Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL9
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 209
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
940 AM CDT WED APR 29 2009
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
PARTS OF SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS
PARTS OF SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
PARTS OF NORTHEAST TEXAS
EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON FROM 940 AM UNTIL
400 PM CDT.
HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 20 MILES NORTH
NORTHWEST OF SHERMAN TEXAS TO 55 MILES NORTHEAST OF TEXARKANA
ARKANSAS. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 208...
DISCUSSION...LARGE MCS OK WITH LEADING EWD MOVING SQUALL LINE
ALONG/N OF RED RIVER VALLEY. WITH A VERY MOIST AND INCREASINGLY
UNSTABLE AIR MASS EWD INTO THE ARKLATEX REGION...EXPECT THE
THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN THE SQUALL LINE TO INTENSIFY WITH DAMAGING
WINDS THE PRIMARY THREAT.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 27035.
...HALES
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW9
WW 209 SEVERE TSTM AR OK TX 291440Z - 292100Z
AXIS..75 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
20NNW GYI/SHERMAN TX/ - 55NE TXK/TEXARKANA AR/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 65NM N/S /23SE ADM - 48NE TXK/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27035.
LAT...LON 35069680 35099331 32939331 32909680
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU9.
Watch 209 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 209
VALID 291930Z - 292040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 ESE ADM
TO 35 WSW MLC TO 45 SSE CQB AND 15 SE ADM TO 25 NNE PRX TO 15 WNW
RKR.
..GOSS..04/29/09
ATTN...WFO...SHV...LZK...TSA...OUN...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 209
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC027-057-061-073-081-083-091-097-099-109-113-127-131-133-149-
292040-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COLUMBIA HEMPSTEAD HOWARD
LAFAYETTE LITTLE RIVER LOGAN
MILLER MONTGOMERY NEVADA
PIKE POLK SCOTT
SEBASTIAN SEVIER YELL
$$
OKC013-023-079-089-292040-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BRYAN CHOCTAW LE FLORE
MCCURTAIN
$$
TXC037-063-067-085-097-119-121-147-159-181-223-231-277-315-343-
387-449-459-499-292040-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOWIE CAMP CASS
COLLIN COOKE DELTA
DENTON FANNIN FRANKLIN
GRAYSON HOPKINS HUNT
LAMAR MARION MORRIS
RED RIVER TITUS UPSHUR
WOOD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 209
VALID 291830Z - 291940Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 ESE ADM
TO 35 WSW MLC TO 45 SSE CQB AND 10 E ADM TO 40 SSE MLC TO 25 ENE
MLC.
..GOSS..04/29/09
ATTN...WFO...SHV...LZK...TSA...OUN...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 209
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC027-057-061-073-081-083-091-097-099-109-113-127-131-133-149-
291940-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COLUMBIA HEMPSTEAD HOWARD
LAFAYETTE LITTLE RIVER LOGAN
MILLER MONTGOMERY NEVADA
PIKE POLK SCOTT
SEBASTIAN SEVIER YELL
$$
OKC005-013-023-061-077-079-089-127-291940-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATOKA BRYAN CHOCTAW
HASKELL LATIMER LE FLORE
MCCURTAIN PUSHMATAHA
$$
TXC037-063-067-085-097-119-121-147-159-181-223-231-277-315-343-
387-449-459-499-291940-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOWIE CAMP CASS
COLLIN COOKE DELTA
DENTON FANNIN FRANKLIN
GRAYSON HOPKINS HUNT
LAMAR MARION MORRIS
RED RIVER TITUS UPSHUR
WOOD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 209
VALID 291740Z - 291840Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 ESE ADM
TO 35 WSW MLC TO 45 SSE CQB AND 10 E ADM TO 35 SSW MLC TO 20 SW
MLC TO 15 NE MLC.
..GOSS..04/29/09
ATTN...WFO...SHV...LZK...TSA...OUN...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 209
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC027-057-061-073-081-083-091-097-099-109-113-127-131-133-149-
291840-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COLUMBIA HEMPSTEAD HOWARD
LAFAYETTE LITTLE RIVER LOGAN
MILLER MONTGOMERY NEVADA
PIKE POLK SCOTT
SEBASTIAN SEVIER YELL
$$
OKC005-013-023-061-069-077-079-089-095-121-127-291840-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATOKA BRYAN CHOCTAW
HASKELL JOHNSTON LATIMER
LE FLORE MCCURTAIN MARSHALL
PITTSBURG PUSHMATAHA
$$
TXC037-063-067-085-097-119-121-147-159-181-223-231-277-315-343-
387-449-459-499-291840-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOWIE CAMP CASS
COLLIN COOKE DELTA
DENTON FANNIN FRANKLIN
GRAYSON HOPKINS HUNT
LAMAR MARION MORRIS
RED RIVER TITUS UPSHUR
WOOD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 209
VALID 291635Z - 291740Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 ESE ADM
TO 35 WSW MLC TO 45 SSE CQB.
..GOSS..04/29/09
ATTN...WFO...SHV...LZK...TSA...OUN...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 209
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC027-057-061-073-081-083-091-097-099-109-113-127-131-133-149-
291740-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COLUMBIA HEMPSTEAD HOWARD
LAFAYETTE LITTLE RIVER LOGAN
MILLER MONTGOMERY NEVADA
PIKE POLK SCOTT
SEBASTIAN SEVIER YELL
$$
OKC005-013-023-029-061-063-069-077-079-089-095-121-127-133-
291740-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATOKA BRYAN CHOCTAW
COAL HASKELL HUGHES
JOHNSTON LATIMER LE FLORE
MCCURTAIN MARSHALL PITTSBURG
PUSHMATAHA SEMINOLE
$$
TXC037-063-067-085-097-119-121-147-159-181-223-231-277-315-337-
343-387-449-459-499-291740-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOWIE CAMP CASS
COLLIN COOKE DELTA
DENTON FANNIN FRANKLIN
GRAYSON HOPKINS HUNT
LAMAR MARION MONTAGUE
MORRIS RED RIVER TITUS
UPSHUR WOOD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.