Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL5
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 235
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
440 PM EDT SUN MAY 3 2009
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
MUCH OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL GEORGIA
EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 440 PM UNTIL 800
PM EDT.
HAIL TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 65
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 65 MILES NORTHEAST OF
ROME GEORGIA TO 55 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF MACON GEORGIA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 233...WW 234...
DISCUSSION...SEVERE SQUALL LINE CONTINUES EAST ACROSS ERN AL AND
WILL MOVE INTO WESTER AND CENTRAL SECTIONS OF GA THIS EVENING. WHILE
SOME PORTIONS OF THE LINE HAVE EXHIBITED A WEAKENING TREND...LARGE
SCALE FORCING FRO ASCENT AND AXIS OF MODEST INSTABILITY ACROSS MUCH
OF GA SHOULD CONTINUE TO AID STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS POSING
PRIMARILY A THREAT FROM DAMAGING WINDS.
ISOLATED LONG-LIVED SUPERCELL AHEAD OF THE LINE WILL ALSO CONTINUE
TO TRACK ALONG LOW LEVEL FRONTAL/THERMAL ZONE AND INTO POLK COUNTY
SHORTLY. THIS CELL HAS EXHIBITED ROTATION AT TIMES AND A NARROW
CORRIDOR WEAK/ISOLATED TORNADO THREAT MAY CONTINUE WITH THIS CELL.
HOWEVER...LARGER AREAL AND TEMPORAL THREAT WILL BE FROM
STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS AS THE VERY LONG-LIVED LINEAR MCS MOVES EAST.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS.
A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION
VECTOR 26040.
...CARBIN
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW5
WW 235 SEVERE TSTM GA 032040Z - 040000Z
AXIS..65 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
65NE RMG/ROME GA/ - 55SSW MCN/MACON GA/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 55NM E/W /39E GQO - 24NE ABY/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1 INCH. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26040.
LAT...LON 35008320 31958290 31958512 35008551
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU5.
Watch 235 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 235
VALID 032330Z - 040040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NW ABY TO
35 NW MCN TO 50 E CHA.
..HURLBUT..05/03/09
ATTN...WFO...FFC...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 235
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
GAC009-011-013-021-023-035-059-079-085-091-117-133-135-139-141-
153-157-159-169-175-187-195-207-211-217-219-221-225-235-237-247-
265-271-281-289-291-297-303-309-311-315-319-040040-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALDWIN BANKS BARROW
BIBB BLECKLEY BUTTS
CLARKE CRAWFORD DAWSON
DODGE FORSYTH GREENE
GWINNETT HALL HANCOCK
HOUSTON JACKSON JASPER
JONES LAURENS LUMPKIN
MADISON MONROE MORGAN
NEWTON OCONEE OGLETHORPE
PEACH PULASKI PUTNAM
ROCKDALE TALIAFERRO TELFAIR
TOWNS TWIGGS UNION
WALTON WASHINGTON WHEELER
WHITE WILCOX WILKINSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 235
VALID 032155Z - 032240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..HURLBUT..05/03/09
ATTN...WFO...FFC...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 235
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
GAC009-011-013-015-021-023-035-045-047-053-055-057-059-063-067-
077-079-081-083-085-089-091-093-097-111-113-115-117-121-123-129-
133-135-139-141-143-145-149-151-153-157-159-169-171-175-187-193-
195-197-199-207-211-213-215-217-219-221-223-225-227-231-233-235-
237-247-249-255-259-261-263-265-269-271-281-285-289-291-293-295-
297-303-307-309-311-313-315-319-032240-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALDWIN BANKS BARROW
BARTOW BIBB BLECKLEY
BUTTS CARROLL CATOOSA
CHATTAHOOCHEE CHATTOOGA CHEROKEE
CLARKE CLAYTON COBB
COWETA CRAWFORD CRISP
DADE DAWSON DEKALB
DODGE DOOLY DOUGLAS
FANNIN FAYETTE FLOYD
FORSYTH FULTON GILMER
GORDON GREENE GWINNETT
HALL HANCOCK HARALSON
HARRIS HEARD HENRY
HOUSTON JACKSON JASPER
JONES LAMAR LAURENS
LUMPKIN MACON MADISON
MARION MERIWETHER MONROE
MORGAN MURRAY MUSCOGEE
NEWTON OCONEE OGLETHORPE
PAULDING PEACH PICKENS
PIKE POLK PULASKI
PUTNAM ROCKDALE SCHLEY
SPALDING STEWART SUMTER
TALBOT TALIAFERRO TAYLOR
TELFAIR TOWNS TROUP
TWIGGS UNION UPSON
WALKER WALTON WASHINGTON
WEBSTER WHEELER WHITE
WHITFIELD WILCOX WILKINSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.