Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL6
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 206
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
925 PM CDT TUE APR 28 2009
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
WEST CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST TEXAS INCLUDING THE PANHANDLE
EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY MORNING FROM 925 PM
UNTIL 400 AM CDT.
HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 85
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 50 MILES SOUTH
SOUTHEAST OF LUBBOCK TEXAS TO 55 MILES NORTH OF BORGER TEXAS.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 205...
DISCUSSION...ISOLATED STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE
INCREASING IN COVERAGE AND INTENSIFY ACROSS WW THROUGH THE LATE
EVENING ALONG NOSE OF SLY LLJ. AIRMASS IS MODERATELY
UNSTABLE...ALTHOUGH LIFTED-PARCELS WILL LIKELY REMAIN SOMEWHAT
ELEVATED...WITH SUFFICIENT SHEAR FOR SUPERCELLS. ACTIVITY WILL
LIKELY COALESCE INTO ONE OR TWO CLUSTERS/MCSS INTO THE EARLY MORNING
HOURS. LARGE HAIL WILL BE PRIMARY SEVERE THREAT...ALTHOUGH ISOLATED
DAMAGING WINDS MAY OCCUR WITH STORMS ROOTED CLOSE TO THE SURFACE.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 24025.
...EVANS
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW6
WW 206 SEVERE TSTM TX 290225Z - 290900Z
AXIS..85 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
50SSE LBB/LUBBOCK TX/ - 55N BGD/BORGER TX/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 75NM E/W /47SSE LBB - 39SSW LBL/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24025.
LAT...LON 32990295 36490293 36499987 32990001
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU6.
Watch 206 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 206
VALID 290640Z - 290740Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..MEAD..04/29/09
ATTN...WFO...AMA...LUB...OUN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 206
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC011-017-045-065-069-075-079-087-101-107-111-117-125-129-153-
155-169-179-189-191-195-197-205-211-219-233-263-269-275-279-295-
303-305-341-345-357-359-369-375-381-393-421-433-437-445-483-501-
290740-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARMSTRONG BAILEY BRISCOE
CARSON CASTRO CHILDRESS
COCHRAN COLLINGSWORTH COTTLE
CROSBY DALLAM DEAF SMITH
DICKENS DONLEY FLOYD
FOARD GARZA GRAY
HALE HALL HANSFORD
HARDEMAN HARTLEY HEMPHILL
HOCKLEY HUTCHINSON KENT
KING KNOX LAMB
LIPSCOMB LUBBOCK LYNN
MOORE MOTLEY OCHILTREE
OLDHAM PARMER POTTER
RANDALL ROBERTS SHERMAN
STONEWALL SWISHER TERRY
WHEELER YOAKUM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 206
VALID 290545Z - 290640Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..MEAD..04/29/09
ATTN...WFO...AMA...LUB...OUN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 206
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC011-017-045-065-069-075-079-087-101-107-111-117-125-129-153-
155-169-179-189-191-195-197-205-211-219-233-263-269-275-279-295-
303-305-341-345-357-359-369-375-381-393-421-433-437-445-483-501-
290640-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARMSTRONG BAILEY BRISCOE
CARSON CASTRO CHILDRESS
COCHRAN COLLINGSWORTH COTTLE
CROSBY DALLAM DEAF SMITH
DICKENS DONLEY FLOYD
FOARD GARZA GRAY
HALE HALL HANSFORD
HARDEMAN HARTLEY HEMPHILL
HOCKLEY HUTCHINSON KENT
KING KNOX LAMB
LIPSCOMB LUBBOCK LYNN
MOORE MOTLEY OCHILTREE
OLDHAM PARMER POTTER
RANDALL ROBERTS SHERMAN
STONEWALL SWISHER TERRY
WHEELER YOAKUM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 206
VALID 290430Z - 290540Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE SPC MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 623.
..EDWARDS..04/29/09
ATTN...WFO...AMA...LUB...OUN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 206
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC011-017-045-065-069-075-079-087-101-107-111-117-125-129-153-
155-169-179-189-191-195-197-205-211-219-233-263-269-275-279-295-
303-305-341-345-357-359-369-375-381-393-421-433-437-445-483-501-
290540-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARMSTRONG BAILEY BRISCOE
CARSON CASTRO CHILDRESS
COCHRAN COLLINGSWORTH COTTLE
CROSBY DALLAM DEAF SMITH
DICKENS DONLEY FLOYD
FOARD GARZA GRAY
HALE HALL HANSFORD
HARDEMAN HARTLEY HEMPHILL
HOCKLEY HUTCHINSON KENT
KING KNOX LAMB
LIPSCOMB LUBBOCK LYNN
MOORE MOTLEY OCHILTREE
OLDHAM PARMER POTTER
RANDALL ROBERTS SHERMAN
STONEWALL SWISHER TERRY
WHEELER YOAKUM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 206
VALID 290340Z - 290440Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE SPC MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 623.
..EDWARDS..04/29/09
ATTN...WFO...AMA...LUB...OUN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 206
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC011-017-045-065-069-075-079-087-101-107-111-117-125-129-153-
155-169-179-189-191-195-197-205-211-219-233-263-269-275-279-295-
303-305-341-345-357-359-369-375-381-393-421-433-437-445-483-501-
290440-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARMSTRONG BAILEY BRISCOE
CARSON CASTRO CHILDRESS
COCHRAN COLLINGSWORTH COTTLE
CROSBY DALLAM DEAF SMITH
DICKENS DONLEY FLOYD
FOARD GARZA GRAY
HALE HALL HANSFORD
HARDEMAN HARTLEY HEMPHILL
HOCKLEY HUTCHINSON KENT
KING KNOX LAMB
LIPSCOMB LUBBOCK LYNN
MOORE MOTLEY OCHILTREE
OLDHAM PARMER POTTER
RANDALL ROBERTS SHERMAN
STONEWALL SWISHER TERRY
WHEELER YOAKUM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (<5%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.