Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL2
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 142
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
505 PM CDT SAT APR 27 2013
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTH TEXAS
COASTAL WATERS
* EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND SUNDAY MORNING FROM 505
PM UNTIL 100 AM CDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
SEVERAL VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
SEVERAL DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WITH A FEW SIGNIFICANT GUSTS TO 75
MPH POSSIBLE
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 70
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM DEL RIO TEXAS TO 30
MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF HUNTSVILLE TEXAS. FOR A COMPLETE
DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 141...
DISCUSSION...TSTMS FCST TO CONTINUE INCREASING IN COVERAGE THROUGH
AT LEAST EARLY EVENING ACROSS THIS AREA IN FRONTAL AND SEA-BREEZE
REGIMES...WITH OUTFLOW-BOUNDARY INTERSECTIONS ALSO OFFERING
LOCALIZED FOCI FOR TSTM INITIATION AND MAINTENANCE. WITH WWD EXTENT
ACROSS WW AREA...EXPECT GREATER DEEP SHEAR...BUOYANCY...AND EXPECTED
ORGANIZATION OF SVR POTENTIAL...INCLUDING RISK OF
SIGNIFICANT/DAMAGING HAIL WITH ANY RELATIVELY DISCRETE SUPERCELLS.
HOWEVER...OVERALL COVERAGE MAY CONTINUE TO BE GREATER WITH EWD
EXTENT INTO SOMEWHAT WEAKER PARAMETER SPACE. DAMAGING GUSTS AND
LARGE HAIL THEREFORE ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS ENTIRE WW AREA.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 65
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 30025.
...EDWARDS
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW2
WW 142 SEVERE TSTM TX CW 272205Z - 280600Z
AXIS..70 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
DRT/DEL RIO TX/ - 30ESE UTS/HUNTSVILLE TX/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 60NM N/S /8W DLF - 39SSW LFK/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..3 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..65 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 30025.
LAT...LON 30370091 31579500 29549500 28360091
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU2.
Watch 142 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 142
VALID 280440Z - 280540Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 WNW COT
TO 20 S HDO TO 20 NNW HDO TO 55 SSW JCT TO 20 N DRT TO 45 N DRT
TO 10 WNW LFK.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE SPC MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 572.
..EDWARDS..04/28/13
ATTN...WFO...EWX...HGX...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 142
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC013-015-019-021-029-031-039-041-051-055-071-089-091-123-127-
137-149-157-163-167-171-177-185-187-201-209-225-239-255-259-265-
285-287-291-313-321-325-331-339-373-385-395-407-453-455-465-471-
473-477-481-491-493-507-280540-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATASCOSA AUSTIN BANDERA
BASTROP BEXAR BLANCO
BRAZORIA BRAZOS BURLESON
CALDWELL CHAMBERS COLORADO
COMAL DEWITT DIMMIT
EDWARDS FAYETTE FORT BEND
FRIO GALVESTON GILLESPIE
GONZALES GRIMES GUADALUPE
HARRIS HAYS HOUSTON
JACKSON KARNES KENDALL
KERR LAVACA LEE
LIBERTY MADISON MATAGORDA
MEDINA MILAM MONTGOMERY
POLK REAL ROBERTSON
SAN JACINTO TRAVIS TRINITY
VAL VERDE WALKER WALLER
WASHINGTON WHARTON WILLIAMSON
WILSON ZAVALA
$$
GMZ335-280540-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
GALVESTON BAY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 142
VALID 280328Z - 280440Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE SPC MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 572.
..EDWARDS..04/28/13
ATTN...WFO...EWX...HGX...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 142
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC013-015-019-021-027-029-031-039-041-051-055-071-089-091-123-
127-137-149-157-163-167-171-177-185-187-201-209-225-239-255-259-
265-271-285-287-289-291-313-321-323-325-331-339-373-385-395-407-
453-455-463-465-471-473-477-481-491-493-507-280440-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATASCOSA AUSTIN BANDERA
BASTROP BELL BEXAR
BLANCO BRAZORIA BRAZOS
BURLESON CALDWELL CHAMBERS
COLORADO COMAL DEWITT
DIMMIT EDWARDS FAYETTE
FORT BEND FRIO GALVESTON
GILLESPIE GONZALES GRIMES
GUADALUPE HARRIS HAYS
HOUSTON JACKSON KARNES
KENDALL KERR KINNEY
LAVACA LEE LEON
LIBERTY MADISON MATAGORDA
MAVERICK MEDINA MILAM
MONTGOMERY POLK REAL
ROBERTSON SAN JACINTO TRAVIS
TRINITY UVALDE VAL VERDE
WALKER WALLER WASHINGTON
WHARTON WILLIAMSON WILSON
ZAVALA
$$
GMZ335-280440-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
GALVESTON BAY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 142
VALID 280239Z - 280340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..EDWARDS..04/28/13
ATTN...WFO...EWX...HGX...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 142
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC013-015-019-021-027-029-031-039-041-051-055-071-089-091-123-
127-137-149-157-163-167-171-177-185-187-201-209-225-239-255-259-
265-271-285-287-289-291-313-321-323-325-331-339-373-385-395-407-
453-455-463-465-471-473-477-481-491-493-507-280340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATASCOSA AUSTIN BANDERA
BASTROP BELL BEXAR
BLANCO BRAZORIA BRAZOS
BURLESON CALDWELL CHAMBERS
COLORADO COMAL DEWITT
DIMMIT EDWARDS FAYETTE
FORT BEND FRIO GALVESTON
GILLESPIE GONZALES GRIMES
GUADALUPE HARRIS HAYS
HOUSTON JACKSON KARNES
KENDALL KERR KINNEY
LAVACA LEE LEON
LIBERTY MADISON MATAGORDA
MAVERICK MEDINA MILAM
MONTGOMERY POLK REAL
ROBERTSON SAN JACINTO TRAVIS
TRINITY UVALDE VAL VERDE
WALKER WALLER WASHINGTON
WHARTON WILLIAMSON WILSON
ZAVALA
$$
GMZ335-280340-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
GALVESTON BAY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 142
VALID 280121Z - 280240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE SPC MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 567.
..EDWARDS..04/28/13
ATTN...WFO...EWX...HGX...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 142
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC013-015-019-021-027-029-031-039-041-051-055-071-089-091-123-
127-137-149-157-163-167-171-177-185-187-201-209-225-239-255-259-
265-271-285-287-289-291-313-321-323-325-331-339-373-385-395-407-
453-455-463-465-471-473-477-481-491-493-507-280240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATASCOSA AUSTIN BANDERA
BASTROP BELL BEXAR
BLANCO BRAZORIA BRAZOS
BURLESON CALDWELL CHAMBERS
COLORADO COMAL DEWITT
DIMMIT EDWARDS FAYETTE
FORT BEND FRIO GALVESTON
GILLESPIE GONZALES GRIMES
GUADALUPE HARRIS HAYS
HOUSTON JACKSON KARNES
KENDALL KERR KINNEY
LAVACA LEE LEON
LIBERTY MADISON MATAGORDA
MAVERICK MEDINA MILAM
MONTGOMERY POLK REAL
ROBERTSON SAN JACINTO TRAVIS
TRINITY UVALDE VAL VERDE
WALKER WALLER WASHINGTON
WHARTON WILLIAMSON WILSON
ZAVALA
$$
GMZ335-280240-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
GALVESTON BAY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 142
VALID 280022Z - 280140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE SPC MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 567.
..EDWARDS..04/28/13
ATTN...WFO...EWX...HGX...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 142
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC013-015-019-021-027-029-031-039-041-051-055-071-089-091-123-
127-137-149-157-163-167-171-177-185-187-201-209-225-239-255-259-
265-271-285-287-289-291-313-321-323-325-331-339-373-385-395-407-
453-455-463-465-471-473-477-481-491-493-507-280140-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATASCOSA AUSTIN BANDERA
BASTROP BELL BEXAR
BLANCO BRAZORIA BRAZOS
BURLESON CALDWELL CHAMBERS
COLORADO COMAL DEWITT
DIMMIT EDWARDS FAYETTE
FORT BEND FRIO GALVESTON
GILLESPIE GONZALES GRIMES
GUADALUPE HARRIS HAYS
HOUSTON JACKSON KARNES
KENDALL KERR KINNEY
LAVACA LEE LEON
LIBERTY MADISON MATAGORDA
MAVERICK MEDINA MILAM
MONTGOMERY POLK REAL
ROBERTSON SAN JACINTO TRAVIS
TRINITY UVALDE VAL VERDE
WALKER WALLER WASHINGTON
WHARTON WILLIAMSON WILSON
ZAVALA
$$
GMZ335-280140-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
GALVESTON BAY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 142
VALID 272325Z - 280040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION FORTHCOMING.
..EDWARDS..04/27/13
ATTN...WFO...EWX...HGX...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 142
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC013-015-019-021-027-029-031-039-041-051-055-071-089-091-123-
127-137-149-157-163-167-171-177-185-187-201-209-225-239-255-259-
265-271-285-287-289-291-313-321-323-325-331-339-373-385-395-407-
453-455-463-465-471-473-477-481-491-493-507-280040-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATASCOSA AUSTIN BANDERA
BASTROP BELL BEXAR
BLANCO BRAZORIA BRAZOS
BURLESON CALDWELL CHAMBERS
COLORADO COMAL DEWITT
DIMMIT EDWARDS FAYETTE
FORT BEND FRIO GALVESTON
GILLESPIE GONZALES GRIMES
GUADALUPE HARRIS HAYS
HOUSTON JACKSON KARNES
KENDALL KERR KINNEY
LAVACA LEE LEON
LIBERTY MADISON MATAGORDA
MAVERICK MEDINA MILAM
MONTGOMERY POLK REAL
ROBERTSON SAN JACINTO TRAVIS
TRINITY UVALDE VAL VERDE
WALKER WALLER WASHINGTON
WHARTON WILLIAMSON WILSON
ZAVALA
$$
GMZ335-280040-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
GALVESTON BAY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (50%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.