Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL2
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 182
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
745 PM CDT WED APR 9 2008
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
WEST TEXAS
EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY MORNING FROM 745 PM
UNTIL 200 AM CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 95 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 105 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF
SAN ANGELO TEXAS TO 45 MILES NORTH OF BROWNWOOD TEXAS. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 178...WW 179...WW
180...WW 181...
DISCUSSION...ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO OCCUR ALONG SURFACE
BOUNDARY FROM NEAR MAF-ABI. FROM THERE SOUTHWARD...THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED THIS EVENING AS APPROACHING UPPER TROUGH
BEGINS TO AFFECT REGION. CAPE AND VERTICAL SHEAR PROFILES REMAIN
QUITE FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELL THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF LARGE
HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND TORNADOES WELL AFTER DARK.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
...HART
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW2
WW 182 TORNADO TX 100045Z - 100700Z
AXIS..95 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
105WSW SJT/SAN ANGELO TX/ - 45N BWD/BROWNWOOD TX/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 80NM N/S /45ESE FST - 46E ABI/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..3 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
LAT...LON 32150212 33839894 31079894 29390212
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU2.
Watch 182 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 182
VALID 100530Z - 100640Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 N 6R6 TO
40 WSW SJT TO 55 ENE BGS TO 70 NE BGS.
..HURLBUT..04/10/08
ATTN...WFO...MAF...SJT...EWX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 182
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC049-059-081-083-095-105-135-137-151-207-235-253-267-307-319-
327-353-399-411-413-417-435-441-443-447-451-465-100640-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BROWN CALLAHAN COKE
COLEMAN CONCHO CROCKETT
ECTOR EDWARDS FISHER
HASKELL IRION JONES
KIMBLE MCCULLOCH MASON
MENARD NOLAN RUNNELS
SAN SABA SCHLEICHER SHACKELFORD
SUTTON TAYLOR TERRELL
THROCKMORTON TOM GREEN VAL VERDE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 182
VALID 100435Z - 100540Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 ESE FST
TO 65 SSE MAF TO 55 W SJT TO 50 NNE BGS.
..HURLBUT..04/10/08
ATTN...WFO...MAF...SJT...EWX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 182
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC049-059-081-083-095-105-135-137-151-207-235-253-267-307-319-
327-335-353-399-411-413-415-417-431-435-441-443-447-451-465-
100540-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BROWN CALLAHAN COKE
COLEMAN CONCHO CROCKETT
ECTOR EDWARDS FISHER
HASKELL IRION JONES
KIMBLE MCCULLOCH MASON
MENARD MITCHELL NOLAN
RUNNELS SAN SABA SCHLEICHER
SCURRY SHACKELFORD STERLING
SUTTON TAYLOR TERRELL
THROCKMORTON TOM GREEN VAL VERDE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 182
VALID 100330Z - 100440Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..HURLBUT..04/10/08
ATTN...WFO...MAF...SJT...EWX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 182
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC033-049-059-081-083-095-103-105-115-135-137-151-173-207-227-
235-253-267-307-317-319-327-329-335-353-371-383-399-411-413-415-
417-431-435-441-443-447-451-461-465-100440-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BORDEN BROWN CALLAHAN
COKE COLEMAN CONCHO
CRANE CROCKETT DAWSON
ECTOR EDWARDS FISHER
GLASSCOCK HASKELL HOWARD
IRION JONES KIMBLE
MCCULLOCH MARTIN MASON
MENARD MIDLAND MITCHELL
NOLAN PECOS REAGAN
RUNNELS SAN SABA SCHLEICHER
SCURRY SHACKELFORD STERLING
SUTTON TAYLOR TERRELL
THROCKMORTON TOM GREEN UPTON
VAL VERDE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 182
VALID 100240Z - 100340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..HURLBUT..04/10/08
ATTN...WFO...MAF...SJT...EWX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 182
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC033-049-059-081-083-095-103-105-115-135-137-151-173-207-227-
235-253-267-307-317-319-327-329-335-353-371-383-399-411-413-415-
417-431-435-441-443-447-451-461-465-100340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BORDEN BROWN CALLAHAN
COKE COLEMAN CONCHO
CRANE CROCKETT DAWSON
ECTOR EDWARDS FISHER
GLASSCOCK HASKELL HOWARD
IRION JONES KIMBLE
MCCULLOCH MARTIN MASON
MENARD MIDLAND MITCHELL
NOLAN PECOS REAGAN
RUNNELS SAN SABA SCHLEICHER
SCURRY SHACKELFORD STERLING
SUTTON TAYLOR TERRELL
THROCKMORTON TOM GREEN UPTON
VAL VERDE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 182
VALID 100135Z - 100240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..HURLBUT..04/10/08
ATTN...WFO...MAF...SJT...EWX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 182
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC033-049-059-081-083-095-103-105-115-135-137-151-173-207-227-
235-253-267-307-317-319-327-329-335-353-371-383-399-411-413-415-
417-431-435-441-443-447-451-461-465-100240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BORDEN BROWN CALLAHAN
COKE COLEMAN CONCHO
CRANE CROCKETT DAWSON
ECTOR EDWARDS FISHER
GLASSCOCK HASKELL HOWARD
IRION JONES KIMBLE
MCCULLOCH MARTIN MASON
MENARD MIDLAND MITCHELL
NOLAN PECOS REAGAN
RUNNELS SAN SABA SCHLEICHER
SCURRY SHACKELFORD STERLING
SUTTON TAYLOR TERRELL
THROCKMORTON TOM GREEN UPTON
VAL VERDE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.