Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL6
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 226
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
605 PM CDT THU APR 24 2008
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
NORTHWEST KANSAS
SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA
EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING FROM 605 PM
UNTIL 100 AM CDT.
HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 70
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES SOUTHWEST
OF IMPERIAL NEBRASKA TO 60 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF HILL CITY
KANSAS. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED
WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
DISCUSSION...CONVECTION WILL INCREASE IN COVERAGE/INTENSITY THROUGH
THE EVENING AS A MID LEVEL TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED SURFACE LOW MOVE
EWD FROM CO TO KS/NEB. STEEP LAPSE RATES AND 0-6 KM BULK SHEAR IN
EXCESS OF 50 KT WILL SUPPORT ORGANIZED SEVERE STORMS...INCLUDING
SUPERCELLS...CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. AN
ISOLATED TORNADO CANNOT BE RULED OUT...BUT RELATIVELY WEAK LOW-LEVEL
SHEAR AND MODEST BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE SUGGEST THIS THREAT IS
LIMITED THROUGH MUCH OF THE EVENING.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 26020.
...THOMPSON
SEL6
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 226
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
605 PM CDT THU APR 24 2008
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
NORTHWEST KANSAS
SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA
EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING FROM 605 PM
UNTIL 100 AM CDT.
HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 70
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES SOUTHWEST
OF IMPERIAL NEBRASKA TO 60 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF HILL CITY
KANSAS. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED
WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
DISCUSSION...CONVECTION WILL INCREASE IN COVERAGE/INTENSITY THROUGH
THE EVENING AS A MID LEVEL TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED SURFACE LOW MOVE
EWD FROM CO TO KS/NEB. STEEP LAPSE RATES AND 0-6 KM BULK SHEAR IN
EXCESS OF 50 KT WILL SUPPORT ORGANIZED SEVERE STORMS...INCLUDING
SUPERCELLS...CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. AN
ISOLATED TORNADO CANNOT BE RULED OUT...BUT RELATIVELY WEAK LOW-LEVEL
SHEAR AND MODEST BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE SUGGEST THIS THREAT IS
LIMITED THROUGH MUCH OF THE EVENING.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 26020.
...THOMPSON
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW6
WW 226 SEVERE TSTM KS NE 242305Z - 250600Z
AXIS..70 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
35SW IML/IMPERIAL NE/ - 60NNE HLC/HILL CITY KS/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 60NM N/S /50NNW GLD - 55E MCK/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26020.
LAT...LON 41160208 41189940 39169940 39150208
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU6.
Watch 226 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 226
VALID 250535Z - 250600Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SE GLD TO
25 SSE MCK TO 35 NNE HLC TO 20 SE HLC.
WW 226 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 250600Z.
COLD FRONT HAS SHIFTED E OF WW 226...RESULTING IN AN OVERALL
DECREASE IN A SEVERE WEATHER THREAT.
..PETERS..04/25/08
ATTN...WFO...GLD...GID...LBF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 226
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC039-063-065-109-137-179-193-250600-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DECATUR GOVE GRAHAM
LOGAN NORTON SHERIDAN
THOMAS
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 226
VALID 250410Z - 250540Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 SSE GLD
TO 25 S MCK TO 25 SE BBW.
..BROYLES..04/25/08
ATTN...WFO...GLD...GID...LBF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 226
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC039-063-065-109-137-147-163-179-193-250540-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DECATUR GOVE GRAHAM
LOGAN NORTON PHILLIPS
ROOKS SHERIDAN THOMAS
$$
NEC065-073-083-137-250540-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FURNAS GOSPER HARLAN
PHELPS
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 226
VALID 250255Z - 250340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NNE ITR
TO 35 WSW MCK TO 20 ENE LBF.
..BROYLES..04/25/08
ATTN...WFO...GLD...GID...LBF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 226
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC039-063-065-109-137-147-153-163-179-181-193-250340-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DECATUR GOVE GRAHAM
LOGAN NORTON PHILLIPS
RAWLINS ROOKS SHERIDAN
SHERMAN THOMAS
$$
NEC041-047-063-065-073-083-087-137-145-250340-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CUSTER DAWSON FRONTIER
FURNAS GOSPER HARLAN
HITCHCOCK PHELPS RED WILLOW
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 226
VALID 250225Z - 250340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 NNW GLD
TO 20 SSE IML TO 20 WNW LBF.
..BROYLES..04/25/08
ATTN...WFO...GLD...GID...LBF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 226
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC023-039-063-065-109-137-147-153-163-179-181-193-250340-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHEYENNE DECATUR GOVE
GRAHAM LOGAN NORTON
PHILLIPS RAWLINS ROOKS
SHERIDAN SHERMAN THOMAS
$$
NEC041-047-063-065-073-083-085-087-111-113-137-145-250340-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CUSTER DAWSON FRONTIER
FURNAS GOSPER HARLAN
HAYES HITCHCOCK LINCOLN
LOGAN PHELPS RED WILLOW
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 226
VALID 250035Z - 250140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..BROYLES..04/25/08
ATTN...WFO...GLD...GID...LBF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 226
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC023-039-063-065-109-137-147-153-163-179-181-193-250140-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHEYENNE DECATUR GOVE
GRAHAM LOGAN NORTON
PHILLIPS RAWLINS ROOKS
SHERIDAN SHERMAN THOMAS
$$
NEC029-041-047-057-063-065-073-083-085-087-101-111-113-117-135-
137-145-250140-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHASE CUSTER DAWSON
DUNDY FRONTIER FURNAS
GOSPER HARLAN HAYES
HITCHCOCK KEITH LINCOLN
LOGAN MCPHERSON PERKINS
PHELPS RED WILLOW
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (40%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (90%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.