Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL1
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 181
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
655 PM CDT WED APR 9 2008
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHWEST AND CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
WESTERN NORTH TEXAS
EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY MORNING FROM 655 PM
UNTIL 100 AM CDT.
HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 65
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 140 MILES SOUTHWEST
OF ALTUS OKLAHOMA TO 35 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF CHANDLER
OKLAHOMA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 178...WW 179...WW 180...
DISCUSSION...ELEVATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE INTENSIFYING NORTH OF
SURFACE BOUNDARY ACROSS WESTERN NORTH TX AND SOUTHWEST OK. THESE
STORMS ARE LIKELY TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE THROUGH THE EVENING AS
LARGE SCALE FORCING STRENGTHENS. STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND
STRONG VERTICAL SHEAR ABOVE STABLE NEAR-SURFACE LAYER WILL PROMOTE
ELEVATED SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF LARGE HAIL.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 24035.
...HART
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW1
WW 181 SEVERE TSTM OK TX 092355Z - 100600Z
AXIS..65 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
140SW LTS/ALTUS OK/ - 35SSE CQB/CHANDLER OK/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 55NM N/S /56ESE LBB - 46WNW MLC/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
LAT...LON 34150098 36189658 34319658 32250098
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU1.
Watch 181 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 181
VALID 100535Z - 100600Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 W ABI TO
65 NNW ABI TO 25 NNE CDS.
WW 181 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 100600Z.
..HURLBUT..04/10/08
ATTN...WFO...OUN...LUB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 181
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC015-017-027-031-051-055-057-065-075-081-083-087-109-119-125-
141-149-100600-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CADDO CANADIAN CLEVELAND
COMANCHE GRADY GREER
HARMON JACKSON KIOWA
LINCOLN LOGAN MCCLAIN
OKLAHOMA PAYNE POTTAWATOMIE
TILLMAN WASHITA
$$
TXC023-155-197-275-487-100600-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAYLOR FOARD HARDEMAN
KNOX WILBARGER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 181
VALID 100450Z - 100540Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..HURLBUT..04/10/08
ATTN...WFO...OUN...LUB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 181
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC015-017-027-031-051-055-057-065-075-081-083-087-109-119-125-
141-149-100540-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CADDO CANADIAN CLEVELAND
COMANCHE GRADY GREER
HARMON JACKSON KIOWA
LINCOLN LOGAN MCCLAIN
OKLAHOMA PAYNE POTTAWATOMIE
TILLMAN WASHITA
$$
TXC023-075-101-125-155-197-263-269-275-433-487-100540-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAYLOR CHILDRESS COTTLE
DICKENS FOARD HARDEMAN
KENT KING KNOX
STONEWALL WILBARGER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 181
VALID 100330Z - 100440Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..HURLBUT..04/10/08
ATTN...WFO...OUN...LUB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 181
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC015-017-027-031-033-049-051-055-057-065-067-075-081-083-087-
109-119-125-137-141-149-100440-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CADDO CANADIAN CLEVELAND
COMANCHE COTTON GARVIN
GRADY GREER HARMON
JACKSON JEFFERSON KIOWA
LINCOLN LOGAN MCCLAIN
OKLAHOMA PAYNE POTTAWATOMIE
STEPHENS TILLMAN WASHITA
$$
TXC009-023-075-077-101-125-155-197-263-269-275-433-485-487-
100440-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARCHER BAYLOR CHILDRESS
CLAY COTTLE DICKENS
FOARD HARDEMAN KENT
KING KNOX STONEWALL
WICHITA WILBARGER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 181
VALID 100240Z - 100340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..HURLBUT..04/10/08
ATTN...WFO...OUN...LUB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 181
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC015-017-027-031-033-049-051-055-057-065-067-075-081-083-087-
109-119-125-137-141-149-100340-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CADDO CANADIAN CLEVELAND
COMANCHE COTTON GARVIN
GRADY GREER HARMON
JACKSON JEFFERSON KIOWA
LINCOLN LOGAN MCCLAIN
OKLAHOMA PAYNE POTTAWATOMIE
STEPHENS TILLMAN WASHITA
$$
TXC009-023-075-077-101-125-155-197-263-269-275-433-485-487-
100340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARCHER BAYLOR CHILDRESS
CLAY COTTLE DICKENS
FOARD HARDEMAN KENT
KING KNOX STONEWALL
WICHITA WILBARGER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 181
VALID 100135Z - 100240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..HURLBUT..04/10/08
ATTN...WFO...OUN...LUB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 181
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC015-017-027-031-033-049-051-055-057-065-067-075-081-083-087-
109-119-125-137-141-149-100240-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CADDO CANADIAN CLEVELAND
COMANCHE COTTON GARVIN
GRADY GREER HARMON
JACKSON JEFFERSON KIOWA
LINCOLN LOGAN MCCLAIN
OKLAHOMA PAYNE POTTAWATOMIE
STEPHENS TILLMAN WASHITA
$$
TXC009-023-075-077-101-125-155-197-263-269-275-433-485-487-
100240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARCHER BAYLOR CHILDRESS
CLAY COTTLE DICKENS
FOARD HARDEMAN KENT
KING KNOX STONEWALL
WICHITA WILBARGER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (40%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.