Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL5
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 195
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
615 PM CDT SUN APR 26 2009
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTH CENTRAL INTO SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS
WESTERN AND CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
NORTHWEST TEXAS INCLUDING THE EASTERN PANHANDLE
EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING FROM 615 PM UNTIL
300 AM CDT.
...THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION...
DESTRUCTIVE TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER...
THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE
POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 85 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 45 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF
EMPORIA KANSAS TO 90 MILES SOUTHWEST OF WICHITA FALLS TEXAS. FOR
A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...THIS TORNADO WATCH REPLACES TORNADO
WATCH NUMBER 190...TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 192. WATCH NUMBER 190 192
WILL NOT BE IN EFFECT AFTER 615 PM CDT. CONTINUE...WW 193...WW
194...
DISCUSSION...COMBINATION OF EXTREME LOW AND DEEP LAYER SHEAR...ALONG
WITH MODERATE INSTABILITY...WILL MAINTAIN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS TONIGHT. ACTIVITY
WILL BE SUSTAINED AS STRONG VERTICAL MOTION OVERSPREADS THE REGION
AHEAD OF SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVING ACROSS THE HIGH PLAINS.
ENVIRONMENT WILL FAVOR LONG-LIVED SUPERCELLS AND BOW ECHO
STRUCTURES. TORNADO THREAT REMAINS HIGH WITH ANY SUSTAINED
SUPERCELLS...ALTHOUGH LOW LEVEL HODOGRAPHS WILL INCREASE AS LLJ
INTENSIFIES THIS EVENING WHICH SHOULD FURTHER INCREASE TORNADO
POTENTIAL. VERY LARGE/DAMAGING HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE
ADDITIONAL HAZARDS.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23035.
...EVANS
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW5
WW 195 TORNADO KS OK TX 262315Z - 270800Z
AXIS..85 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
45WNW EMP/EMPORIA KS/ - 90SW SPS/WICHITA FALLS TX/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 75NM E/W /38SE SLN - 36NNE ABI/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..3 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23035.
REPLACES WW 190..KS OK TX
REPLACES WW 192..OK TX
LAT...LON 38569537 33049812 33040106 38569851
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU5.
Watch 195 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #7 ON WW 195
VALID 270625Z - 270740Z
THE POTENTIAL FOR ORGANIZED SEVERE WEATHER APPEARS TO HAVE
DIMINISHED ACROSS REMAINING PORTION OF WW AREA.
..MEAD..04/27/09
ATTN...WFO...ICT...DDC...OUN...TSA...LUB...AMA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 195
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC001-019-125-133-205-270740-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN CHAUTAUQUA MONTGOMERY
NEOSHO WILSON
$$
OKC113-117-270740-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
OSAGE PAWNEE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 195
VALID 270550Z - 270640Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SE OKC TO
30 SE END TO 15 WSW PNC TO 35 NNE PNC TO 25 NNW CNU.
..MEAD..04/27/09
ATTN...WFO...ICT...DDC...OUN...TSA...LUB...AMA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 195
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC001-019-035-049-125-133-205-207-270640-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN CHAUTAUQUA COWLEY
ELK MONTGOMERY NEOSHO
WILSON WOODSON
$$
OKC027-071-081-083-087-103-109-113-117-119-123-125-133-270640-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLEVELAND KAY LINCOLN
LOGAN MCCLAIN NOBLE
OKLAHOMA OSAGE PAWNEE
PAYNE PONTOTOC POTTAWATOMIE
SEMINOLE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 195
VALID 270450Z - 270540Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SSE OKC
TO 20 NW OKC TO 5 WNW END TO 15 SSE ICT TO 30 N CNU.
..EVANS..04/27/09
ATTN...WFO...ICT...DDC...OUN...TSA...LUB...AMA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 195
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC001-019-035-049-073-125-133-191-205-207-270540-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN CHAUTAUQUA COWLEY
ELK GREENWOOD MONTGOMERY
NEOSHO SUMNER WILSON
WOODSON
$$
OKC027-047-049-051-053-071-073-081-083-087-103-109-113-117-119-
123-125-133-270540-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLEVELAND GARFIELD GARVIN
GRADY GRANT KAY
KINGFISHER LINCOLN LOGAN
MCCLAIN NOBLE OKLAHOMA
OSAGE PAWNEE PAYNE
PONTOTOC POTTAWATOMIE SEMINOLE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 195
VALID 270350Z - 270440Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 WNW P28
TO 10 WNW ICT TO 30 SSW EMP TO 35 SSE TOP.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE SPC MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 592.
..EDWARDS..04/27/09
ATTN...WFO...ICT...DDC...OUN...TSA...LUB...AMA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 195
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC001-007-015-017-019-033-035-049-073-077-079-095-115-125-133-
173-191-205-207-270440-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN BARBER BUTLER
CHASE CHAUTAUQUA COMANCHE
COWLEY ELK GREENWOOD
HARPER HARVEY KINGMAN
MARION MONTGOMERY NEOSHO
SEDGWICK SUMNER WILSON
WOODSON
$$
OKC003-009-011-015-017-019-027-031-033-039-043-045-047-049-051-
053-055-057-059-065-067-071-073-075-081-083-085-087-093-099-103-
109-113-117-119-123-125-129-133-137-141-149-151-153-270440-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALFALFA BECKHAM BLAINE
CADDO CANADIAN CARTER
CLEVELAND COMANCHE COTTON
CUSTER DEWEY ELLIS
GARFIELD GARVIN GRADY
GRANT GREER HARMON
HARPER JACKSON JEFFERSON
KAY KINGFISHER KIOWA
LINCOLN LOGAN LOVE
MCCLAIN MAJOR MURRAY
NOBLE OKLAHOMA OSAGE
PAWNEE PAYNE PONTOTOC
POTTAWATOMIE ROGER MILLS SEMINOLE
STEPHENS TILLMAN WASHITA
WOODS WOODWARD
$$
TXC009-023-075-077-087-101-125-155-191-197-211-263-269-275-295-
345-433-483-485-487-270440-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARCHER BAYLOR CHILDRESS
CLAY COLLINGSWORTH COTTLE
DICKENS FOARD HALL
HARDEMAN HEMPHILL KENT
KING KNOX LIPSCOMB
MOTLEY STONEWALL WHEELER
WICHITA WILBARGER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 195
VALID 270235Z - 270340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 WNW P28
TO 15 WNW ICT TO 40 SSW MHK.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE SPC MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 592.
..EDWARDS..04/27/09
ATTN...WFO...ICT...DDC...OUN...TSA...LUB...AMA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 195
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC001-007-015-017-019-033-035-049-073-077-079-095-115-125-133-
173-191-205-207-270340-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN BARBER BUTLER
CHASE CHAUTAUQUA COMANCHE
COWLEY ELK GREENWOOD
HARPER HARVEY KINGMAN
MARION MONTGOMERY NEOSHO
SEDGWICK SUMNER WILSON
WOODSON
$$
OKC003-009-011-015-017-019-027-031-033-039-043-045-047-049-051-
053-055-057-059-065-067-071-073-075-081-083-085-087-093-099-103-
109-113-117-119-123-125-129-133-137-141-149-151-153-270340-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALFALFA BECKHAM BLAINE
CADDO CANADIAN CARTER
CLEVELAND COMANCHE COTTON
CUSTER DEWEY ELLIS
GARFIELD GARVIN GRADY
GRANT GREER HARMON
HARPER JACKSON JEFFERSON
KAY KINGFISHER KIOWA
LINCOLN LOGAN LOVE
MCCLAIN MAJOR MURRAY
NOBLE OKLAHOMA OSAGE
PAWNEE PAYNE PONTOTOC
POTTAWATOMIE ROGER MILLS SEMINOLE
STEPHENS TILLMAN WASHITA
WOODS WOODWARD
$$
TXC009-023-075-077-087-101-125-155-191-197-211-263-269-275-295-
345-433-483-485-487-270340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARCHER BAYLOR CHILDRESS
CLAY COLLINGSWORTH COTTLE
DICKENS FOARD HALL
HARDEMAN HEMPHILL KENT
KING KNOX LIPSCOMB
MOTLEY STONEWALL WHEELER
WICHITA WILBARGER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 195
VALID 270145Z - 270240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 WNW P28
TO 15 WNW ICT TO 35 SSW MHK.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE SPC MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 592.
..EDWARDS..04/27/09
ATTN...WFO...ICT...DDC...OUN...TSA...LUB...AMA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 195
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC001-007-015-017-019-033-035-049-073-077-079-095-115-125-133-
173-191-205-207-270240-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN BARBER BUTLER
CHASE CHAUTAUQUA COMANCHE
COWLEY ELK GREENWOOD
HARPER HARVEY KINGMAN
MARION MONTGOMERY NEOSHO
SEDGWICK SUMNER WILSON
WOODSON
$$
OKC003-009-011-015-017-019-027-031-033-039-043-045-047-049-051-
053-055-057-059-065-067-071-073-075-081-083-085-087-093-099-103-
109-113-117-119-123-125-129-133-137-141-149-151-153-270240-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALFALFA BECKHAM BLAINE
CADDO CANADIAN CARTER
CLEVELAND COMANCHE COTTON
CUSTER DEWEY ELLIS
GARFIELD GARVIN GRADY
GRANT GREER HARMON
HARPER JACKSON JEFFERSON
KAY KINGFISHER KIOWA
LINCOLN LOGAN LOVE
MCCLAIN MAJOR MURRAY
NOBLE OKLAHOMA OSAGE
PAWNEE PAYNE PONTOTOC
POTTAWATOMIE ROGER MILLS SEMINOLE
STEPHENS TILLMAN WASHITA
WOODS WOODWARD
$$
TXC009-023-075-077-087-101-125-155-191-197-211-263-269-275-295-
345-433-483-485-487-270240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARCHER BAYLOR CHILDRESS
CLAY COLLINGSWORTH COTTLE
DICKENS FOARD HALL
HARDEMAN HEMPHILL KENT
KING KNOX LIPSCOMB
MOTLEY STONEWALL WHEELER
WICHITA WILBARGER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 195
VALID 270035Z - 270140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..EDWARDS..04/27/09
ATTN...WFO...ICT...DDC...OUN...TSA...LUB...AMA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 195
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC001-007-015-017-019-033-035-049-073-077-079-095-113-115-125-
133-151-155-173-191-205-207-270140-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN BARBER BUTLER
CHASE CHAUTAUQUA COMANCHE
COWLEY ELK GREENWOOD
HARPER HARVEY KINGMAN
MCPHERSON MARION MONTGOMERY
NEOSHO PRATT RENO
SEDGWICK SUMNER WILSON
WOODSON
$$
OKC003-009-011-015-017-019-027-031-033-039-043-045-047-049-051-
053-055-057-059-065-067-071-073-075-081-083-085-087-093-099-103-
109-113-117-119-123-125-129-133-137-141-149-151-153-270140-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALFALFA BECKHAM BLAINE
CADDO CANADIAN CARTER
CLEVELAND COMANCHE COTTON
CUSTER DEWEY ELLIS
GARFIELD GARVIN GRADY
GRANT GREER HARMON
HARPER JACKSON JEFFERSON
KAY KINGFISHER KIOWA
LINCOLN LOGAN LOVE
MCCLAIN MAJOR MURRAY
NOBLE OKLAHOMA OSAGE
PAWNEE PAYNE PONTOTOC
POTTAWATOMIE ROGER MILLS SEMINOLE
STEPHENS TILLMAN WASHITA
WOODS WOODWARD
$$
TXC009-023-075-077-087-101-125-155-191-197-211-263-269-275-295-
345-433-483-485-487-270140-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARCHER BAYLOR CHILDRESS
CLAY COLLINGSWORTH COTTLE
DICKENS FOARD HALL
HARDEMAN HEMPHILL KENT
KING KNOX LIPSCOMB
MOTLEY STONEWALL WHEELER
WICHITA WILBARGER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
High (90%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
High (70%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (60%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
High (70%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
High (80%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (>95%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.