Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL4
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 194
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
505 PM CDT SUN APR 26 2009
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL INTO NORTHEAST IOWA
FAR NORTHWEST ILLINOIS
NORTHEAST KANSAS
NORTHWEST INTO NORTH CENTRAL MISSOURI
SOUTHWEST WISCONSIN
EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY AFTERNOON FROM 505 PM UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 80 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 20 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF
EMPORIA KANSAS TO 60 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF DUBUQUE IOWA. FOR
A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...THIS TORNADO WATCH REPLACES TORNADO
WATCH NUMBER 191. WATCH NUMBER 191 WILL NOT BE IN EFFECT AFTER
505 PM CDT. CONTINUE...WW 190...WW 192...WW 193...
DISCUSSION...ACTIVE EVENING ON TAP WITH LARGE...BROKEN LINE OF
STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ENEWD FROM NERN
KS INTO CENTRAL IA/NWRN MO. ADDITIONAL CLUSTER OF STORMS IS NEAR
SURFACE WARM FRONT OVER NERN IA/SWRN WI AND IS BEING AIDED BY WEAK
SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVING INTO THE REGION. SHEAR IS QUITE IMPRESSIVE
ACROSS THE REGION AND WILL SUPPORT THREAT OF SUPERCELLS AND POSSIBLE
TORNADOES WITH ANY SURFACE-BASED ACTIVITY. LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING
WINDS ARE ADDITIONAL HAZARDS...ALONG WITH HEAVY RAINFALL.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
...EVANS
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW4
WW 194 TORNADO IA IL KS MO WI 262205Z - 270500Z
AXIS..80 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
20SSE EMP/EMPORIA KS/ - 60NNW DBQ/DUBUQUE IA/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 70NM E/W /68NW OSW - 44SSE ODI/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
REPLACES WW 191..IA MO NE
LAT...LON 38049751 43189276 43188958 38049456
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU4.
Watch 194 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 194
VALID 270330Z - 270440Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 S EMP TO
15 E STJ TO 30 WNW CDJ TO 20 E LWD TO 40 SE OTM.
..GARNER..04/27/09
ATTN...WFO...DMX...ARX...DVN...TOP...EAX...MKX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 194
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC003-031-045-059-091-103-107-121-209-270440-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDERSON COFFEY DOUGLAS
FRANKLIN JOHNSON LEAVENWORTH
LINN MIAMI WYANDOTTE
$$
MOC025-037-047-049-061-079-095-117-129-165-171-177-197-211-
270440-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CALDWELL CASS CLAY
CLINTON DAVIESS GRUNDY
JACKSON LIVINGSTON MERCER
PLATTE PUTNAM RAY
SCHUYLER SULLIVAN
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 194
VALID 270235Z - 270340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SW EMP TO
15 W LWD TO 40 SE OTM.
..GARNER..04/27/09
ATTN...WFO...DMX...ARX...DVN...TOP...EAX...MKX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 194
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC003-031-045-059-087-091-103-107-111-121-139-209-270340-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDERSON COFFEY DOUGLAS
FRANKLIN JEFFERSON JOHNSON
LEAVENWORTH LINN LYON
MIAMI OSAGE WYANDOTTE
$$
MOC021-025-037-047-049-061-063-075-079-081-095-117-129-165-171-
177-197-211-270340-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUCHANAN CALDWELL CASS
CLAY CLINTON DAVIESS
DEKALB GENTRY GRUNDY
HARRISON JACKSON LIVINGSTON
MERCER PLATTE PUTNAM
RAY SCHUYLER SULLIVAN
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 194
VALID 270130Z - 270240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 ESE SLN
TO 15 ENE FNB TO 25 WSW OXV TO 45 SSW LSE.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 591
..GARNER..04/27/09
ATTN...WFO...DMX...ARX...DVN...TOP...EAX...MKX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 194
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC085-177-270240-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
JO DAVIESS STEPHENSON
$$
IAC005-007-011-019-043-051-055-061-095-097-105-107-113-117-123-
125-135-157-179-185-270240-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLAMAKEE APPANOOSE BENTON
BUCHANAN CLAYTON DAVIS
DELAWARE DUBUQUE IOWA
JACKSON JONES KEOKUK
LINN LUCAS MAHASKA
MARION MONROE POWESHIEK
WAPELLO WAYNE
$$
KSC003-005-031-043-045-059-085-087-091-103-107-111-121-139-177-
197-209-270240-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDERSON ATCHISON COFFEY
DONIPHAN DOUGLAS FRANKLIN
JACKSON JEFFERSON JOHNSON
LEAVENWORTH LINN LYON
MIAMI OSAGE SHAWNEE
WABAUNSEE WYANDOTTE
$$
MOC003-021-025-037-047-049-061-063-075-079-081-095-117-129-165-
171-177-197-211-227-270240-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDREW BUCHANAN CALDWELL
CASS CLAY CLINTON
DAVIESS DEKALB GENTRY
GRUNDY HARRISON JACKSON
LIVINGSTON MERCER PLATTE
PUTNAM RAY SCHUYLER
SULLIVAN WORTH
$$
WIC023-025-043-045-049-065-103-111-270240-
WI
. WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CRAWFORD DANE GRANT
GREEN IOWA LAFAYETTE
RICHLAND SAUK
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 194
VALID 270035Z - 270140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 NW FNB TO
30 N LWD TO 55 SSW LSE.
..GARNER..04/27/09
ATTN...WFO...DMX...ARX...DVN...TOP...EAX...MKX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 194
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC085-177-270140-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
JO DAVIESS STEPHENSON
$$
IAC005-007-011-013-019-043-051-055-061-065-095-097-099-105-107-
113-117-123-125-135-157-171-179-185-270140-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLAMAKEE APPANOOSE BENTON
BLACK HAWK BUCHANAN CLAYTON
DAVIS DELAWARE DUBUQUE
FAYETTE IOWA JACKSON
JASPER JONES KEOKUK
LINN LUCAS MAHASKA
MARION MONROE POWESHIEK
TAMA WAPELLO WAYNE
$$
KSC003-005-013-031-043-045-059-085-087-091-103-107-111-121-127-
139-177-197-209-270140-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDERSON ATCHISON BROWN
COFFEY DONIPHAN DOUGLAS
FRANKLIN JACKSON JEFFERSON
JOHNSON LEAVENWORTH LINN
LYON MIAMI MORRIS
OSAGE SHAWNEE WABAUNSEE
WYANDOTTE
$$
MOC003-021-025-037-047-049-061-063-075-079-081-087-095-117-129-
147-165-171-177-197-211-227-270140-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDREW BUCHANAN CALDWELL
CASS CLAY CLINTON
DAVIESS DEKALB GENTRY
GRUNDY HARRISON HOLT
JACKSON LIVINGSTON MERCER
NODAWAY PLATTE PUTNAM
RAY SCHUYLER SULLIVAN
WORTH
$$
WIC023-025-043-045-049-065-103-111-270140-
WI
. WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CRAWFORD DANE GRANT
GREEN IOWA LAFAYETTE
RICHLAND SAUK
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 194
VALID 262340Z - 270040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 N FNB TO
35 NW LWD TO 45 N ALO.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 588
..GARNER..04/26/09
ATTN...WFO...DMX...ARX...DVN...TOP...EAX...MKX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 194
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC085-177-270040-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
JO DAVIESS STEPHENSON
$$
IAC005-007-011-013-017-019-039-043-051-053-055-061-065-075-095-
097-099-105-107-113-117-123-125-127-135-153-157-159-171-179-181-
185-270040-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLAMAKEE APPANOOSE BENTON
BLACK HAWK BREMER BUCHANAN
CLARKE CLAYTON DAVIS
DECATUR DELAWARE DUBUQUE
FAYETTE GRUNDY IOWA
JACKSON JASPER JONES
KEOKUK LINN LUCAS
MAHASKA MARION MARSHALL
MONROE POLK POWESHIEK
RINGGOLD TAMA WAPELLO
WARREN WAYNE
$$
KSC003-005-013-031-043-045-059-085-087-091-103-107-111-121-127-
139-177-197-209-270040-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDERSON ATCHISON BROWN
COFFEY DONIPHAN DOUGLAS
FRANKLIN JACKSON JEFFERSON
JOHNSON LEAVENWORTH LINN
LYON MIAMI MORRIS
OSAGE SHAWNEE WABAUNSEE
WYANDOTTE
$$
MOC003-021-025-037-047-049-061-063-075-079-081-087-095-117-129-
147-165-171-177-197-211-227-270040-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDREW BUCHANAN CALDWELL
CASS CLAY CLINTON
DAVIESS DEKALB GENTRY
GRUNDY HARRISON HOLT
JACKSON LIVINGSTON MERCER
NODAWAY PLATTE PUTNAM
RAY SCHUYLER SULLIVAN
WORTH
$$
WIC023-025-043-045-049-065-103-111-270040-
WI
. WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CRAWFORD DANE GRANT
GREEN IOWA LAFAYETTE
RICHLAND SAUK
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.