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The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL9
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 169
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
325 PM CDT SAT APR 18 2009
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL KANSAS
EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 325 PM UNTIL
1100 PM CDT.
HAIL TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 55
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES NORTHEAST OF
RUSSELL KANSAS TO 45 MILES SOUTH OF WICHITA KANSAS. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 165...WW 166...WW
167...WW 168...
DISCUSSION...CLUSTER OF SUPERCELL THUNDERSTORMS OVER WEST-CENTRAL KS
WILL SLOWLY SPREAD EASTWARD INTO WATCH AREA THIS AFTERNOON...WHILE
ISOLATED CELLS FOR AHEAD OF PRIMARY ACTIVITY. STEEP LAPSE RATES AND
FAVORABLE EFFECTIVE SHEAR WILL PROMOTE SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF VERY
LARGE HAIL THROUGH THE EVENING.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 400. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 22025.
...HART
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW9
WW 169 SEVERE TSTM KS 182025Z - 190400Z
AXIS..55 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
30NE RSL/RUSSELL KS/ - 45S ICT/WICHITA KS/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM E/W /40WNW SLN - 46NNE END/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 400. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 22025.
LAT...LON 39159740 36999643 36999843 39159944
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU9.
Watch 169 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #7 ON WW 169
VALID 190335Z - 190400Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 ESE ICT
TO 20 ENE ICT TO 30 NE ICT TO 40 NE ICT.
WW 169 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 190400Z.
..DIAL..04/19/09
ATTN...WFO...ICT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 169
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC015-190400-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUTLER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 169
VALID 190230Z - 190340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 N PNC TO
30 SSE SLN TO 25 E SLN.
..DIAL..04/19/09
ATTN...WFO...ICT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 169
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC015-017-035-115-190340-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUTLER CHASE COWLEY
MARION
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 169
VALID 190135Z - 190240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NNW PNC
TO 20 N HUT TO 20 E SLN.
..DIAL..04/19/09
ATTN...WFO...ICT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 169
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC015-017-035-079-113-115-173-191-190240-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUTLER CHASE COWLEY
HARVEY MCPHERSON MARION
SEDGWICK SUMNER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 169
VALID 190030Z - 190140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 ESE P28
TO 15 NNW HUT TO 20 E SLN.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 520
..DIAL..04/19/09
ATTN...WFO...ICT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 169
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC015-017-035-079-113-115-173-191-190140-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUTLER CHASE COWLEY
HARVEY MCPHERSON MARION
SEDGWICK SUMNER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 169
VALID 182340Z - 190040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SE P28 TO
25 SE RSL TO 30 NNE SLN.
..DIAL..04/18/09
ATTN...WFO...ICT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 169
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC015-017-035-053-077-079-095-113-115-155-159-169-173-191-
190040-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUTLER CHASE COWLEY
ELLSWORTH HARPER HARVEY
KINGMAN MCPHERSON MARION
RENO RICE SALINE
SEDGWICK SUMNER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 169
VALID 182240Z - 182340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..DIAL..04/18/09
ATTN...WFO...ICT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 169
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC009-015-017-035-053-077-079-095-105-113-115-155-159-167-169-
173-191-182340-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARTON BUTLER CHASE
COWLEY ELLSWORTH HARPER
HARVEY KINGMAN LINCOLN
MCPHERSON MARION RENO
RICE RUSSELL SALINE
SEDGWICK SUMNER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 169
VALID 182150Z - 182240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..DIAL..04/18/09
ATTN...WFO...ICT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 169
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC009-015-017-035-053-077-079-095-105-113-115-155-159-167-169-
173-191-182240-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARTON BUTLER CHASE
COWLEY ELLSWORTH HARPER
HARVEY KINGMAN LINCOLN
MCPHERSON MARION RENO
RICE RUSSELL SALINE
SEDGWICK SUMNER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
High (80%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (40%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (90%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
weather.gov 
