Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL6
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 166
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
100 PM CDT SAT APR 18 2009
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
WESTERN LOUISIANA
SOUTHEAST TEXAS
COASTAL WATERS
EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 100 PM UNTIL
800 PM CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS
TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 15 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF
NATCHITOCHES LOUISIANA TO 35 MILES SOUTHEAST OF PORT ARTHUR
TEXAS. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED
WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 165...
DISCUSSION...AREA OF INTENSE THUNDERSTORMS OVER SOUTHEAST TX WILL
CONTINUE TO TRACK EASTWARD INTO WESTERN LA THIS AFTERNOON. SEVERAL
LOW LEVEL MESOCYCLONES HAVE BEEN NOTED WITH STORMS...AND THREAT WILL
PERSIST AS ACTIVITY MOVES THROUGH REGION OF STRONG LOW LEVEL SHEAR
AND AMPLE MOISTURE. TORNADOES AND LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS ARE THE
MAIN THREATS.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500.
MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24020.
...HART
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW6
WW 166 TORNADO LA TX CW 181800Z - 190100Z
AXIS..60 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
15NNW IER/NATCHITOCHES LA/ - 35SE BPT/PORT ARTHUR TX/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM E/W /54NW AEX - 42SW LCH/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1 INCH. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24020.
LAT...LON 31949216 29599261 29599461 31949422
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU6.
Watch 166 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 166
VALID 190035Z - 190100Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SSE BPT
TO 20 ENE BPT TO 30 WNW LFT.
WW 166 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 190100Z.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 521
..SMITH..04/19/09
ATTN...WFO...LCH...SHV...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 166
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
LAC019-023-053-190100-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
CALCASIEU CAMERON JEFFERSON DAVIS
$$
GMZ430-432-452-190100-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
SABINE LAKE
CALCASIEU LAKE
COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 166
VALID 182345Z - 190040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SSW BPT
TO 15 N BPT TO 35 NW LFT.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 519
..SMITH..04/18/09
ATTN...WFO...LCH...SHV...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 166
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
LAC019-023-053-190040-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
CALCASIEU CAMERON JEFFERSON DAVIS
$$
TXC245-361-190040-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
JEFFERSON ORANGE
$$
GMZ430-432-450-452-190040-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
SABINE LAKE
CALCASIEU LAKE
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 166
VALID 182305Z - 190040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NE GLS TO
15 WNW BPT TO 5 S ESF.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 519
..SMITH..04/18/09
ATTN...WFO...LCH...SHV...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 166
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
LAC003-011-019-023-053-079-190040-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN BEAUREGARD CALCASIEU
CAMERON JEFFERSON DAVIS RAPIDES
$$
TXC245-361-190040-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
JEFFERSON ORANGE
$$
GMZ430-432-450-452-190040-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
SABINE LAKE
CALCASIEU LAKE
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 166
VALID 182040Z - 182140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 SSE LFK
TO 40 WNW POE TO 30 SSE SHV.
..GARNER..04/18/09
ATTN...WFO...LCH...SHV...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 166
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
LAC003-011-019-023-043-053-059-069-079-085-115-127-182140-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN BEAUREGARD CALCASIEU
CAMERON GRANT JEFFERSON DAVIS
LA SALLE NATCHITOCHES RAPIDES
SABINE VERNON WINN
$$
TXC199-241-245-351-361-403-182140-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HARDIN JASPER JEFFERSON
NEWTON ORANGE SABINE
$$
GMZ430-432-450-452-182140-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
SABINE LAKE
CALCASIEU LAKE
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 166
VALID 181920Z - 182040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..GARNER..04/18/09
ATTN...WFO...LCH...SHV...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 166
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
LAC003-011-019-023-043-053-059-069-079-085-115-127-182040-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN BEAUREGARD CALCASIEU
CAMERON GRANT JEFFERSON DAVIS
LA SALLE NATCHITOCHES RAPIDES
SABINE VERNON WINN
$$
TXC199-241-245-351-361-403-405-419-457-182040-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HARDIN JASPER JEFFERSON
NEWTON ORANGE SABINE
SAN AUGUSTINE SHELBY TYLER
$$
GMZ430-432-450-452-182040-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
SABINE LAKE
CALCASIEU LAKE
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 166
VALID 181835Z - 181940Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..GARNER..04/18/09
ATTN...WFO...LCH...SHV...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 166
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
LAC003-011-019-023-043-053-059-069-079-085-115-127-181940-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN BEAUREGARD CALCASIEU
CAMERON GRANT JEFFERSON DAVIS
LA SALLE NATCHITOCHES RAPIDES
SABINE VERNON WINN
$$
TXC199-241-245-351-361-403-405-419-457-181940-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HARDIN JASPER JEFFERSON
NEWTON ORANGE SABINE
SAN AUGUSTINE SHELBY TYLER
$$
GMZ430-432-450-452-181940-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
SABINE LAKE
CALCASIEU LAKE
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Mod (30%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (10%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.