Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL4
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 174
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
430 PM CDT SUN APR 19 2009
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
PARTS OF NORTHERN ALABAMA
SOUTHERN PORTION OF MIDDLE TENNESSEE
EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 430 PM UNTIL
1000 PM CDT.
HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 50
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES NORTHWEST
OF MUSCLE SHOALS ALABAMA TO 70 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF HUNTSVILLE
ALABAMA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 171...WW 172...WW 173...
DISCUSSION...STRONG/SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED NRN MS AHEAD
OF UPPER TROUGH. WITH 50KT OF DEEP LAYER SHEAR AND 7C/KM LAPSE
RATES...SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY TO SUPPORT SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
CONTINUING E/NE ACROSS THE WATCH AREA THIS EVENING. PRIMARY THREAT
WILL BE LOCAL DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 24035.
...HALES
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW4
WW 174 SEVERE TSTM AL TN 192130Z - 200300Z
AXIS..50 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
35NW MSL/MUSCLE SHOALS AL/ - 70ENE HSV/HUNTSVILLE AL/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 45NM N/S /38NW MSL - 24W GQO/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
LAT...LON 35838805 35758563 34318563 34388805
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU4.
Watch 174 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 174
VALID 200230Z - 200300Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NNW GAD
TO 30 SW CHA.
WW 174 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 200300Z. THE STRONGER STORMS
ARE SHIFTING EAST INTO WW 175 AND 176.
..DIAL..04/20/09
ATTN...WFO...HUN...OHX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 174
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC049-200300-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DEKALB
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 174
VALID 200125Z - 200240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SSE HSV
TO 25 W CHA.
..DIAL..04/20/09
ATTN...WFO...HUN...OHX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 174
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC043-049-071-095-200240-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CULLMAN DEKALB JACKSON
MARSHALL
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 174
VALID 200040Z - 200140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SW HSV TO
25 N HSV TO 30 NW MSL TO 55 ENE MKL TO 25 S BNA TO 45 N HSV TO 30
NW CHA TO 30 W RMG.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 531
..DIAL..04/20/09
ATTN...WFO...HUN...OHX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 174
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC043-049-071-089-095-103-200140-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CULLMAN DEKALB JACKSON
MADISON MARSHALL MORGAN
$$
TNC051-055-081-099-101-103-117-119-127-135-181-187-200140-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FRANKLIN GILES HICKMAN
LAWRENCE LEWIS LINCOLN
MARSHALL MAURY MOORE
PERRY WAYNE WILLIAMSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 174
VALID 192355Z - 200040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..DIAL..04/19/09
ATTN...WFO...HUN...OHX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 174
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC033-043-049-059-071-077-079-083-089-095-103-200040-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COLBERT CULLMAN DEKALB
FRANKLIN JACKSON LAUDERDALE
LAWRENCE LIMESTONE MADISON
MARSHALL MORGAN
$$
TNC003-015-031-051-055-061-081-099-101-103-117-119-127-135-149-
177-181-187-200040-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEDFORD CANNON COFFEE
FRANKLIN GILES GRUNDY
HICKMAN LAWRENCE LEWIS
LINCOLN MARSHALL MAURY
MOORE PERRY RUTHERFORD
WARREN WAYNE WILLIAMSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.