Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL4
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 164
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
950 AM CDT FRI APR 4 2008
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
MUCH OF CENTRAL ALABAMA
PARTS OF SOUTHERN AND EASTERN LOUISIANA
MUCH OF CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI
EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY MORNING AND EVENING FROM 950 AM UNTIL 600
PM CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 80 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 15 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF
FORT POLK LOUISIANA TO 35 MILES EAST OF BIRMINGHAM ALABAMA. FOR
A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 160...WW 161...WW
162...WW 163...
DISCUSSION...LINE OF STRONG/SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM NRN AL SWWD TO
CENTRAL LA WILL CONTINUE DEVELOPING E/SEWD THIS AFTERNOON. MUCH OF
WATCH AREA S OF THE LINE IS IN A VERY FAVORABLE WARM SECTOR FOR
SUPERCELL DEVELOPMENT WITH MLCAPES TO 2000 J/KG AND STRONG/VEERING
SHEAR PROFILES. ADDITIONAL HEATING WILL INCREASE POTENTIAL FOR
TORNADIC SUPERCELL DEVELOPMENT BY THIS AFTERNOON..BOTH NEAR THE LINE
AND ACROSS THE WARM SECTOR.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
...HALES
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW4
WW 164 TORNADO AL LA MS 041450Z - 042300Z
AXIS..80 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
15SSW POE/FORT POLK LA/ - 35E BHM/BIRMINGHAM AL/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 70NM N/S /43NNW LCH - 38E VUZ/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
LAT...LON 32009327 34728613 32408613 29699327
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU4.
Watch 164 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #7 ON WW 164
VALID 042225Z - 042300Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NNW POE
TO 40 NNE ESF TO 40 NNW MCB TO 35 SSE MEI TO 15 W ANB.
WW 164 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 042300Z.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 559
..SMITH..04/04/08
ATTN...WFO...BMX...MOB...LCH...SHV...JAN...LIX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 164
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC001-021-023-025-037-047-091-105-121-129-131-042300-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AUTAUGA CHILTON CHOCTAW
CLARKE COOSA DALLAS
MARENGO PERRY TALLADEGA
WASHINGTON WILCOX
$$
LAC001-003-009-011-019-025-029-033-037-039-043-047-053-055-059-
077-079-091-097-099-115-121-125-042300-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
ACADIA ALLEN AVOYELLES
BEAUREGARD CALCASIEU CATAHOULA
CONCORDIA EAST BATON ROUGE EAST FELICIANA
EVANGELINE GRANT IBERVILLE
JEFFERSON DAVIS LAFAYETTE LA SALLE
POINTE COUPEE RAPIDES ST. HELENA
ST. LANDRY ST. MARTIN VERNON
WEST BATON ROUGE WEST FELICIANA
$$
MSC001-005-031-035-037-041-063-065-067-073-077-085-091-111-113-
147-153-157-042300-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS AMITE COVINGTON
FORREST FRANKLIN GREENE
JEFFERSON JEFFERSON DAVIS JONES
LAMAR LAWRENCE LINCOLN
MARION PERRY PIKE
WALTHALL WAYNE WILKINSON
$$
TXC199-241-351-457-042300-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HARDIN JASPER NEWTON
TYLER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 164
VALID 042140Z - 042240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NNW POE
TO 35 NNE ESF TO 25 SSW JAN TO 15 NW 0A8 TO 15 NNW GAD.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 557
..SMITH..04/04/08
ATTN...WFO...BMX...MOB...LCH...SHV...JAN...LIX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 164
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC001-007-021-023-025-037-047-065-091-105-115-117-121-129-131-
042240-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AUTAUGA BIBB CHILTON
CHOCTAW CLARKE COOSA
DALLAS HALE MARENGO
PERRY ST. CLAIR SHELBY
TALLADEGA WASHINGTON WILCOX
$$
LAC001-003-009-011-019-025-029-033-037-039-043-047-053-055-059-
077-079-091-097-099-115-121-125-042240-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
ACADIA ALLEN AVOYELLES
BEAUREGARD CALCASIEU CATAHOULA
CONCORDIA EAST BATON ROUGE EAST FELICIANA
EVANGELINE GRANT IBERVILLE
JEFFERSON DAVIS LAFAYETTE LA SALLE
POINTE COUPEE RAPIDES ST. HELENA
ST. LANDRY ST. MARTIN VERNON
WEST BATON ROUGE WEST FELICIANA
$$
MSC001-005-023-029-031-035-037-041-061-063-065-067-073-077-085-
091-111-113-127-129-147-153-157-042240-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS AMITE CLARKE
COPIAH COVINGTON FORREST
FRANKLIN GREENE JASPER
JEFFERSON JEFFERSON DAVIS JONES
LAMAR LAWRENCE LINCOLN
MARION PERRY PIKE
SIMPSON SMITH WALTHALL
WAYNE WILKINSON
$$
TXC199-241-351-457-042240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HARDIN JASPER NEWTON
TYLER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 164
VALID 042025Z - 042140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NNW POE
TO 30 NNE ESF TO 35 WSW MEI TO 15 WSW TCL TO 20 SW HSV.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 556
..SMITH..04/04/08
ATTN...WFO...BMX...MOB...LCH...SHV...JAN...LIX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 164
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC001-007-009-021-023-025-037-047-063-065-073-091-105-115-117-
119-121-125-127-129-131-042140-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AUTAUGA BIBB BLOUNT
CHILTON CHOCTAW CLARKE
COOSA DALLAS GREENE
HALE JEFFERSON MARENGO
PERRY ST. CLAIR SHELBY
SUMTER TALLADEGA TUSCALOOSA
WALKER WASHINGTON WILCOX
$$
LAC001-003-009-011-019-025-029-033-037-039-043-047-053-055-059-
077-079-091-097-099-115-121-125-042140-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
ACADIA ALLEN AVOYELLES
BEAUREGARD CALCASIEU CATAHOULA
CONCORDIA EAST BATON ROUGE EAST FELICIANA
EVANGELINE GRANT IBERVILLE
JEFFERSON DAVIS LAFAYETTE LA SALLE
POINTE COUPEE RAPIDES ST. HELENA
ST. LANDRY ST. MARTIN VERNON
WEST BATON ROUGE WEST FELICIANA
$$
MSC001-005-023-029-031-035-037-041-061-063-065-067-073-077-085-
091-111-113-127-129-147-153-157-042140-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS AMITE CLARKE
COPIAH COVINGTON FORREST
FRANKLIN GREENE JASPER
JEFFERSON JEFFERSON DAVIS JONES
LAMAR LAWRENCE LINCOLN
MARION PERRY PIKE
SIMPSON SMITH WALTHALL
WAYNE WILKINSON
$$
TXC199-241-351-457-042140-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HARDIN JASPER NEWTON
TYLER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 164
VALID 041940Z - 042040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NNW POE
TO 30 NNE ESF TO 35 WSW MEI TO 35 NE CBM.
..SMITH..04/04/08
ATTN...WFO...BMX...MOB...LCH...SHV...JAN...LIX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 164
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC001-007-009-021-023-025-037-047-057-063-065-073-075-091-105-
107-115-117-119-121-125-127-129-131-042040-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AUTAUGA BIBB BLOUNT
CHILTON CHOCTAW CLARKE
COOSA DALLAS FAYETTE
GREENE HALE JEFFERSON
LAMAR MARENGO PERRY
PICKENS ST. CLAIR SHELBY
SUMTER TALLADEGA TUSCALOOSA
WALKER WASHINGTON WILCOX
$$
LAC001-003-009-011-019-025-029-033-037-039-043-047-053-055-059-
077-079-091-097-099-115-121-125-042040-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
ACADIA ALLEN AVOYELLES
BEAUREGARD CALCASIEU CATAHOULA
CONCORDIA EAST BATON ROUGE EAST FELICIANA
EVANGELINE GRANT IBERVILLE
JEFFERSON DAVIS LAFAYETTE LA SALLE
POINTE COUPEE RAPIDES ST. HELENA
ST. LANDRY ST. MARTIN VERNON
WEST BATON ROUGE WEST FELICIANA
$$
MSC001-005-021-023-029-031-035-037-041-061-063-065-067-069-073-
075-077-085-087-091-101-103-111-113-127-129-147-153-157-
042040-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS AMITE CLAIBORNE
CLARKE COPIAH COVINGTON
FORREST FRANKLIN GREENE
JASPER JEFFERSON JEFFERSON DAVIS
JONES KEMPER LAMAR
LAUDERDALE LAWRENCE LINCOLN
LOWNDES MARION NEWTON
NOXUBEE PERRY PIKE
SIMPSON SMITH WALTHALL
WAYNE WILKINSON
$$
TXC199-241-351-457-042040-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HARDIN JASPER NEWTON
TYLER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 164
VALID 041830Z - 041940Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NNW POE
TO 35 NNW HEZ TO 45 SSE GWO TO 20 NW CBM.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 554
..SMITH..04/04/08
ATTN...WFO...BMX...MOB...LCH...SHV...JAN...LIX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 164
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC001-007-009-021-023-037-047-057-063-065-073-075-091-105-107-
115-117-119-121-125-127-041940-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AUTAUGA BIBB BLOUNT
CHILTON CHOCTAW COOSA
DALLAS FAYETTE GREENE
HALE JEFFERSON LAMAR
MARENGO PERRY PICKENS
ST. CLAIR SHELBY SUMTER
TALLADEGA TUSCALOOSA WALKER
$$
LAC001-003-009-011-019-025-029-033-037-039-043-047-053-055-059-
077-079-091-097-099-107-115-121-125-041940-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
ACADIA ALLEN AVOYELLES
BEAUREGARD CALCASIEU CATAHOULA
CONCORDIA EAST BATON ROUGE EAST FELICIANA
EVANGELINE GRANT IBERVILLE
JEFFERSON DAVIS LAFAYETTE LA SALLE
POINTE COUPEE RAPIDES ST. HELENA
ST. LANDRY ST. MARTIN TENSAS
VERNON WEST BATON ROUGE WEST FELICIANA
$$
MSC001-005-007-019-021-023-025-029-031-035-037-049-061-063-065-
067-069-073-075-077-079-085-087-089-091-099-101-103-105-113-121-
123-127-129-147-149-153-157-159-041940-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS AMITE ATTALA
CHOCTAW CLAIBORNE CLARKE
CLAY COPIAH COVINGTON
FORREST FRANKLIN HINDS
JASPER JEFFERSON JEFFERSON DAVIS
JONES KEMPER LAMAR
LAUDERDALE LAWRENCE LEAKE
LINCOLN LOWNDES MADISON
MARION NESHOBA NEWTON
NOXUBEE OKTIBBEHA PIKE
RANKIN SCOTT SIMPSON
SMITH WALTHALL WARREN
WAYNE WILKINSON WINSTON
$$
TXC199-241-351-457-041940-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HARDIN JASPER NEWTON
TYLER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 164
VALID 041730Z - 041840Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NNW POE
TO 35 NNW HEZ TO 35 SE GLH.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 554
..SMITH..04/04/08
ATTN...WFO...BMX...MOB...LCH...SHV...JAN...LIX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 164
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC001-007-009-021-023-037-047-057-063-065-073-075-091-105-107-
115-117-119-121-125-127-041840-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AUTAUGA BIBB BLOUNT
CHILTON CHOCTAW COOSA
DALLAS FAYETTE GREENE
HALE JEFFERSON LAMAR
MARENGO PERRY PICKENS
ST. CLAIR SHELBY SUMTER
TALLADEGA TUSCALOOSA WALKER
$$
LAC001-003-009-011-019-025-029-033-037-039-043-047-053-055-059-
065-077-079-091-097-099-107-115-121-125-041840-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
ACADIA ALLEN AVOYELLES
BEAUREGARD CALCASIEU CATAHOULA
CONCORDIA EAST BATON ROUGE EAST FELICIANA
EVANGELINE GRANT IBERVILLE
JEFFERSON DAVIS LAFAYETTE LA SALLE
MADISON POINTE COUPEE RAPIDES
ST. HELENA ST. LANDRY ST. MARTIN
TENSAS VERNON WEST BATON ROUGE
WEST FELICIANA
$$
MSC001-005-007-015-019-021-023-025-029-031-035-037-049-051-053-
061-063-065-067-069-073-075-077-079-085-087-089-091-097-099-101-
103-105-113-121-123-125-127-129-147-149-153-155-157-159-163-
041840-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS AMITE ATTALA
CARROLL CHOCTAW CLAIBORNE
CLARKE CLAY COPIAH
COVINGTON FORREST FRANKLIN
HINDS HOLMES HUMPHREYS
JASPER JEFFERSON JEFFERSON DAVIS
JONES KEMPER LAMAR
LAUDERDALE LAWRENCE LEAKE
LINCOLN LOWNDES MADISON
MARION MONTGOMERY NESHOBA
NEWTON NOXUBEE OKTIBBEHA
PIKE RANKIN SCOTT
SHARKEY SIMPSON SMITH
WALTHALL WARREN WAYNE
WEBSTER WILKINSON WINSTON
YAZOO
$$
TXC199-241-351-457-041840-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HARDIN JASPER NEWTON
TYLER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 164
VALID 041635Z - 041740Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..SMITH..04/04/08
ATTN...WFO...BMX...MOB...LCH...SHV...JAN...LIX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 164
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC001-007-009-021-023-037-047-057-063-065-073-075-091-105-107-
115-117-119-121-125-127-041740-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AUTAUGA BIBB BLOUNT
CHILTON CHOCTAW COOSA
DALLAS FAYETTE GREENE
HALE JEFFERSON LAMAR
MARENGO PERRY PICKENS
ST. CLAIR SHELBY SUMTER
TALLADEGA TUSCALOOSA WALKER
$$
LAC001-003-009-011-019-021-025-029-033-037-039-041-043-047-053-
055-059-065-077-079-083-091-097-099-107-115-121-125-127-
041740-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
ACADIA ALLEN AVOYELLES
BEAUREGARD CALCASIEU CALDWELL
CATAHOULA CONCORDIA EAST BATON ROUGE
EAST FELICIANA EVANGELINE FRANKLIN
GRANT IBERVILLE JEFFERSON DAVIS
LAFAYETTE LA SALLE MADISON
POINTE COUPEE RAPIDES RICHLAND
ST. HELENA ST. LANDRY ST. MARTIN
TENSAS VERNON WEST BATON ROUGE
WEST FELICIANA WINN
$$
MSC001-005-007-015-019-021-023-025-029-031-035-037-049-051-053-
055-061-063-065-067-069-073-075-077-079-085-087-089-091-097-099-
101-103-105-113-121-123-125-127-129-147-149-153-155-157-159-163-
041740-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS AMITE ATTALA
CARROLL CHOCTAW CLAIBORNE
CLARKE CLAY COPIAH
COVINGTON FORREST FRANKLIN
HINDS HOLMES HUMPHREYS
ISSAQUENA JASPER JEFFERSON
JEFFERSON DAVIS JONES KEMPER
LAMAR LAUDERDALE LAWRENCE
LEAKE LINCOLN LOWNDES
MADISON MARION MONTGOMERY
NESHOBA NEWTON NOXUBEE
OKTIBBEHA PIKE RANKIN
SCOTT SHARKEY SIMPSON
SMITH WALTHALL WARREN
WAYNE WEBSTER WILKINSON
WINSTON YAZOO
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Mod (30%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
High (80%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (40%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (90%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.