Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL6
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 176
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1040 PM CDT SAT MAY 18 2013
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
NORTHEAST AND EAST CENTRAL KANSAS
NORTHWEST MISSOURI
* EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING FROM 1040 PM
UNTIL 400 AM CDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
SEVERAL TORNADOES POSSIBLE
SEVERAL DAMAGING WIND GUSTS LIKELY WITH A FEW SIGNIFICANT GUSTS
TO 75 MPH POSSIBLE
A FEW LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 55 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF
FALLS CITY NEBRASKA TO 30 MILES SOUTHEAST OF EMPORIA KANSAS. FOR
A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 170...WW 171...WW
172...WW 173...WW 174...WW 175...
DISCUSSION...NE KS SQLN WITH EMBEDDED LEWP/SUPERCELL EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE ENEWD...WHILE STORMS WITHIN THE LINE MOVE MORE NEWD. A RISK
MAY PERSIST FOR A TORNADO OR TWO WITH SUPERCELL/SUSTAINED STORM NEAR
LEWP CREST...IN ADDITION TO DMGG WIND/MARGINALLY SVR HAIL. IN
ADDITION...STRENGTH OF LOW-LVL SPEED/DIRECTIONAL SHEAR MAY FOSTER
LOW-LVL/SMALL SCALE CIRCULATIONS ALONG THE BOWING PART OF MCS WITH A
RISK FOR BRIEF/SMALL TORNADOES...GIVEN MOISTURE-RICH INFLOW.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 22030.
...CORFIDI
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW6
WW 176 TORNADO KS MO 190340Z - 190900Z
AXIS..55 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
40NNE FNB/FALLS CITY NE/ - 30SE EMP/EMPORIA KS/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM E/W /39SSE OVR - 59NNW OSW/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..65 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 22030.
LAT...LON 40599426 38029477 38029680 40599636
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU6.
Watch 176 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 176
VALID 190655Z - 190740Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 S OJC TO
15 SW OJC TO 25 ESE STJ TO 30 SW LWD TO 30 W LWD.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 692.
..PETERS..05/19/13
ATTN...WFO...TOP...EAX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 176
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC091-121-209-190740-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
JOHNSON MIAMI WYANDOTTE
$$
MOC047-049-063-075-095-165-227-190740-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLAY CLINTON DEKALB
GENTRY JACKSON PLATTE
WORTH
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 176
VALID 190550Z - 190640Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 S OJC TO
25 NNE TOP TO 15 SW SDA.
..PETERS..05/19/13
ATTN...WFO...TOP...EAX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 176
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC005-043-091-103-121-209-190640-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATCHISON DONIPHAN JOHNSON
LEAVENWORTH MIAMI WYANDOTTE
$$
MOC003-005-021-047-049-063-075-087-095-147-165-227-190640-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDREW ATCHISON BUCHANAN
CLAY CLINTON DEKALB
GENTRY HOLT JACKSON
NODAWAY PLATTE WORTH
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
High (70%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (<5%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (>95%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
weather.gov 
@NWSSPC
