Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL7
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 157
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
445 PM CDT THU APR 16 2009
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHERN TEXAS PANHANDLE
EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON FROM 445 PM UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 70 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 50 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF
PLAINVIEW TEXAS TO 60 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF SAN ANGELO TEXAS.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 155...WW 156...
DISCUSSION...STORMS CONTINUE TO INCREASE AND INTENSIFY ALONG AND E
OF DRY LINE ACROSS WRN TX PANHANDLE. WITH STRONG SHEAR PROFILES AND
STEEP LAPSE RATES POTENTIAL FOR SUPERCELLS INCLUDING LARGE HAIL AND
TORNADOES IS INCREASING. STORMS WILL DEVELOP FURTHER S INTO THE
EVENING TO S AND E OF MAF.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23030.
...HALES
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW7
WW 157 TORNADO TX 162145Z - 170500Z
AXIS..70 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
50NNE PVW/PLAINVIEW TX/ - 60WSW SJT/SAN ANGELO TX/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 60NM E/W /30SSE AMA - 54WSW SJT/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..3 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23030.
LAT...LON 34830015 31030025 31030262 34830262
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU7.
Watch 157 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #7 ON WW 157
VALID 170440Z - 170540Z
AN ISOLATED SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35
ENE FST TO 30 SE MAF TO 10 N BGS TO 35 SSE LBB TO 20 WSW PVW TO 30
NW PVW TO 35 SW AMA.
..MEAD..04/17/09
ATTN...WFO...MAF...LUB...SJT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 157
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC033-045-075-081-101-105-107-125-151-153-169-173-189-191-227-
235-263-269-335-345-353-383-415-431-433-437-461-170540-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BORDEN BRISCOE CHILDRESS
COKE COTTLE CROCKETT
CROSBY DICKENS FISHER
FLOYD GARZA GLASSCOCK
HALE HALL HOWARD
IRION KENT KING
MITCHELL MOTLEY NOLAN
REAGAN SCURRY STERLING
STONEWALL SWISHER UPTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 157
VALID 170330Z - 170440Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NE FST TO
25 SW MAF TO 45 SSW LBB TO 25 W LBB TO 45 ESE CVS TO 50 WSW AMA.
..MEAD..04/17/09
ATTN...WFO...MAF...LUB...SJT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 157
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC033-045-069-075-081-101-103-105-107-115-125-151-153-169-173-
189-191-219-227-235-263-269-279-303-305-317-329-335-345-353-383-
415-431-433-437-461-170440-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BORDEN BRISCOE CASTRO
CHILDRESS COKE COTTLE
CRANE CROCKETT CROSBY
DAWSON DICKENS FISHER
FLOYD GARZA GLASSCOCK
HALE HALL HOCKLEY
HOWARD IRION KENT
KING LAMB LUBBOCK
LYNN MARTIN MIDLAND
MITCHELL MOTLEY NOLAN
REAGAN SCURRY STERLING
STONEWALL SWISHER UPTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 157
VALID 170230Z - 170340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..MEAD..04/17/09
ATTN...WFO...MAF...LUB...SJT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 157
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC003-033-045-069-075-081-101-103-107-115-125-135-151-153-165-
169-173-189-191-219-227-235-263-269-279-303-305-317-329-335-345-
353-383-415-431-433-437-445-461-170340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDREWS BORDEN BRISCOE
CASTRO CHILDRESS COKE
COTTLE CRANE CROSBY
DAWSON DICKENS ECTOR
FISHER FLOYD GAINES
GARZA GLASSCOCK HALE
HALL HOCKLEY HOWARD
IRION KENT KING
LAMB LUBBOCK LYNN
MARTIN MIDLAND MITCHELL
MOTLEY NOLAN REAGAN
SCURRY STERLING STONEWALL
SWISHER TERRY UPTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 157
VALID 170140Z - 170240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 490.
..MEAD..04/17/09
ATTN...WFO...MAF...LUB...SJT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 157
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC003-033-045-069-075-081-101-103-107-115-125-135-151-153-165-
169-173-189-191-219-227-235-263-269-279-303-305-317-329-335-345-
353-383-415-431-433-437-445-461-170240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDREWS BORDEN BRISCOE
CASTRO CHILDRESS COKE
COTTLE CRANE CROSBY
DAWSON DICKENS ECTOR
FISHER FLOYD GAINES
GARZA GLASSCOCK HALE
HALL HOCKLEY HOWARD
IRION KENT KING
LAMB LUBBOCK LYNN
MARTIN MIDLAND MITCHELL
MOTLEY NOLAN REAGAN
SCURRY STERLING STONEWALL
SWISHER TERRY UPTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 157
VALID 170040Z - 170140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..MEAD..04/17/09
ATTN...WFO...MAF...LUB...SJT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 157
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC003-033-045-069-075-081-101-103-107-115-125-135-151-153-165-
169-173-189-191-219-227-235-263-269-279-303-305-317-329-335-345-
353-383-415-431-433-437-445-461-170140-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDREWS BORDEN BRISCOE
CASTRO CHILDRESS COKE
COTTLE CRANE CROSBY
DAWSON DICKENS ECTOR
FISHER FLOYD GAINES
GARZA GLASSCOCK HALE
HALL HOCKLEY HOWARD
IRION KENT KING
LAMB LUBBOCK LYNN
MARTIN MIDLAND MITCHELL
MOTLEY NOLAN REAGAN
SCURRY STERLING STONEWALL
SWISHER TERRY UPTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 157
VALID 162355Z - 170040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..MEAD..04/16/09
ATTN...WFO...MAF...LUB...SJT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 157
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC003-033-045-069-075-081-101-103-107-115-125-135-151-153-165-
169-173-189-191-219-227-235-263-269-279-303-305-317-329-335-345-
353-383-415-431-433-437-445-461-170040-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDREWS BORDEN BRISCOE
CASTRO CHILDRESS COKE
COTTLE CRANE CROSBY
DAWSON DICKENS ECTOR
FISHER FLOYD GAINES
GARZA GLASSCOCK HALE
HALL HOCKLEY HOWARD
IRION KENT KING
LAMB LUBBOCK LYNN
MARTIN MIDLAND MITCHELL
MOTLEY NOLAN REAGAN
SCURRY STERLING STONEWALL
SWISHER TERRY UPTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 157
VALID 162235Z - 162340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..MEAD..04/16/09
ATTN...WFO...MAF...LUB...SJT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 157
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC003-033-045-069-075-081-101-103-107-115-125-135-151-153-165-
169-173-189-191-219-227-235-263-269-279-303-305-317-329-335-345-
353-383-415-431-433-437-445-461-162340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDREWS BORDEN BRISCOE
CASTRO CHILDRESS COKE
COTTLE CRANE CROSBY
DAWSON DICKENS ECTOR
FISHER FLOYD GAINES
GARZA GLASSCOCK HALE
HALL HOCKLEY HOWARD
IRION KENT KING
LAMB LUBBOCK LYNN
MARTIN MIDLAND MITCHELL
MOTLEY NOLAN REAGAN
SCURRY STERLING STONEWALL
SWISHER TERRY UPTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
High (70%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
High (70%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (50%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (90%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.