Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL0
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 160
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
120 AM CDT FRI APR 4 2008
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
A LARGE PART OF NORTHERN...CENTRAL AND SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS
EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY MORNING FROM 120 AM UNTIL 1000 AM CDT.
HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 100
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 15 MILES NORTHWEST OF
DALLAS TEXAS TO 80 MILES SOUTHWEST OF JUNCTION TEXAS. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 157...WW 158...WW 159...
DISCUSSION...TSTMS/POSSIBLE SUPERCELLS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FORMING
ACROSS N TX AS COLD FRONT CONTINUES S ACROSS REGION AND UVV
STRENGTHENS WITH APPROACH OF BROAD NM UPR TROUGH. FARTHER
S...ANOTHER AREA OF STORMS/POSSIBLE SUPERCELLS EXPECTED TO
MOVE/DEVELOP E FROM NEAR THE BIG BEND REGION IN RESPONSE TO SAME
TROUGH...AND TO SLIGHTLY BACKED FLOW AT THE SURFACE.
MOST OF THE N TX STORMS SHOULD REMAIN ELEVATED ABOVE FRONTAL
SURFACE. THEY SHOULD MOVE/DEVELOP GENERALLY E OR ESE WITH
TIME...POSSIBLY IN THE FORM OF AN ENLARGENING MCS. LARGE HAIL AND
POSSIBLY DMGG WIND SHOULD BE THE MAIN THREATS. THE S TX STORMS
SHOULD MOSTLY BE SURFACE-BASED AND COULD POSE AN ISOLATED TORNADO
THREAT. BUT WEAKNESS IN MID-LEVEL FLOW...PER VWP DATA...SUGGESTS
THAT MAIN THREATS SHOULD BE LARGE HAIL/DMGG WIND.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 24030.
...CORFIDI
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW0
WW 160 SEVERE TSTM TX 040620Z - 041500Z
AXIS..100 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
15NW DAL/DALLAS TX/ - 80SW JCT/JUNCTION TX/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 85NM E/W /8N DFW - 21N DLF/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24030.
LAT...LON 32999530 29699905 29690237 32999876
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU0.
Watch 160 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #7 ON WW 160
VALID 041435Z - 041500Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 5 NE TPL TO
5 SSE ACT TO 15 NW CRS TO 30 WNW TYR.
WW 160 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 041500Z.
..DIAL..04/04/08
ATTN...WFO...EWX...FWD...SJT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 160
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC213-309-349-041500-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HENDERSON MCLENNAN NAVARRO
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 160
VALID 041340Z - 041440Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SW TPL TO
40 WNW TPL TO 35 W TYR.
..DIAL..04/04/08
ATTN...WFO...EWX...FWD...SJT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 160
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC027-099-213-309-349-041440-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BELL CORYELL HENDERSON
MCLENNAN NAVARRO
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 160
VALID 041240Z - 041340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 WNW AUS
TO 40 SE BWD TO 45 N TYR.
..GUYER..04/04/08
ATTN...WFO...EWX...FWD...SJT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 160
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC027-099-213-217-281-309-349-467-041340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BELL CORYELL HENDERSON
HILL LAMPASAS MCLENNAN
NAVARRO VAN ZANDT
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 160
VALID 041135Z - 041240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 WNW AUS
TO 30 ESE BWD TO 35 ENE DAL.
..GUYER..04/04/08
ATTN...WFO...EWX...FWD...SJT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 160
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC027-031-035-053-099-113-139-193-213-217-251-257-281-309-333-
349-379-397-467-041240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BELL BLANCO BOSQUE
BURNET CORYELL DALLAS
ELLIS HAMILTON HENDERSON
HILL JOHNSON KAUFMAN
LAMPASAS MCLENNAN MILLS
NAVARRO RAINS ROCKWALL
VAN ZANDT
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 160
VALID 041035Z - 041140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 65 NE 6R6 TO
15 NNW DAL.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 551
..GUYER..04/04/08
ATTN...WFO...EWX...FWD...SJT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 160
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC019-027-031-035-049-053-093-099-105-113-137-139-143-171-193-
213-217-221-251-257-259-265-267-281-299-307-309-319-327-333-349-
379-385-397-411-413-425-435-439-465-467-041140-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BANDERA BELL BLANCO
BOSQUE BROWN BURNET
COMANCHE CORYELL CROCKETT
DALLAS EDWARDS ELLIS
ERATH GILLESPIE HAMILTON
HENDERSON HILL HOOD
JOHNSON KAUFMAN KENDALL
KERR KIMBLE LAMPASAS
LLANO MCCULLOCH MCLENNAN
MASON MENARD MILLS
NAVARRO RAINS REAL
ROCKWALL SAN SABA SCHLEICHER
SOMERVELL SUTTON TARRANT
VAL VERDE VAN ZANDT
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 160
VALID 040940Z - 041040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 SW SJT TO
15 N FTW.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 551
..GUYER..04/04/08
ATTN...WFO...EWX...FWD...SJT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 160
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC019-027-031-035-049-053-093-099-105-113-137-139-143-171-193-
213-217-221-251-257-259-265-267-281-299-307-309-319-327-333-349-
367-379-385-397-411-413-425-435-439-465-467-041040-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BANDERA BELL BLANCO
BOSQUE BROWN BURNET
COMANCHE CORYELL CROCKETT
DALLAS EDWARDS ELLIS
ERATH GILLESPIE HAMILTON
HENDERSON HILL HOOD
JOHNSON KAUFMAN KENDALL
KERR KIMBLE LAMPASAS
LLANO MCCULLOCH MCLENNAN
MASON MENARD MILLS
NAVARRO PARKER RAINS
REAL ROCKWALL SAN SABA
SCHLEICHER SOMERVELL SUTTON
TARRANT VAL VERDE VAN ZANDT
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 160
VALID 040730Z - 040840Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..GUYER..04/04/08
ATTN...WFO...EWX...FWD...SJT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 160
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC019-027-031-035-049-053-059-083-093-095-099-105-113-133-137-
139-143-171-193-213-217-221-235-251-257-259-265-267-281-299-307-
309-319-327-333-349-363-367-379-385-397-399-411-413-417-425-429-
435-439-441-451-465-467-040840-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BANDERA BELL BLANCO
BOSQUE BROWN BURNET
CALLAHAN COLEMAN COMANCHE
CONCHO CORYELL CROCKETT
DALLAS EASTLAND EDWARDS
ELLIS ERATH GILLESPIE
HAMILTON HENDERSON HILL
HOOD IRION JOHNSON
KAUFMAN KENDALL KERR
KIMBLE LAMPASAS LLANO
MCCULLOCH MCLENNAN MASON
MENARD MILLS NAVARRO
PALO PINTO PARKER RAINS
REAL ROCKWALL RUNNELS
SAN SABA SCHLEICHER SHACKELFORD
SOMERVELL STEPHENS SUTTON
TARRANT TAYLOR TOM GREEN
VAL VERDE VAN ZANDT
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.