Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL5
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 165
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
955 AM CDT SAT APR 18 2009
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHEAST TEXAS
COASTAL WATERS
EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON FROM 955 AM UNTIL
400 PM CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 55 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 60 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF
LUFKIN TEXAS TO 30 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF PALACIOS TEXAS. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 164...
DISCUSSION...ISOLATED SUPERCELL THUNDERSTORMS ARE INTENSIFYING
WITHIN BROAD REGION OF CONVECTION OVER EAST-CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST
TX. VAD PROFILE FROM HGX VERIFIES THAT SUBSTANTIAL LOW LEVEL
VERTICAL SHEAR WILL PROMOTE A THREAT OF ISOLATED TORNADOES WITHIN
THIS AREA THROUGH THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON AS STORMS MOVE
SLOWLY NORTHEASTWARD.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24020.
...HART
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW5
WW 165 TORNADO TX CW 181455Z - 182100Z
AXIS..55 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
60NNW LFK/LUFKIN TX/ - 30ESE PSX/PALACIOS TX/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM E/W /31SW GGG - 30ESE PSX/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24020.
LAT...LON 32029419 28559488 28559669 32029608
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU5.
Watch 165 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 165
VALID 182035Z - 182100Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 NNE VCT
TO 45 SSE LFK.
ISOLATED SEVERE WEATHER REMAINS POSSIBLE WITH STORMS ESE OF HOUSTON
DURING THE NEXT HR...BUT WATCH WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.
WW 165 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 182100Z.
..GARNER..04/18/09
ATTN...WFO...FWD...SHV...HGX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 165
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC039-071-157-167-201-239-291-321-481-182100-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BRAZORIA CHAMBERS FORT BEND
GALVESTON HARRIS JACKSON
LIBERTY MATAGORDA WHARTON
$$
GMZ330-335-350-355-182100-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
MATAGORDA BAY
GALVESTON BAY
COASTAL WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL TX OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT TX OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 165
VALID 181915Z - 182040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 S CLL TO
20 E LFK TO 30 SE GGG.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 515
..GARNER..04/18/09
ATTN...WFO...FWD...SHV...HGX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 165
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC039-071-089-157-167-201-239-291-321-373-481-182040-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BRAZORIA CHAMBERS COLORADO
FORT BEND GALVESTON HARRIS
JACKSON LIBERTY MATAGORDA
POLK WHARTON
$$
GMZ330-335-350-355-182040-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
MATAGORDA BAY
GALVESTON BAY
COASTAL WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL TX OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT TX OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 165
VALID 181835Z - 181940Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 S CLL TO
20 N UTS TO 25 SW GGG.
..GARNER..04/18/09
ATTN...WFO...FWD...SHV...HGX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 165
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC005-015-039-071-089-157-167-201-239-291-321-339-347-373-407-
473-481-181940-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANGELINA AUSTIN BRAZORIA
CHAMBERS COLORADO FORT BEND
GALVESTON HARRIS JACKSON
LIBERTY MATAGORDA MONTGOMERY
NACOGDOCHES POLK SAN JACINTO
WALLER WHARTON
$$
GMZ330-335-350-355-181940-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
MATAGORDA BAY
GALVESTON BAY
COASTAL WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL TX OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT TX OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 165
VALID 181725Z - 181840Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 NNE CLL
TO 35 NW UTS TO 20 SSW TYR.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 513
..GARNER..04/18/09
ATTN...WFO...FWD...SHV...HGX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 165
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC005-015-039-071-073-089-157-167-185-201-225-239-291-321-339-
347-373-407-455-471-473-477-481-181840-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANGELINA AUSTIN BRAZORIA
CHAMBERS CHEROKEE COLORADO
FORT BEND GALVESTON GRIMES
HARRIS HOUSTON JACKSON
LIBERTY MATAGORDA MONTGOMERY
NACOGDOCHES POLK SAN JACINTO
TRINITY WALKER WALLER
WASHINGTON WHARTON
$$
GMZ330-335-350-355-181840-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
MATAGORDA BAY
GALVESTON BAY
COASTAL WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL TX OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT TX OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 165
VALID 181635Z - 181740Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE SPC MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 513.
..EDWARDS..04/18/09
ATTN...WFO...FWD...SHV...HGX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 165
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC001-005-015-039-041-051-071-073-089-157-161-167-185-201-225-
239-289-291-313-321-339-347-373-407-455-471-473-477-481-
181740-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDERSON ANGELINA AUSTIN
BRAZORIA BRAZOS BURLESON
CHAMBERS CHEROKEE COLORADO
FORT BEND FREESTONE GALVESTON
GRIMES HARRIS HOUSTON
JACKSON LEON LIBERTY
MADISON MATAGORDA MONTGOMERY
NACOGDOCHES POLK SAN JACINTO
TRINITY WALKER WALLER
WASHINGTON WHARTON
$$
GMZ330-335-350-355-181740-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
MATAGORDA BAY
GALVESTON BAY
COASTAL WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL TX OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT TX OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 165
VALID 181545Z - 181640Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..EDWARDS..04/18/09
ATTN...WFO...FWD...SHV...HGX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 165
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC001-005-015-039-041-051-071-073-089-157-161-167-185-201-225-
239-289-291-313-321-339-347-373-407-455-471-473-477-481-
181640-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDERSON ANGELINA AUSTIN
BRAZORIA BRAZOS BURLESON
CHAMBERS CHEROKEE COLORADO
FORT BEND FREESTONE GALVESTON
GRIMES HARRIS HOUSTON
JACKSON LEON LIBERTY
MADISON MATAGORDA MONTGOMERY
NACOGDOCHES POLK SAN JACINTO
TRINITY WALKER WALLER
WASHINGTON WHARTON
$$
GMZ330-335-350-355-181640-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
MATAGORDA BAY
GALVESTON BAY
COASTAL WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL TX OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT TX OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (10%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (10%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.