Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL1
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 211
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
235 PM CDT WED APR 29 2009
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
PARTS OF SOUTHWEST TEXAS
EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 235 PM UNTIL
1000 PM CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF
DRYDEN TEXAS TO 40 MILES NORTH OF JUNCTION TEXAS. FOR A COMPLETE
DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 209...WW 210...
DISCUSSION...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ON DRY LINE
WRN PORTION OF WW AND MOVE SLOWLY E. WITH MLCAPES TO 3000 J/KG AND
FAVORABLE VEERING SHEAR PROFILES...SUPERCELLS EXPECTED TO BE PRIMARY
MODE. VERY LARGE HAIL AND POSSIBLE TORNADOES WILL BE ASSOCIATED
WITH ANY SUPERCELL THAT DEVELOPS.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25020.
...HALES
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW1
WW 211 TORNADO TX 291935Z - 300300Z
AXIS..75 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
40NNW 6R6/DRYDEN TX/ - 40N JCT/JUNCTION TX/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 65NM N/S /35SE FST - 30N JCT/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..3 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25020.
LAT...LON 31650247 32189976 30019976 29480247
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU1.
Watch 211 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #7 ON WW 211
VALID 300245Z - 300340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SE 6R6 TO
45 NNW DRT TO 40 SSW JCT.
..BROYLES..04/30/09
ATTN...WFO...SJT...MAF...EWX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 211
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC271-323-465-300340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
KINNEY MAVERICK VAL VERDE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 211
VALID 300130Z - 300240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 E FST TO
45 ENE 6R6 TO 35 S JCT.
..BROYLES..04/30/09
ATTN...WFO...SJT...MAF...EWX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 211
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC137-271-371-443-465-300240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
EDWARDS KINNEY PECOS
TERRELL VAL VERDE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 211
VALID 300055Z - 300140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 E FST TO
50 WSW SJT TO 35 ESE BGS.
..BROYLES..04/30/09
ATTN...WFO...SJT...MAF...EWX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 211
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC081-095-105-137-235-267-271-327-371-399-413-435-443-451-465-
300140-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COKE CONCHO CROCKETT
EDWARDS IRION KIMBLE
KINNEY MENARD PECOS
RUNNELS SCHLEICHER SUTTON
TERRELL TOM GREEN VAL VERDE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 211
VALID 292335Z - 300040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..BROYLES..04/29/09
ATTN...WFO...SJT...MAF...EWX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 211
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC081-095-105-173-235-267-327-371-383-399-413-431-435-443-451-
461-465-300040-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COKE CONCHO CROCKETT
GLASSCOCK IRION KIMBLE
MENARD PECOS REAGAN
RUNNELS SCHLEICHER STERLING
SUTTON TERRELL TOM GREEN
UPTON VAL VERDE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 211
VALID 292240Z - 292340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..BROYLES..04/29/09
ATTN...WFO...SJT...MAF...EWX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 211
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC081-095-105-173-235-267-327-371-383-399-413-431-435-443-451-
461-465-292340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COKE CONCHO CROCKETT
GLASSCOCK IRION KIMBLE
MENARD PECOS REAGAN
RUNNELS SCHLEICHER STERLING
SUTTON TERRELL TOM GREEN
UPTON VAL VERDE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 211
VALID 292135Z - 292240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..HURLBUT..04/29/09
ATTN...WFO...SJT...MAF...EWX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 211
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC081-095-105-173-235-267-327-371-383-399-413-431-435-443-451-
461-465-292240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COKE CONCHO CROCKETT
GLASSCOCK IRION KIMBLE
MENARD PECOS REAGAN
RUNNELS SCHLEICHER STERLING
SUTTON TERRELL TOM GREEN
UPTON VAL VERDE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 211
VALID 292040Z - 292140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..GRAMS..04/29/09
ATTN...WFO...SJT...MAF...EWX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 211
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC081-095-105-173-235-267-327-371-383-399-413-431-435-443-451-
461-465-292140-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COKE CONCHO CROCKETT
GLASSCOCK IRION KIMBLE
MENARD PECOS REAGAN
RUNNELS SCHLEICHER STERLING
SUTTON TERRELL TOM GREEN
UPTON VAL VERDE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
High (70%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (40%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
weather.gov 
