Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL6
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 196
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
805 PM CDT SUN APR 26 2009
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHWEST TEXAS
EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING FROM 805 PM UNTIL
300 AM CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 90 MILES SOUTHWEST OF JUNCTION
TEXAS TO 35 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF ABILENE TEXAS. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...THIS TORNADO WATCH REPLACES TORNADO
WATCH NUMBER 193. WATCH NUMBER 193 WILL NOT BE IN EFFECT AFTER
805 PM CDT. CONTINUE...WW 194...WW 195...
DISCUSSION...LONG-LIVED SUPERCELLS ONGOING AT 01Z NEAR I-10 IN
SUTTON COUNTY WILL LIKELY CONTINUE ESEWD FEEDING ON MODERATE
INSTABILITY TOWARDS THE TX HILL COUNTRY THROUGH THE LATE EVENING
BEFORE CAPPING FINALLY WEAKENS THEM. IN ADDITION...RETREATING DRY
LINE WILL MAINTAIN INFLUX OF MOIST/UNSTABLE AIR INTO THE WEST TX
PLAINS/SWRN TX AHEAD OF UPPER TROUGH STILL APPROACHING THE REGION.
THIS SUGGESTS POTENTIAL FOR ADDITIONAL SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT LATER THIS EVENING/OVERNIGHT ACROSS REMAINDER OF WW
WHERE SLY LLJ REMAINS IN PLACE.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27025.
...EVANS
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW6
WW 196 TORNADO TX 270105Z - 270800Z
AXIS..75 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
90SW JCT/JUNCTION TX/ - 35NNW ABI/ABILENE TX/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 65NM E/W /14NNW DLF - 25N ABI/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..3 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27025.
REPLACES WW 193..TX
LAT...LON 29590208 32880119 32889862 29599958
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU6.
Watch 196 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 196
VALID 270630Z - 270740Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 NNW HDO
TO 30 NE 6R6.
..MEAD..04/27/09
ATTN...WFO...SJT...EWX...MAF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 196
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC031-049-053-059-081-083-095-105-151-171-173-207-227-235-253-
265-267-299-307-319-327-335-353-383-399-411-413-415-417-431-435-
441-447-451-270740-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BLANCO BROWN BURNET
CALLAHAN COKE COLEMAN
CONCHO CROCKETT FISHER
GILLESPIE GLASSCOCK HASKELL
HOWARD IRION JONES
KERR KIMBLE LLANO
MCCULLOCH MASON MENARD
MITCHELL NOLAN REAGAN
RUNNELS SAN SABA SCHLEICHER
SCURRY SHACKELFORD STERLING
SUTTON TAYLOR THROCKMORTON
TOM GREEN
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 196
VALID 270550Z - 270640Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..MEAD..04/27/09
ATTN...WFO...SJT...EWX...MAF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 196
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC049-059-081-083-095-105-137-151-171-173-207-227-235-253-265-
267-307-319-327-335-353-383-385-399-411-413-415-417-431-435-441-
447-451-270640-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BROWN CALLAHAN COKE
COLEMAN CONCHO CROCKETT
EDWARDS FISHER GILLESPIE
GLASSCOCK HASKELL HOWARD
IRION JONES KERR
KIMBLE MCCULLOCH MASON
MENARD MITCHELL NOLAN
REAGAN REAL RUNNELS
SAN SABA SCHLEICHER SCURRY
SHACKELFORD STERLING SUTTON
TAYLOR THROCKMORTON TOM GREEN
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 196
VALID 270445Z - 270540Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE SPC MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 593.
..EDWARDS..04/27/09
ATTN...WFO...SJT...EWX...MAF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 196
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC049-059-081-083-095-105-137-151-171-173-207-227-235-253-265-
267-307-319-327-335-353-383-385-399-411-413-415-417-431-435-441-
447-451-270540-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BROWN CALLAHAN COKE
COLEMAN CONCHO CROCKETT
EDWARDS FISHER GILLESPIE
GLASSCOCK HASKELL HOWARD
IRION JONES KERR
KIMBLE MCCULLOCH MASON
MENARD MITCHELL NOLAN
REAGAN REAL RUNNELS
SAN SABA SCHLEICHER SCURRY
SHACKELFORD STERLING SUTTON
TAYLOR THROCKMORTON TOM GREEN
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 196
VALID 270345Z - 270440Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE SPC MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 593.
..EDWARDS..04/27/09
ATTN...WFO...SJT...EWX...MAF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 196
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC049-059-081-083-095-105-137-151-171-173-207-227-235-253-265-
267-307-319-327-335-353-383-385-399-411-413-415-417-431-435-441-
447-451-270440-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BROWN CALLAHAN COKE
COLEMAN CONCHO CROCKETT
EDWARDS FISHER GILLESPIE
GLASSCOCK HASKELL HOWARD
IRION JONES KERR
KIMBLE MCCULLOCH MASON
MENARD MITCHELL NOLAN
REAGAN REAL RUNNELS
SAN SABA SCHLEICHER SCURRY
SHACKELFORD STERLING SUTTON
TAYLOR THROCKMORTON TOM GREEN
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 196
VALID 270235Z - 270340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..EDWARDS..04/27/09
ATTN...WFO...SJT...EWX...MAF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 196
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC049-059-081-083-095-105-137-151-171-173-207-227-235-253-265-
267-307-319-327-335-353-383-385-399-411-413-415-417-431-435-441-
447-451-270340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BROWN CALLAHAN COKE
COLEMAN CONCHO CROCKETT
EDWARDS FISHER GILLESPIE
GLASSCOCK HASKELL HOWARD
IRION JONES KERR
KIMBLE MCCULLOCH MASON
MENARD MITCHELL NOLAN
REAGAN REAL RUNNELS
SAN SABA SCHLEICHER SCURRY
SHACKELFORD STERLING SUTTON
TAYLOR THROCKMORTON TOM GREEN
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (50%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.