Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL0
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 180
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
445 PM CDT FRI APR 24 2009
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHWEST THROUGH NORTHEAST IOWA
SOUTHEAST MINNESOTA
CENTRAL INTO NORTHERN WISCONSIN
EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 445 PM UNTIL
1100 PM CDT.
HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES NORTH
NORTHWEST OF SHENANDOAH IOWA TO 15 MILES SOUTHEAST OF RHINELANDER
WISCONSIN. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
DISCUSSION...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE ALONG
AND AHEAD OF STRONG SURFACE COLD FRONT PUSHING SEWD ACROSS WW
THROUGH THE EVENING. VERY WARM SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND INCREASING
ASCENT WILL WEAKEN CAP AND STEEPEN LAPSE RATES SUPPORTING THREAT OF
HAIL WITH THE STRONGER STORMS. IN ADDITION...SHEAR WILL BE
SUFFICIENT FOR SUPERCELLS. ISOLATED DAMAGING WINDS AND POSSIBLY A
TORNADO ARE ALSO EXPECTED.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 25030.
...EVANS
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW0
WW 180 SEVERE TSTM IA MN WI 242145Z - 250400Z
AXIS..60 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
30NNW SDA/SHENANDOAH IA/ - 15SE RHI/RHINELANDER WI/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM N/S /5ESE OVR - 12SE RHI/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25030.
LAT...LON 42029563 46348925 44618925 40279563
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU0.
Watch 180 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 180
VALID 250325Z - 250400Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 ENE ALO
TO 30 W LSE TO 25 NNE RST.
WW 180 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 250400Z.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 557.
..PETERS..04/25/09
ATTN...WFO...DMX...ARX...OAX...MPX...GRB...DLH...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 180
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC005-043-065-191-250400-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLAMAKEE CLAYTON FAYETTE
WINNESHIEK
$$
MNC055-157-169-250400-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HOUSTON WABASHA WINONA
$$
WIC001-011-017-019-023-035-037-041-053-057-063-067-069-073-075-
078-081-083-085-097-107-115-119-121-123-125-135-137-141-
250400-
WI
. WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS BUFFALO CHIPPEWA
CLARK CRAWFORD EAU CLAIRE
FLORENCE FOREST JACKSON
JUNEAU LA CROSSE LANGLADE
LINCOLN MARATHON MARINETTE
MENOMINEE MONROE OCONTO
ONEIDA PORTAGE RUSK
SHAWANO TAYLOR TREMPEALEAU
VERNON VILAS WAUPACA
WAUSHARA WOOD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 180
VALID 250230Z - 250340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 5 W DSM TO
30 SE FOD TO 30 NNW ALO TO 20 NNW RST.
..GARNER..04/25/09
ATTN...WFO...DMX...ARX...OAX...MPX...GRB...DLH...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 180
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC005-013-017-023-043-065-075-083-121-127-153-169-191-250340-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLAMAKEE BLACK HAWK BREMER
BUTLER CLAYTON FAYETTE
GRUNDY HARDIN MADISON
MARSHALL POLK STORY
WINNESHIEK
$$
MNC055-109-157-169-250340-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HOUSTON OLMSTED WABASHA
WINONA
$$
WIC001-011-017-019-023-035-037-041-053-057-063-067-069-073-075-
078-081-083-085-097-099-107-115-119-121-123-125-135-137-141-
250340-
WI
. WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS BUFFALO CHIPPEWA
CLARK CRAWFORD EAU CLAIRE
FLORENCE FOREST JACKSON
JUNEAU LA CROSSE LANGLADE
LINCOLN MARATHON MARINETTE
MENOMINEE MONROE OCONTO
ONEIDA PORTAGE PRICE
RUSK SHAWANO TAYLOR
TREMPEALEAU VERNON VILAS
WAUPACA WAUSHARA WOOD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 180
VALID 250130Z - 250240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NW SDA TO
35 ESE MCW TO 20 NNW RST.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 556
..GARNER..04/25/09
ATTN...WFO...DMX...ARX...OAX...MPX...GRB...DLH...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 180
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC001-003-005-013-017-023-037-043-049-065-071-075-083-121-127-
137-145-153-169-191-250240-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR ADAMS ALLAMAKEE
BLACK HAWK BREMER BUTLER
CHICKASAW CLAYTON DALLAS
FAYETTE FREMONT GRUNDY
HARDIN MADISON MARSHALL
MONTGOMERY PAGE POLK
STORY WINNESHIEK
$$
MNC045-055-109-157-169-250240-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FILLMORE HOUSTON OLMSTED
WABASHA WINONA
$$
WIC001-011-017-019-023-035-037-041-053-057-063-067-069-073-075-
078-081-083-085-097-099-107-115-119-121-123-125-135-137-141-
250240-
WI
. WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS BUFFALO CHIPPEWA
CLARK CRAWFORD EAU CLAIRE
FLORENCE FOREST JACKSON
JUNEAU LA CROSSE LANGLADE
LINCOLN MARATHON MARINETTE
MENOMINEE MONROE OCONTO
ONEIDA PORTAGE PRICE
RUSK SHAWANO TAYLOR
TREMPEALEAU VERNON VILAS
WAUPACA WAUSHARA WOOD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 180
VALID 250030Z - 250140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 NE OMA TO
30 NNE MCW TO 15 NW RST.
..GARNER..04/25/09
ATTN...WFO...DMX...ARX...OAX...MPX...GRB...DLH...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 180
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC001-003-005-009-013-015-017-023-029-033-037-043-049-065-067-
069-071-073-075-077-079-083-089-121-127-129-131-137-145-153-155-
169-187-191-197-250140-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR ADAMS ALLAMAKEE
AUDUBON BLACK HAWK BOONE
BREMER BUTLER CASS
CERRO GORDO CHICKASAW CLAYTON
DALLAS FAYETTE FLOYD
FRANKLIN FREMONT GREENE
GRUNDY GUTHRIE HAMILTON
HARDIN HOWARD MADISON
MARSHALL MILLS MITCHELL
MONTGOMERY PAGE POLK
POTTAWATTAMIE STORY WEBSTER
WINNESHIEK WRIGHT
$$
MNC045-055-109-157-169-250140-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FILLMORE HOUSTON OLMSTED
WABASHA WINONA
$$
WIC001-011-017-019-023-035-037-041-053-057-063-067-069-073-081-
085-097-099-107-119-121-123-125-141-250140-
WI
. WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS BUFFALO CHIPPEWA
CLARK CRAWFORD EAU CLAIRE
FLORENCE FOREST JACKSON
JUNEAU LA CROSSE LANGLADE
LINCOLN MARATHON MONROE
ONEIDA PORTAGE PRICE
RUSK TAYLOR TREMPEALEAU
VERNON VILAS WOOD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 180
VALID 242325Z - 250040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..GARNER..04/24/09
ATTN...WFO...DMX...ARX...OAX...MPX...GRB...DLH...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 180
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC001-003-005-009-013-015-017-023-025-027-029-033-037-043-049-
065-067-069-071-073-075-077-079-081-083-089-091-121-127-129-131-
137-145-153-155-169-187-191-195-197-250040-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR ADAMS ALLAMAKEE
AUDUBON BLACK HAWK BOONE
BREMER BUTLER CALHOUN
CARROLL CASS CERRO GORDO
CHICKASAW CLAYTON DALLAS
FAYETTE FLOYD FRANKLIN
FREMONT GREENE GRUNDY
GUTHRIE HAMILTON HANCOCK
HARDIN HOWARD HUMBOLDT
MADISON MARSHALL MILLS
MITCHELL MONTGOMERY PAGE
POLK POTTAWATTAMIE STORY
WEBSTER WINNESHIEK WORTH
WRIGHT
$$
MNC045-055-099-109-157-169-250040-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FILLMORE HOUSTON MOWER
OLMSTED WABASHA WINONA
$$
WIC001-011-017-019-023-035-037-041-053-057-063-067-069-073-081-
085-097-099-107-119-121-123-125-141-250040-
WI
. WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS BUFFALO CHIPPEWA
CLARK CRAWFORD EAU CLAIRE
FLORENCE FOREST JACKSON
JUNEAU LA CROSSE LANGLADE
LINCOLN MARATHON MONROE
ONEIDA PORTAGE PRICE
RUSK TAYLOR TREMPEALEAU
VERNON VILAS WOOD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (90%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.