE SEDGWICK SHAWNEE
SUMNER WABAUNSEE WASHINGTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 141
VALID 310850Z - 310940Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..SPC..03/31/08
ATTN...WFO...DDC...ICT...TOP...GID...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 141
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC013-015-017-019-027-029-035-041-049-053-061-073-077-079-085-
087-089-095-105-111-113-115-117-123-127-131-139-143-149-155-157-
159-161-169-173-177-191-197-201-310940-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BROWN BUTLER CHASE
CHAUTAUQUA CLAY CLOUD
COWLEY DICKINSON ELK
ELLSWORTH GEARY GREENWOOD
HARPER HARVEY JACKSON
JEFFERSON JEWELL KINGMAN
LINCOLN LYON MCPHERSON
MARION MARSHALL MITCHELL
MORRIS NEMAHA OSAGE
OTTAWA POTTAWATOMIE RENO
REPUBLIC RICE RILEY
SALINE SEDGWICK SHAWNEE
SUMNER WABAUNSEE WASHINGTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 141
VALID 310800Z - 310940Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 509
..RACY..03/31/08
ATTN...WFO...DDC...ICT...TOP...GID...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 141
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC007-009-013-015-017-019-027-029-035-041-049-053-061-073-077-
079-085-087-089-095-105-111-113-115-117-123-127-131-139-143-149-
151-155-157-159-161-169-173-177-185-191-197-201-310940-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBER BARTON BROWN
BUTLER CHASE CHAUTAUQUA
CLAY CLOUD COWLEY
DICKINSON ELK ELLSWORTH
GEARY GREENWOOD HARPER
HARVEY JACKSON JEFFERSON
JEWELL KINGMAN LINCOLN
LYON MCPHERSON MARION
MARSHALL MITCHELL MORRIS
NEMAHA OSAGE OTTAWA
POTTAWATOMIE PRATT RENO
REPUBLIC RICE RILEY
SALINE SEDGWICK SHAWNEE
STAFFORD SUMNER WABAUNSEE
WASHINGTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 141
VALID 310650Z - 310740Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 509
..SPC..03/31/08
ATTN...WFO...DDC...ICT...TOP...GID...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 141
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC007-009-013-015-017-019-027-029-035-041-049-053-061-073-077-
079-085-087-089-095-105-111-113-115-117-123-127-131-139-143-149-
151-155-157-159-161-169-173-177-185-191-197-201-310740-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBER BARTON BROWN
BUTLER CHASE CHAUTAUQUA
CLAY CLOUD COWLEY
DICKINSON ELK ELLSWORTH
GEARY GREENWOOD HARPER
HARVEY JACKSON JEFFERSON
JEWELL KINGMAN LINCOLN
LYON MCPHERSON MARION
MARSHALL MITCHELL MORRIS
NEMAHA OSAGE OTTAWA
POTTAWATOMIE PRATT RENO
REPUBLIC RICE RILEY
SALINE SEDGWICK SHAWNEE
STAFFORD SUMNER WABAUNSEE
WASHINGTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 141
VALID 310555Z - 310640Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..SPC..03/31/08
ATTN...WFO...DDC...ICT...TOP...GID...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 141
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC007-009-013-015-017-019-027-029-035-041-049-053-061-073-077-
079-085-087-089-095-105-111-113-115-117-123-127-131-139-143-149-
151-155-157-159-161-169-173-177-185-191-197-201-310640-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBER BARTON BROWN
BUTLER CHASE CHAUTAUQUA
CLAY CLOUD COWLEY
DICKINSON ELK ELLSWORTH
GEARY GREENWOOD HARPER
HARVEY JACKSON JEFFERSON
JEWELL KINGMAN LINCOLN
LYON MCPHERSON MARION
MARSHALL MITCHELL MORRIS
NEMAHA OSAGE OTTAWA
POTTAWATOMIE PRATT RENO
REPUBLIC RICE RILEY
SALINE SEDGWICK SHAWNEE
STAFFORD SUMNER WABAUNSEE
WASHINGTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 141
VALID 310445Z - 310540Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..DARROW..03/31/08
ATTN...WFO...DDC...ICT...TOP...GID...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 141
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC007-009-013-015-017-019-027-029-035-041-049-053-061-073-077-
079-085-087-089-095-105-111-113-115-117-123-127-131-139-143-149-
151-155-157-159-161-169-173-177-185-191-197-201-310540-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBER BARTON BROWN
BUTLER CHASE CHAUTAUQUA
CLAY CLOUD COWLEY
DICKINSON ELK ELLSWORTH
GEARY GREENWOOD HARPER
HARVEY JACKSON JEFFERSON
JEWELL KINGMAN LINCOLN
LYON MCPHERSON MARION
MARSHALL MITCHELL MORRIS
NEMAHA OSAGE OTTAWA
POTTAWATOMIE PRATT RENO
REPUBLIC RICE RILEY
SALINE SEDGWICK SHAWNEE
STAFFORD SUMNER WABAUNSEE
WASHINGTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 141
VALID 310345Z - 310440Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..DARROW..03/31/08
ATTN...WFO...DDC...ICT...TOP...GID...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 141
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC007-009-013-015-017-019-027-029-035-041-049-053-061-073-077-
079-085-087-089-095-105-111-113-115-117-123-127-131-139-143-149-
151-155-157-159-161-169-173-177-185-191-197-201-310440-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBER BARTON BROWN
BUTLER CHASE CHAUTAUQUA
CLAY CLOUD COWLEY
DICKINSON ELK ELLSWORTH
GEARY GREENWOOD HARPER
HARVEY JACKSON JEFFERSON
JEWELL KINGMAN LINCOLN
LYON MCPHERSON MARION
MARSHALL MITCHELL MORRIS
NEMAHA OSAGE OTTAWA
POTTAWATOMIE PRATT RENO
REPUBLIC RICE RILEY
SALINE SEDGWICK SHAWNEE
STAFFORD SUMNER WABAUNSEE
WASHINGTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.