SEL5
   
   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 205
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   350 PM MDT TUE APR 28 2009
   
   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
   
          EASTERN NEW MEXICO
          SOUTHWEST TEXAS
   
   EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 350 PM UNTIL
   1000 PM MDT.
   
   HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
   MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
   
   THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 55
   STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES NORTH
   NORTHWEST OF TUCUMCARI NEW MEXICO TO 45 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF
   FORT STOCKTON TEXAS.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE
   THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
   
   REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
   FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
   AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
   THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
   AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
   DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
   
   DISCUSSION...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...INCLUDING SUPERCELLS...WILL
   LIKELY CONTINUE DEVELOPING INVOF DRY LINE OVER CENTRAL NM AND NEAR
   HIGHER TERRAIN OVER SERN NM/SWRN TX THIS EVENING.  FEED OF MOIST
   SELY LOW LEVEL FLOW SHOULD SUSTAIN BOTH SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY AND
   DEEP LAYER SHEAR FOR SUPERCELLS...WITH PRIMARY THREAT OF LARGE HAIL.
    ISOLATED DAMAGING WINDS AND PERHAPS A TORNADO OR TWO CAN ALSO BE
   EXPECTED.
   
   AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
   TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
   KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
   MOTION VECTOR 25025.
   
   
   ...EVANS

   SEL5
   
   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 205
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   350 PM MDT TUE APR 28 2009
   
   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
   
          EASTERN NEW MEXICO
          SOUTHWEST TEXAS
   
   EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 350 PM UNTIL
   1000 PM MDT.
   
   HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
   MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
   
   THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 55
   STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES NORTH
   NORTHWEST OF TUCUMCARI NEW MEXICO TO 45 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF
   FORT STOCKTON TEXAS.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE
   THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
   
   REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
   FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
   AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
   THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
   AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
   DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
   
   DISCUSSION...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...INCLUDING SUPERCELLS...WILL
   LIKELY CONTINUE DEVELOPING INVOF DRY LINE OVER CENTRAL NM AND NEAR
   HIGHER TERRAIN OVER SERN NM/SWRN TX THIS EVENING.  FEED OF MOIST
   SELY LOW LEVEL FLOW SHOULD SUSTAIN BOTH SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY AND
   DEEP LAYER SHEAR FOR SUPERCELLS...WITH PRIMARY THREAT OF LARGE HAIL.
    ISOLATED DAMAGING WINDS AND PERHAPS A TORNADO OR TWO CAN ALSO BE
   EXPECTED.
   
   AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
   TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
   KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
   MOTION VECTOR 25025.
   
   
   ...EVANS

   WOUS64 KWNS 282147
   WOU5
   
   BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 205
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   350 PM MDT TUE APR 28 2009
   
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 205 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM MDT
   FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS
   
   NMC005-009-011-015-019-021-025-027-037-041-047-290400-
   /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0205.090428T2150Z-090429T0400Z/
   
   NM 
   .    NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
   
   CHAVES               CURRY               DE BACA             
   EDDY                 GUADALUPE           HARDING             
   LEA                  LINCOLN             QUAY                
   ROOSEVELT            SAN MIGUEL          
   
   
   TXC109-243-301-371-389-475-495-290400-
   /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0205.090428T2150Z-090429T0400Z/
   
   TX 
   .    TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
   
   CULBERSON            JEFF DAVIS          LOVING              
   PECOS                REEVES              WARD                
   WINKLER              
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...ABQ...MAF...
   
   
   

   SAW5 
   WW 205 SEVERE TSTM NM TX 282150Z - 290400Z
   AXIS..55 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
   30NNW TCC/TUCUMCARI NM/ - 45WSW FST/FORT STOCKTON TX/
   ..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM E/W /26NNW TCC - 28NE MRF/
   HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
   MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25025.
   
   LAT...LON 35580283 30670269 30670454 35580477
   
   THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA.  FOR A
   COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
   FOR WOU5.
   

Watch 205 Status Report Messages:

STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 205

VALID 290335Z - 290440Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.

WW EITHER MAY BE EXTENDED IN TIME OR REPLACED BEFORE SCHEDULED 4Z
EXPIRATION TIME. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE SPC MESOSCALE 
..EDWARDS..04/29/09

ATTN...WFO...ABQ...MAF...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 205 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

NMC005-009-011-015-019-021-025-027-037-041-047-290440-

NM 
.    NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

CHAVES		     CURRY		 DE BACA	     
EDDY		     GUADALUPE		 HARDING	     
LEA		     LINCOLN		 QUAY		     
ROOSEVELT	     SAN MIGUEL 	 
$$


TXC109-243-301-371-389-475-495-290440-

TX 
.    TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

CULBERSON	     JEFF DAVIS 	 LOVING 	     
PECOS		     REEVES		 WARD		     
WINKLER 	     
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 205

VALID 290225Z - 290340Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE SPC MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 622.

..EDWARDS..04/29/09

ATTN...WFO...ABQ...MAF...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 205 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

NMC005-009-011-015-019-021-025-027-037-041-047-290340-

NM 
.    NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

CHAVES		     CURRY		 DE BACA	     
EDDY		     GUADALUPE		 HARDING	     
LEA		     LINCOLN		 QUAY		     
ROOSEVELT	     SAN MIGUEL 	 
$$


TXC109-243-301-371-389-475-495-290340-

TX 
.    TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

CULBERSON	     JEFF DAVIS 	 LOVING 	     
PECOS		     REEVES		 WARD		     
WINKLER 	     
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 205

VALID 290145Z - 290240Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE SPC MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 622.

..EDWARDS..04/29/09

ATTN...WFO...ABQ...MAF...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 205 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

NMC005-009-011-015-019-021-025-027-037-041-047-290240-

NM 
.    NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

CHAVES		     CURRY		 DE BACA	     
EDDY		     GUADALUPE		 HARDING	     
LEA		     LINCOLN		 QUAY		     
ROOSEVELT	     SAN MIGUEL 	 
$$


TXC109-243-301-371-389-475-495-290240-

TX 
.    TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

CULBERSON	     JEFF DAVIS 	 LOVING 	     
PECOS		     REEVES		 WARD		     
WINKLER 	     
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 205

VALID 290045Z - 290140Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE PENDING SPC MESOSCALE DISCUSSION
622. 
..EDWARDS..04/29/09

ATTN...WFO...ABQ...MAF...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 205 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

NMC005-009-011-015-019-021-025-027-037-041-047-290140-

NM 
.    NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

CHAVES		     CURRY		 DE BACA	     
EDDY		     GUADALUPE		 HARDING	     
LEA		     LINCOLN		 QUAY		     
ROOSEVELT	     SAN MIGUEL 	 
$$


TXC109-243-301-371-389-475-495-290140-

TX 
.    TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

CULBERSON	     JEFF DAVIS 	 LOVING 	     
PECOS		     REEVES		 WARD		     
WINKLER 	     
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 205

VALID 282330Z - 290040Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.

..EDWARDS..04/28/09

ATTN...WFO...ABQ...MAF...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 205 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

NMC005-009-011-015-019-021-025-027-037-041-047-290040-

NM 
.    NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

CHAVES		     CURRY		 DE BACA	     
EDDY		     GUADALUPE		 HARDING	     
LEA		     LINCOLN		 QUAY		     
ROOSEVELT	     SAN MIGUEL 	 
$$


TXC109-243-301-371-389-475-495-290040-

TX 
.    TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

CULBERSON	     JEFF DAVIS 	 LOVING 	     
PECOS		     REEVES		 WARD		     
WINKLER 	     
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

Please visit the National Weather Service Interactive Weather Information Network (IWIN) for more information on the warnings.

For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch (listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster. The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2% to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities), "Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%. High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of an increased threat for a particular event.