Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL5
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 185
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
525 PM CDT SUN MAY 19 2013
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
NORTHEASTERN MINNESOTA
WEST CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST WISCONSIN
* EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND MONDAY MORNING FROM 525 PM
UNTIL 100 AM CDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
SEVERAL TORNADOES POSSIBLE
SEVERAL DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
SEVERAL LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 110 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF
EAU CLAIRE WISCONSIN TO 20 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF CAMP DOUGLAS
WISCONSIN. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 179...WW 180...WW
181...WW 182...WW 183...WW 184...
DISCUSSION...ARCING SQLN ASSOCIATED WITH NNE-MOVING MCV EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE MOVING/DEVELOPING NEWD...WITH ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT
EXPECTED DOWNSTREAM IN AREA OF ENHANCED WAA/UPLIFT ALONG STALLED W-E
FRONT IN NRN WI. SETUP APPEARS FAVORABLE FOR ADDITIONAL STORMS WITH
LOCALLY DMGG WIND...MARGINALLY SVR HAIL...AND POSSIBLY A COUPLE
TORNADOES THROUGH LATE EVE.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 21030.
...CORFIDI
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW5
WW 185 TORNADO MN WI 192225Z - 200600Z
AXIS..60 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
110NNW EAU/EAU CLAIRE WI/ - 20WSW VOK/CAMP DOUGLAS WI/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM E/W /29SSW DLH - 36E ODI/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 21030.
LAT...LON 46339109 43818944 43819183 46339362
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU5.
Watch 185 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 185
VALID 200150Z - 200240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NNE RST
TO 25 WNW EAU TO 45 N EAU TO 25 WSW ASX.
..MEAD..05/20/13
ATTN...WFO...MPX...DLH...ARX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 185
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
WIC003-017-033-035-051-099-107-113-200240-
WI
. WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ASHLAND CHIPPEWA DUNN
EAU CLAIRE IRON PRICE
RUSK SAWYER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 185
VALID 192335Z - 200040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..MEAD..05/19/13
ATTN...WFO...MPX...DLH...ARX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 185
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MNC065-095-115-200040-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
KANABEC MILLE LACS PINE
$$
WIC003-005-013-017-019-033-035-051-053-063-099-107-113-119-121-
129-200040-
WI
. WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ASHLAND BARRON BURNETT
CHIPPEWA CLARK DUNN
EAU CLAIRE IRON JACKSON
LA CROSSE PRICE RUSK
SAWYER TAYLOR TREMPEALEAU
WASHBURN
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (<5%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (<5%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (90%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.