Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL9
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 169
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
305 PM CDT MON APR 7 2008
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
LARGE PART OF SOUTHWEST AND CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
SMALL PART OF NORTHWEST TEXAS
EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 305 PM UNTIL
1000 PM CDT.
...THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION...
DESTRUCTIVE TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL TO 4 INCHES IN DIAMETER...
THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 80 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE
POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 70 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 45 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF
WICHITA FALLS TEXAS TO 30 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF OKLAHOMA CITY
OKLAHOMA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
DISCUSSION...A VERY POTENT SUPERCELL ENVIRONMENT IS DEVELOPING
ACROSS THE WATCH AREA THIS AFTERNOON. STRONG VEERING SHEAR PROFILES
COUPLED WITH AN INCREASINGLY UNSTABLE AIR MASS WILL SUPPORT
DEVELOPMENT OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS BOTH VICINITY E/W FRONTAL ZONE
CENTRAL OK AND ALONG AND E OF DRY LINE EXTENDING SWD INTO NWRN TX.
SUPERCELLS WILL RAPIDLY EVOLVE GIVEN SHEAR WITH ASSOCIATED VERY
LARGE HAIL AND TORNADO THREAT WITH ANY STORM. POTENTIAL EXITS FOR
LONG LIVED SUPERCELLS MOVING ACROSS WARM SECTOR WITH POSSIBLE STRONG
TORNADOES.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 4 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25025.
...HALES
SEL9
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 169
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
305 PM CDT MON APR 7 2008
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
LARGE PART OF SOUTHWEST AND CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
SMALL PART OF NORTHWEST TEXAS
EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 305 PM UNTIL
1000 PM CDT.
...THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION...
DESTRUCTIVE TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL TO 4 INCHES IN DIAMETER...
THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 80 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE
POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 70 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 45 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF
WICHITA FALLS TEXAS TO 30 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF OKLAHOMA CITY
OKLAHOMA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
DISCUSSION...A VERY POTENT SUPERCELL ENVIRONMENT IS DEVELOPING
ACROSS THE WATCH AREA THIS AFTERNOON. STRONG VEERING SHEAR PROFILES
COUPLED WITH AN INCREASINGLY UNSTABLE AIR MASS WILL SUPPORT
DEVELOPMENT OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS BOTH VICINITY E/W FRONTAL ZONE
CENTRAL OK AND ALONG AND E OF DRY LINE EXTENDING SWD INTO NWRN TX.
SUPERCELLS WILL RAPIDLY EVOLVE GIVEN SHEAR WITH ASSOCIATED VERY
LARGE HAIL AND TORNADO THREAT WITH ANY STORM. POTENTIAL EXITS FOR
LONG LIVED SUPERCELLS MOVING ACROSS WARM SECTOR WITH POSSIBLE STRONG
TORNADOES.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 4 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25025.
...HALES
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW9
WW 169 TORNADO OK TX 072005Z - 080300Z
AXIS..70 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
45SSE SPS/WICHITA FALLS TX/ - 30NNW OKC/OKLAHOMA CITY OK/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 60NM E/W /42SSE SPS - 28NNW OKC/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..4 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..70 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25025.
LAT...LON 33369941 35799905 35799655 33369698
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU9.
Watch 169 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 169
VALID 080120Z - 080240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..KERR..04/08/08
ATTN...WFO...OUN...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 169
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC011-015-017-019-027-031-033-039-049-051-065-067-069-073-075-
081-083-085-087-095-099-109-123-125-133-137-141-149-080240-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BLAINE CADDO CANADIAN
CARTER CLEVELAND COMANCHE
COTTON CUSTER GARVIN
GRADY JACKSON JEFFERSON
JOHNSTON KINGFISHER KIOWA
LINCOLN LOGAN LOVE
MCCLAIN MARSHALL MURRAY
OKLAHOMA PONTOTOC POTTAWATOMIE
SEMINOLE STEPHENS TILLMAN
WASHITA
$$
TXC009-023-077-337-485-487-080240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARCHER BAYLOR CLAY
MONTAGUE WICHITA WILBARGER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 169
VALID 080030Z - 080140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 581.
..CROSBIE..04/08/08
ATTN...WFO...OUN...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 169
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC011-015-017-019-027-031-033-039-049-051-065-067-069-073-075-
081-083-085-087-095-099-109-123-125-133-137-141-149-080140-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BLAINE CADDO CANADIAN
CARTER CLEVELAND COMANCHE
COTTON CUSTER GARVIN
GRADY JACKSON JEFFERSON
JOHNSTON KINGFISHER KIOWA
LINCOLN LOGAN LOVE
MCCLAIN MARSHALL MURRAY
OKLAHOMA PONTOTOC POTTAWATOMIE
SEMINOLE STEPHENS TILLMAN
WASHITA
$$
TXC009-023-077-337-485-487-080140-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARCHER BAYLOR CLAY
MONTAGUE WICHITA WILBARGER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 169
VALID 072330Z - 080040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 581.
..CROSBIE..04/07/08
ATTN...WFO...OUN...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 169
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC011-015-017-019-027-031-033-039-049-051-065-067-069-073-075-
081-083-085-087-095-099-109-123-125-133-137-141-149-080040-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BLAINE CADDO CANADIAN
CARTER CLEVELAND COMANCHE
COTTON CUSTER GARVIN
GRADY JACKSON JEFFERSON
JOHNSTON KINGFISHER KIOWA
LINCOLN LOGAN LOVE
MCCLAIN MARSHALL MURRAY
OKLAHOMA PONTOTOC POTTAWATOMIE
SEMINOLE STEPHENS TILLMAN
WASHITA
$$
TXC009-023-077-337-485-487-080040-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARCHER BAYLOR CLAY
MONTAGUE WICHITA WILBARGER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 169
VALID 072235Z - 072340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 580.
..CROSBIE..04/07/08
ATTN...WFO...OUN...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 169
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC011-015-017-019-027-031-033-039-049-051-065-067-069-073-075-
081-083-085-087-095-099-109-123-125-133-137-141-149-072340-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BLAINE CADDO CANADIAN
CARTER CLEVELAND COMANCHE
COTTON CUSTER GARVIN
GRADY JACKSON JEFFERSON
JOHNSTON KINGFISHER KIOWA
LINCOLN LOGAN LOVE
MCCLAIN MARSHALL MURRAY
OKLAHOMA PONTOTOC POTTAWATOMIE
SEMINOLE STEPHENS TILLMAN
WASHITA
$$
TXC009-023-077-337-485-487-072340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARCHER BAYLOR CLAY
MONTAGUE WICHITA WILBARGER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 169
VALID 072140Z - 072240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 580.
..CROSBIE..04/07/08
ATTN...WFO...OUN...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 169
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC011-015-017-019-027-031-033-039-049-051-065-067-069-073-075-
081-083-085-087-095-099-109-123-125-133-137-141-149-072240-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BLAINE CADDO CANADIAN
CARTER CLEVELAND COMANCHE
COTTON CUSTER GARVIN
GRADY JACKSON JEFFERSON
JOHNSTON KINGFISHER KIOWA
LINCOLN LOGAN LOVE
MCCLAIN MARSHALL MURRAY
OKLAHOMA PONTOTOC POTTAWATOMIE
SEMINOLE STEPHENS TILLMAN
WASHITA
$$
TXC009-023-077-337-485-487-072240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARCHER BAYLOR CLAY
MONTAGUE WICHITA WILBARGER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
High (90%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Mod (50%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (60%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
High (90%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
High (70%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (>95%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.