Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL9
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 229
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
845 PM CDT SAT MAY 2 2009
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL ALABAMA
CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI
EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING FROM 845 PM
UNTIL 300 AM CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 45 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF
GREENVILLE MISSISSIPPI TO 20 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF BIRMINGHAM
ALABAMA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 227...WW 228...
DISCUSSION...ISOLATED SUPERCELL THUNDERSTORMS PERSIST ALONG SURFACE
BOUNDARY DRAPED ACROSS CENTRAL MS/AL. THESE STORMS WILL REMAIN
CAPABLE OF LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND POSSIBLY TORNADOES FOR
ANOTHER FEW HOURS. MEANWHILE...A STRONG BOW ECHO OVER NORTHERN LA
WILL TRACK ACROSS CENTRAL MS POSING A RISK OF DAMAGING WINDS AND
HAIL.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27035.
...HART
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW9
WW 229 TORNADO AL MS 030145Z - 030800Z
AXIS..45 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
30SSW GLH/GREENVILLE MS/ - 20SSE BHM/BIRMINGHAM AL/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 40NM N/S /51WSW SQS - 26SSE VUZ/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27035.
LAT...LON 33729118 33958662 32658662 32419118
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU9.
Watch 229 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 229
VALID 030730Z - 030800Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 NNW MEI
TO 35 SSW CBM TO 20 ESE CBM TO 30 NE TCL TO 5 NE TCL TO 35 WSW
TCL TO 25 NE MEI.
REMAINDER WW SHOULD BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 030800Z.
..EDWARDS..05/03/09
ATTN...WFO...BMX...JAN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 229
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MSC069-075-079-103-030800-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
KEMPER LAUDERDALE LEAKE
NOXUBEE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 229
VALID 030630Z - 030740Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 NNW MEI
TO 40 SSW CBM TO 15 SE CBM TO 30 W BHM TO 30 N BHM.
PER SPC MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 681 AND COORDINATION W/WFO
BMX...REMAINDER WW SHOULD BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT SCHEDULED 8Z
..EDWARDS..05/03/09
ATTN...WFO...BMX...JAN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 229
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC009-073-107-115-125-030740-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BLOUNT JEFFERSON PICKENS
ST. CLAIR TUSCALOOSA
$$
MSC069-075-079-103-030740-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
KEMPER LAUDERDALE LEAKE
NOXUBEE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 229
VALID 030555Z - 030640Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 NNW MEI
TO 40 SSW CBM TO 25 S CBM TO 15 SE CBM TO 30 W BHM TO 30 N BHM.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE SPC MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 681.
STATUS REPORT DELAYED BY SOFTWARE CRASHES.
..EDWARDS..05/03/09
ATTN...WFO...BMX...JAN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 229
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC007-009-021-063-065-073-105-107-115-117-119-125-030640-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BIBB BLOUNT CHILTON
GREENE HALE JEFFERSON
PERRY PICKENS ST. CLAIR
SHELBY SUMTER TUSCALOOSA
$$
MSC007-069-075-079-099-101-103-123-159-030640-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATTALA KEMPER LAUDERDALE
LEAKE NESHOBA NEWTON
NOXUBEE SCOTT WINSTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 229
VALID 030455Z - 030540Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 WNW JAN
TO 35 NE GWO.
..SPC..05/03/09
ATTN...WFO...BMX...JAN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 229
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC007-009-021-063-065-073-105-107-115-117-119-125-030540-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BIBB BLOUNT CHILTON
GREENE HALE JEFFERSON
PERRY PICKENS ST. CLAIR
SHELBY SUMTER TUSCALOOSA
$$
MSC007-051-069-075-079-089-099-101-103-121-123-159-163-030540-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATTALA HOLMES KEMPER
LAUDERDALE LEAKE MADISON
NESHOBA NEWTON NOXUBEE
RANKIN SCOTT WINSTON
YAZOO
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 229
VALID 030355Z - 030440Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 681
..SPC..05/03/09
ATTN...WFO...BMX...JAN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 229
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC007-009-021-057-063-065-073-075-105-107-115-117-119-125-127-
030440-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BIBB BLOUNT CHILTON
FAYETTE GREENE HALE
JEFFERSON LAMAR PERRY
PICKENS ST. CLAIR SHELBY
SUMTER TUSCALOOSA WALKER
$$
MSC007-011-015-019-025-043-049-051-053-055-069-075-079-083-087-
089-097-099-101-103-105-121-123-125-133-149-151-155-159-163-
030440-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATTALA BOLIVAR CARROLL
CHOCTAW CLAY GRENADA
HINDS HOLMES HUMPHREYS
ISSAQUENA KEMPER LAUDERDALE
LEAKE LEFLORE LOWNDES
MADISON MONTGOMERY NESHOBA
NEWTON NOXUBEE OKTIBBEHA
RANKIN SCOTT SHARKEY
SUNFLOWER WARREN WASHINGTON
WEBSTER WINSTON YAZOO
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
weather.gov 
