Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL3
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 193
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
300 PM CDT SUN APR 26 2009
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
WEST-CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST TEXAS
EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 300 PM UNTIL
1000 PM CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 80 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 45 MILES NORTHWEST OF ABILENE
TEXAS TO 100 MILES SOUTHWEST OF SAN ANGELO TEXAS. FOR A COMPLETE
DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 189...WW 190...WW
191...WW 192...
DISCUSSION...TSTMS WILL INITIATE...BOTH OFF THE SWRN TX
MOUNTAINS...AND ALONG THE DRYLINE EXTENDING FROM KSNK SWWD INTO
PECOS COUNTY THROUGH THE EVENING. SUPERCELL WIND PROFILES AND STEEP
LAPSE RATES WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR VERY LARGE HAIL AND DMGG WINDS.
ADDITIONALLY...SELY LOW-LEVEL FLOW COMBINED WITH RICH MOISTURE IN
THE BOUNDARY LAYER WILL BE CONDUCIVE FOR TORNADOES.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
...RACY/HALES
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW3
WW 193 TORNADO TX 262000Z - 270300Z
AXIS..60 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
45NW ABI/ABILENE TX/ - 100SW SJT/SAN ANGELO TX/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM E/W /30NW ABI - 76NW DLF/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..3 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..70 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
LAT...LON 32889919 30340068 30340269 32880126
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU3.
Watch 193 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 193
VALID 270035Z - 270140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
WW MAY BE REPLACED SHORTLY. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE SPC
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 89.
..EDWARDS..04/27/09
ATTN...WFO...SJT...MAF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 193
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC059-081-105-151-173-207-227-235-253-335-353-371-383-399-413-
415-417-431-435-441-443-447-451-461-270140-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CALLAHAN COKE CROCKETT
FISHER GLASSCOCK HASKELL
HOWARD IRION JONES
MITCHELL NOLAN PECOS
REAGAN RUNNELS SCHLEICHER
SCURRY SHACKELFORD STERLING
SUTTON TAYLOR TERRELL
THROCKMORTON TOM GREEN UPTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 193
VALID 262345Z - 270040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE SPC MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 589.
..EDWARDS..04/26/09
ATTN...WFO...SJT...MAF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 193
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC059-081-105-151-173-207-227-235-253-335-353-371-383-399-413-
415-417-431-435-441-443-447-451-461-270040-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CALLAHAN COKE CROCKETT
FISHER GLASSCOCK HASKELL
HOWARD IRION JONES
MITCHELL NOLAN PECOS
REAGAN RUNNELS SCHLEICHER
SCURRY SHACKELFORD STERLING
SUTTON TAYLOR TERRELL
THROCKMORTON TOM GREEN UPTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 193
VALID 262340Z - 270040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE SPC MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 589.
..EDWARDS..04/26/09
ATTN...WFO...SJT...MAF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 193
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC059-081-105-151-173-207-227-235-253-335-353-371-383-399-413-
415-417-431-435-441-443-447-451-461-270040-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CALLAHAN COKE CROCKETT
FISHER GLASSCOCK HASKELL
HOWARD IRION JONES
MITCHELL NOLAN PECOS
REAGAN RUNNELS SCHLEICHER
SCURRY SHACKELFORD STERLING
SUTTON TAYLOR TERRELL
THROCKMORTON TOM GREEN UPTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 193
VALID 262300Z - 270040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..EDWARDS..04/26/09
ATTN...WFO...SJT...MAF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 193
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC059-081-105-151-173-207-227-235-253-335-353-371-383-399-413-
415-417-431-435-441-443-447-451-461-270040-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CALLAHAN COKE CROCKETT
FISHER GLASSCOCK HASKELL
HOWARD IRION JONES
MITCHELL NOLAN PECOS
REAGAN RUNNELS SCHLEICHER
SCURRY SHACKELFORD STERLING
SUTTON TAYLOR TERRELL
THROCKMORTON TOM GREEN UPTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 193
VALID 262150Z - 262240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..GARNER..04/26/09
ATTN...WFO...SJT...MAF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 193
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC059-081-105-151-173-227-235-253-335-353-371-383-399-413-415-
417-431-435-441-443-451-461-262240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CALLAHAN COKE CROCKETT
FISHER GLASSCOCK HOWARD
IRION JONES MITCHELL
NOLAN PECOS REAGAN
RUNNELS SCHLEICHER SCURRY
SHACKELFORD STERLING SUTTON
TAYLOR TERRELL TOM GREEN
UPTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
High (70%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (60%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
High (80%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
High (80%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (90%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
weather.gov 
