Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL8
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 178
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
340 PM CDT SUN APR 15 2012
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
EXTREME NORTHERN IOWA
SOUTHERN MINNESOTA
WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN
EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 340 PM UNTIL
1100 PM CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 85 STATUTE
MILES EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 50 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF
REDWOOD FALLS MINNESOTA TO 40 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF EAU CLAIRE
WISCONSIN. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 177...
DISCUSSION...STORMS ARE STARTING TO INCREASE FROM NWRN IA INTO SWRN
MN IN ADVANCE OF A STRONG UPPER TROUGH/VORTICITY MAX MOVING NEWD
TOWARD THE UPPER MS VALLEY. AIR MASS ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE WARM
FRONT EXTENDING ACROSS SRN MN INTO WRN WI HAS WARMED DURING THE
AFTERNOON RESULTING IN MLCAPE OF 1000-1500 J/KG. VERY STRONG WINDS
ALOFT AND ASSOCIATED INTENSE VERTICAL SHEAR WILL AID IN STORM
ORGANIZATION WITH POTENTIAL FOR SUPERCELLS TO DEVELOP...ESPECIALLY
AS STORMS INTERACT WITH THE WARM FRONT. LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS
AND A FEW TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH STRONGER CELLS AS ACTIVITY
GRADUALLY SPREADS/DEVELOPS NEWD THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 21045.
...WEISS
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW8
WW 178 TORNADO IA MN WI 152040Z - 160400Z
AXIS..85 STATUTE MILES EITHER SIDE OF LINE..
50SSW RWF/REDWOOD FALLS MN/ - 40ESE EAU/EAU CLAIRE WI/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 75NM EITHER SIDE /38SSW RWF - 35ESE EAU/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 21045.
LAT...LON 45099573 45869100 43439047 42659520
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU8.
Watch 178 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 178
VALID 160240Z - 160340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 ESE EAU
TO 35 SW EAU TO 60 NNW EAU.
..KERR..04/16/12
ATTN...WFO...DMX...ARX...FSD...MPX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 178
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
WIC019-119-160340-
WI
. WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLARK TAYLOR
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 178
VALID 160130Z - 160240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 ESE MCW
TO 50 NNE MSP.
..KERR..04/16/12
ATTN...WFO...DMX...ARX...FSD...MPX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 178
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC033-037-063-067-081-089-109-131-147-189-191-195-160240-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CERRO GORDO CHICKASAW EMMET
FLOYD HANCOCK HOWARD
KOSSUTH MITCHELL PALO ALTO
WINNEBAGO WINNESHIEK WORTH
$$
MNC039-045-049-055-079-099-109-157-169-160240-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DODGE FILLMORE GOODHUE
HOUSTON LE SUEUR MOWER
OLMSTED WABASHA WINONA
$$
WIC005-011-017-019-033-035-053-063-091-093-095-107-109-119-121-
160240-
WI
. WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARRON BUFFALO CHIPPEWA
CLARK DUNN EAU CLAIRE
JACKSON LA CROSSE PEPIN
PIERCE POLK RUSK
ST. CROIX TAYLOR TREMPEALEAU
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 178
VALID 160030Z - 160140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SW MCW TO
40 SSW STC TO 10 S STC.
..KERR..04/16/12
ATTN...WFO...DMX...ARX...FSD...MPX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 178
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC033-037-063-067-081-089-109-131-147-189-191-195-160140-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CERRO GORDO CHICKASAW EMMET
FLOYD HANCOCK HOWARD
KOSSUTH MITCHELL PALO ALTO
WINNEBAGO WINNESHIEK WORTH
$$
MNC003-025-037-039-045-047-049-055-079-099-109-123-131-147-157-
161-163-169-160140-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANOKA CHISAGO DAKOTA
DODGE FILLMORE FREEBORN
GOODHUE HOUSTON LE SUEUR
MOWER OLMSTED RAMSEY
RICE STEELE WABASHA
WASECA WASHINGTON WINONA
$$
WIC005-011-017-019-033-035-053-063-091-093-095-107-109-119-121-
160140-
WI
. WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARRON BUFFALO CHIPPEWA
CLARK DUNN EAU CLAIRE
JACKSON LA CROSSE PEPIN
PIERCE POLK RUSK
ST. CROIX TAYLOR TREMPEALEAU
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 178
VALID 152355Z - 160040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 ENE SLB
TO 5 S RWF TO 10 S STC.
..KERR..04/15/12
ATTN...WFO...DMX...ARX...FSD...MPX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 178
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC033-037-063-067-081-089-109-131-147-189-191-195-160040-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CERRO GORDO CHICKASAW EMMET
FLOYD HANCOCK HOWARD
KOSSUTH MITCHELL PALO ALTO
WINNEBAGO WINNESHIEK WORTH
$$
MNC003-013-015-019-025-037-039-043-045-047-049-053-055-059-079-
085-091-099-103-109-123-131-139-141-143-147-157-161-163-165-169-
171-160040-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANOKA BLUE EARTH BROWN
CARVER CHISAGO DAKOTA
DODGE FARIBAULT FILLMORE
FREEBORN GOODHUE HENNEPIN
HOUSTON ISANTI LE SUEUR
MCLEOD MARTIN MOWER
NICOLLET OLMSTED RAMSEY
RICE SCOTT SHERBURNE
SIBLEY STEELE WABASHA
WASECA WASHINGTON WATONWAN
WINONA WRIGHT
$$
WIC005-011-017-019-033-035-053-063-091-093-095-107-109-119-121-
160040-
WI
. WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARRON BUFFALO CHIPPEWA
CLARK DUNN EAU CLAIRE
JACKSON LA CROSSE PEPIN
PIERCE POLK RUSK
ST. CROIX TAYLOR TREMPEALEAU
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 178
VALID 152300Z - 160040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..KERR..04/15/12
ATTN...WFO...DMX...ARX...FSD...MPX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 178
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC033-037-041-059-063-067-081-089-109-131-147-189-191-195-
160040-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CERRO GORDO CHICKASAW CLAY
DICKINSON EMMET FLOYD
HANCOCK HOWARD KOSSUTH
MITCHELL PALO ALTO WINNEBAGO
WINNESHIEK WORTH
$$
MNC003-013-015-019-023-025-033-037-039-043-045-047-049-053-055-
059-063-067-079-081-083-085-091-093-099-101-103-109-123-127-129-
131-139-141-143-147-157-161-163-165-169-171-173-160040-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANOKA BLUE EARTH BROWN
CARVER CHIPPEWA CHISAGO
COTTONWOOD DAKOTA DODGE
FARIBAULT FILLMORE FREEBORN
GOODHUE HENNEPIN HOUSTON
ISANTI JACKSON KANDIYOHI
LE SUEUR LINCOLN LYON
MCLEOD MARTIN MEEKER
MOWER MURRAY NICOLLET
OLMSTED RAMSEY REDWOOD
RENVILLE RICE SCOTT
SHERBURNE SIBLEY STEELE
WABASHA WASECA WASHINGTON
WATONWAN WINONA WRIGHT
YELLOW MEDICINE
$$
WIC005-011-017-019-033-035-053-063-091-093-095-107-109-119-121-
160040-
WI
. WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARRON BUFFALO CHIPPEWA
CLARK DUNN EAU CLAIRE
JACKSON LA CROSSE PEPIN
PIERCE POLK RUSK
ST. CROIX TAYLOR TREMPEALEAU
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 178
VALID 152140Z - 152240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..KERR..04/15/12
ATTN...WFO...DMX...ARX...FSD...MPX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 178
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC033-037-041-059-063-067-081-089-109-131-147-189-191-195-
152240-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CERRO GORDO CHICKASAW CLAY
DICKINSON EMMET FLOYD
HANCOCK HOWARD KOSSUTH
MITCHELL PALO ALTO WINNEBAGO
WINNESHIEK WORTH
$$
MNC003-013-015-019-023-025-033-037-039-043-045-047-049-053-055-
059-063-067-079-081-083-085-091-093-099-101-103-109-123-127-129-
131-139-141-143-147-157-161-163-165-169-171-173-152240-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANOKA BLUE EARTH BROWN
CARVER CHIPPEWA CHISAGO
COTTONWOOD DAKOTA DODGE
FARIBAULT FILLMORE FREEBORN
GOODHUE HENNEPIN HOUSTON
ISANTI JACKSON KANDIYOHI
LE SUEUR LINCOLN LYON
MCLEOD MARTIN MEEKER
MOWER MURRAY NICOLLET
OLMSTED RAMSEY REDWOOD
RENVILLE RICE SCOTT
SHERBURNE SIBLEY STEELE
WABASHA WASECA WASHINGTON
WATONWAN WINONA WRIGHT
YELLOW MEDICINE
$$
WIC005-011-017-019-033-035-053-063-091-093-095-107-109-119-121-
152240-
WI
. WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARRON BUFFALO CHIPPEWA
CLARK DUNN EAU CLAIRE
JACKSON LA CROSSE PEPIN
PIERCE POLK RUSK
ST. CROIX TAYLOR TREMPEALEAU
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (10%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.