Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL0
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 190
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1245 PM CDT MON MAY 20 2013
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS
WESTERN AND CENTRAL MISSOURI
* EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 1245 PM UNTIL
1000 PM CDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
SEVERAL TORNADOES POSSIBLE
NUMEROUS DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH LIKELY
SEVERAL LARGE HAIL EVENTS LIKELY WITH A FEW VERY LARGE HAIL
EVENTS TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 115 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF
COLUMBIA MISSOURI TO 45 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF JOPLIN MISSOURI.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 189...
DISCUSSION...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG A
SURFACE COLD FRONT AND REMNANT OUTFLOW BOUNDARY ACROSS THE WATCH
AREA DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS...BEFORE CONGEALING INTO ONE OR MORE
ORGANIZED CLUSTERS LATER THIS AFTERNOON. BEFORE UPSCALE GROWTH
OCCURS...A FEW SUPERCELLS ARE POSSIBLE...ACCOMPANIED BY A RISK FOR
TORNADOES...IN ADDITION TO LARGE HAIL. THEREAFTER...DAMAGING WIND
GUSTS MAY BECOME THE MORE PROMINENT THREAT.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24040.
...KERR
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW0
WW 190 TORNADO KS MO 201745Z - 210300Z
AXIS..115 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
40NNE COU/COLUMBIA MO/ - 45WSW JLN/JOPLIN MO/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 100NM E/W /35NNE COU - 15S OSW/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24040.
LAT...LON 39338977 36889316 36889733 39339408
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU0.
Watch 190 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 190
VALID 210025Z - 210140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 ENE BVO
TO 55 SSW SZL TO 45 NNW COU.
..SMITH..05/21/13
ATTN...WFO...ICT...TOP...SGF...EAX...LSX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 190
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC021-210140-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHEROKEE
$$
MOC009-015-029-039-043-053-057-059-077-085-089-097-105-109-119-
125-131-141-145-161-167-169-185-209-225-229-210140-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARRY BENTON CAMDEN
CEDAR CHRISTIAN COOPER
DADE DALLAS GREENE
HICKORY HOWARD JASPER
LACLEDE LAWRENCE MCDONALD
MARIES MILLER MORGAN
NEWTON PHELPS POLK
PULASKI ST. CLAIR STONE
WEBSTER WRIGHT
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 190
VALID 202305Z - 210040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 ENE PNC
TO 35 SSE CDJ.
..SMITH..05/20/13
ATTN...WFO...ICT...TOP...SGF...EAX...LSX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 190
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC001-011-019-021-037-049-099-107-125-133-205-210040-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN BOURBON CHAUTAUQUA
CHEROKEE CRAWFORD ELK
LABETTE LINN MONTGOMERY
NEOSHO WILSON
$$
MOC009-011-013-015-029-039-041-043-053-057-059-077-083-085-089-
097-101-105-109-119-121-125-131-141-145-159-161-167-169-175-185-
195-209-217-225-229-210040-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARRY BARTON BATES
BENTON CAMDEN CEDAR
CHARITON CHRISTIAN COOPER
DADE DALLAS GREENE
HENRY HICKORY HOWARD
JASPER JOHNSON LACLEDE
LAWRENCE MCDONALD MACON
MARIES MILLER MORGAN
NEWTON PETTIS PHELPS
POLK PULASKI RANDOLPH
ST. CLAIR SALINE STONE
VERNON WEBSTER WRIGHT
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 190
VALID 202100Z - 202240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..JEWELL..05/20/13
ATTN...WFO...ICT...TOP...SGF...EAX...LSX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 190
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC001-003-011-019-021-031-035-037-049-059-073-091-099-107-121-
125-133-205-207-202240-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN ANDERSON BOURBON
CHAUTAUQUA CHEROKEE COFFEY
COWLEY CRAWFORD ELK
FRANKLIN GREENWOOD JOHNSON
LABETTE LINN MIAMI
MONTGOMERY NEOSHO WILSON
WOODSON
$$
MOC009-011-013-015-019-027-029-033-037-039-043-047-051-053-057-
059-077-083-085-089-095-097-101-105-107-109-119-125-131-135-141-
145-151-159-161-167-169-177-185-195-209-217-225-229-202240-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARRY BARTON BATES
BENTON BOONE CALLAWAY
CAMDEN CARROLL CASS
CEDAR CHRISTIAN CLAY
COLE COOPER DADE
DALLAS GREENE HENRY
HICKORY HOWARD JACKSON
JASPER JOHNSON LACLEDE
LAFAYETTE LAWRENCE MCDONALD
MARIES MILLER MONITEAU
MORGAN NEWTON OSAGE
PETTIS PHELPS POLK
PULASKI RAY ST. CLAIR
SALINE STONE VERNON
WEBSTER WRIGHT
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
High (80%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (10%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (>95%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.