Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL3
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 203
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
400 PM CDT MON APR 27 2009
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
PARTS OF SOUTH TEXAS
COASTAL WATERS
EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 400 PM UNTIL 900
PM CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 80 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 45 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES WEST OF VICTORIA
TEXAS TO 30 MILES NORTHEAST OF GALVESTON TEXAS. FOR A COMPLETE
DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 201...WW 202...
DISCUSSION...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED ALONG OUTFLOW
BOUNDARY SCENTRAL TX. WITH A VERY UNSTABLE WARM SECTOR AND FAVORABLE
SHEAR PROFILES...SUPERCELLS INCLUDING TORNADOES AND DAMAGING WINDS
WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP E/ESEWD ALONG BOUNDARY TOWARD THE COAST
THIS EVENING.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 28030.
...HALES
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW3
WW 203 TORNADO TX CW 272100Z - 280200Z
AXIS..45 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
35W VCT/VICTORIA TX/ - 30NE GLS/GALVESTON TX/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 40NM N/S /57N CRP - 53ESE IAH/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..70 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 28030.
LAT...LON 29509750 30299440 28989440 28209750
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU3.
Watch 203 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 203
VALID 280130Z - 280240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE SPC MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 610.
..EDWARDS..04/28/09
ATTN...WFO...HGX...CRP...EWX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 203
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC039-057-071-167-321-280240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BRAZORIA CALHOUN CHAMBERS
GALVESTON MATAGORDA
$$
GMZ330-335-280240-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
MATAGORDA BAY
GALVESTON BAY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 203
VALID 280040Z - 280140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NNW CRP
TO 20 NE PSX TO 15 SSW HOU TO 15 NE HOU TO 20 NE HOU TO 50 NE HOU.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE SPC MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 610.
..EDWARDS..04/28/09
ATTN...WFO...HGX...CRP...EWX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 203
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC039-057-071-167-291-321-280140-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BRAZORIA CALHOUN CHAMBERS
GALVESTON LIBERTY MATAGORDA
$$
GMZ330-335-280140-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
MATAGORDA BAY
GALVESTON BAY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 203
VALID 272335Z - 280040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 NE NIR TO
30 NE VCT TO 30 W HOU TO 35 NNW HOU.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE SPC MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 610.
..EDWARDS..04/27/09
ATTN...WFO...HGX...CRP...EWX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 203
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC039-057-071-157-167-175-201-239-291-321-469-481-280040-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BRAZORIA CALHOUN CHAMBERS
FORT BEND GALVESTON GOLIAD
HARRIS JACKSON LIBERTY
MATAGORDA VICTORIA WHARTON
$$
GMZ330-335-280040-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
MATAGORDA BAY
GALVESTON BAY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 203
VALID 272225Z - 272340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NNE NIR
TO 60 SSW CLL.
..EDWARDS..04/27/09
ATTN...WFO...HGX...CRP...EWX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 203
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC039-057-071-089-123-157-167-175-201-239-285-321-469-481-
272340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BRAZORIA CALHOUN CHAMBERS
COLORADO DEWITT FORT BEND
GALVESTON GOLIAD HARRIS
JACKSON LAVACA MATAGORDA
VICTORIA WHARTON
$$
GMZ330-335-272340-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
MATAGORDA BAY
GALVESTON BAY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.