Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL4
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 244
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
540 PM CDT THU MAY 1 2008
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
LARGE PART OF CENTAL IOWA
LARGE PART OF EASTERN KANSAS
LARGE PART OF WESTERN MISSOURI
EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND FRIDAY MORNING FROM 540 PM
UNTIL 100 AM CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 45 MILES SOUTH OF CHANUTE
KANSAS TO 50 MILES NORTH OF DES MOINES IOWA. FOR A COMPLETE
DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 243...
DISCUSSION...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL RAPIDLY INCREASE IN NUMBER
AND INTENSITY ALONG AND E OF DRY LINE WHERE VERY UNSTABLE AIRMASS
EXISTS. WITH STRONG VEERING SHEAR PROFILES IN PLACE AND APPROACH OF
MID LEVEL WIND MAX TORNADIC SUPERCELLS INCLUDING VERY LARGE HAIL ARE
LIKELY.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 21035.
...HALES
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW4
WW 244 TORNADO IA KS MO 012240Z - 020600Z
AXIS..75 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
45S CNU/CHANUTE KS/ - 50N DSM/DES MOINES IA/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 65NM E/W /16WSW OSW - 35SE FOD/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..3 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 21035.
LAT...LON 37009683 42249513 42249219 37009412
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU4.
Watch 244 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 244
VALID 020445Z - 020540Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SW FNB TO
30 WNW DSM TO 20 S FOD.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 766
A REPLACEMENT WATCH IS LIKELY TO BE COORDINATED BY AROUND
0530-0545Z.
..GUYER..05/02/08
ATTN...WFO...DMX...ICT...TOP...EAX...SGF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 244
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC001-003-007-015-039-049-053-099-117-121-123-125-127-135-153-
157-159-169-171-173-175-179-181-185-020540-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR ADAMS APPANOOSE
BOONE CLARKE DALLAS
DECATUR JASPER LUCAS
MADISON MAHASKA MARION
MARSHALL MONROE POLK
POWESHIEK RINGGOLD STORY
TAMA TAYLOR UNION
WAPELLO WARREN WAYNE
$$
KSC001-003-005-011-013-015-017-019-021-031-035-037-043-045-049-
059-073-085-087-091-099-103-107-111-121-125-133-139-177-197-205-
207-209-020540-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN ANDERSON ATCHISON
BOURBON BROWN BUTLER
CHASE CHAUTAUQUA CHEROKEE
COFFEY COWLEY CRAWFORD
DONIPHAN DOUGLAS ELK
FRANKLIN GREENWOOD JACKSON
JEFFERSON JOHNSON LABETTE
LEAVENWORTH LINN LYON
MIAMI MONTGOMERY NEOSHO
OSAGE SHAWNEE WABAUNSEE
WILSON WOODSON WYANDOTTE
$$
MOC003-011-013-021-025-033-037-039-041-047-049-057-061-063-075-
079-081-083-087-095-097-101-107-109-115-117-129-145-147-159-165-
171-177-185-195-211-217-227-020540-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDREW BARTON BATES
BUCHANAN CALDWELL CARROLL
CASS CEDAR CHARITON
CLAY CLINTON DADE
DAVIESS DEKALB GENTRY
GRUNDY HARRISON HENRY
HOLT JACKSON JASPER
JOHNSON LAFAYETTE LAWRENCE
LINN LIVINGSTON MERCER
NEWTON NODAWAY PETTIS
PLATTE PUTNAM RAY
ST. CLAIR SALINE SULLIVAN
VERNON WORTH
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 244
VALID 020330Z - 020440Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SW FNB TO
30 WNW DSM TO 20 S FOD.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 765
..GUYER..05/02/08
ATTN...WFO...DMX...ICT...TOP...EAX...SGF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 244
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC001-003-007-015-039-049-053-099-117-121-123-125-127-135-153-
157-159-169-171-173-175-179-181-185-020440-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR ADAMS APPANOOSE
BOONE CLARKE DALLAS
DECATUR JASPER LUCAS
MADISON MAHASKA MARION
MARSHALL MONROE POLK
POWESHIEK RINGGOLD STORY
TAMA TAYLOR UNION
WAPELLO WARREN WAYNE
$$
KSC001-003-005-011-013-015-017-019-021-031-035-037-043-045-049-
059-073-085-087-091-099-103-107-111-121-125-133-139-177-197-205-
207-209-020440-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN ANDERSON ATCHISON
BOURBON BROWN BUTLER
CHASE CHAUTAUQUA CHEROKEE
COFFEY COWLEY CRAWFORD
DONIPHAN DOUGLAS ELK
FRANKLIN GREENWOOD JACKSON
JEFFERSON JOHNSON LABETTE
LEAVENWORTH LINN LYON
MIAMI MONTGOMERY NEOSHO
OSAGE SHAWNEE WABAUNSEE
WILSON WOODSON WYANDOTTE
$$
MOC003-011-013-021-025-033-037-039-041-047-049-057-061-063-075-
079-081-083-087-095-097-101-107-109-115-117-129-145-147-159-165-
171-177-185-195-211-217-227-020440-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDREW BARTON BATES
BUCHANAN CALDWELL CARROLL
CASS CEDAR CHARITON
CLAY CLINTON DADE
DAVIESS DEKALB GENTRY
GRUNDY HARRISON HENRY
HOLT JACKSON JASPER
JOHNSON LAFAYETTE LAWRENCE
LINN LIVINGSTON MERCER
NEWTON NODAWAY PETTIS
PLATTE PUTNAM RAY
ST. CLAIR SALINE SULLIVAN
VERNON WORTH
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 244
VALID 020235Z - 020340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NNW FNB
TO 35 WNW DSM TO 30 SW FOD.
..CROSBIE..05/02/08
ATTN...WFO...DMX...ICT...TOP...EAX...SGF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 244
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC001-003-007-015-039-049-053-073-099-117-121-123-125-127-135-
153-157-159-169-171-173-175-179-181-185-020340-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR ADAMS APPANOOSE
BOONE CLARKE DALLAS
DECATUR GREENE JASPER
LUCAS MADISON MAHASKA
MARION MARSHALL MONROE
POLK POWESHIEK RINGGOLD
STORY TAMA TAYLOR
UNION WAPELLO WARREN
WAYNE
$$
KSC001-003-005-011-013-015-017-019-021-031-035-037-043-045-049-
059-073-085-087-091-099-103-107-111-121-125-133-139-177-197-205-
207-209-020340-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN ANDERSON ATCHISON
BOURBON BROWN BUTLER
CHASE CHAUTAUQUA CHEROKEE
COFFEY COWLEY CRAWFORD
DONIPHAN DOUGLAS ELK
FRANKLIN GREENWOOD JACKSON
JEFFERSON JOHNSON LABETTE
LEAVENWORTH LINN LYON
MIAMI MONTGOMERY NEOSHO
OSAGE SHAWNEE WABAUNSEE
WILSON WOODSON WYANDOTTE
$$
MOC003-011-013-021-025-033-037-039-041-047-049-057-061-063-075-
079-081-083-087-095-097-101-107-109-115-117-129-145-147-159-165-
171-177-185-195-211-217-227-020340-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDREW BARTON BATES
BUCHANAN CALDWELL CARROLL
CASS CEDAR CHARITON
CLAY CLINTON DADE
DAVIESS DEKALB GENTRY
GRUNDY HARRISON HENRY
HOLT JACKSON JASPER
JOHNSON LAFAYETTE LAWRENCE
LINN LIVINGSTON MERCER
NEWTON NODAWAY PETTIS
PLATTE PUTNAM RAY
ST. CLAIR SALINE SULLIVAN
VERNON WORTH
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 244
VALID 020140Z - 020240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..GUYER..05/02/08
ATTN...WFO...DMX...ICT...TOP...EAX...SGF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 244
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC001-003-007-009-015-027-029-039-047-049-053-073-077-099-117-
121-123-125-127-135-153-157-159-169-171-173-175-179-181-185-
020240-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR ADAMS APPANOOSE
AUDUBON BOONE CARROLL
CASS CLARKE CRAWFORD
DALLAS DECATUR GREENE
GUTHRIE JASPER LUCAS
MADISON MAHASKA MARION
MARSHALL MONROE POLK
POWESHIEK RINGGOLD STORY
TAMA TAYLOR UNION
WAPELLO WARREN WAYNE
$$
KSC001-003-005-011-013-015-017-019-021-031-035-037-043-045-049-
059-073-085-087-091-099-103-107-111-121-125-133-139-177-197-205-
207-209-020240-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN ANDERSON ATCHISON
BOURBON BROWN BUTLER
CHASE CHAUTAUQUA CHEROKEE
COFFEY COWLEY CRAWFORD
DONIPHAN DOUGLAS ELK
FRANKLIN GREENWOOD JACKSON
JEFFERSON JOHNSON LABETTE
LEAVENWORTH LINN LYON
MIAMI MONTGOMERY NEOSHO
OSAGE SHAWNEE WABAUNSEE
WILSON WOODSON WYANDOTTE
$$
MOC003-011-013-021-025-033-037-039-041-047-049-057-061-063-075-
079-081-083-087-095-097-101-107-109-115-117-129-145-147-159-165-
171-177-185-195-211-217-227-020240-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDREW BARTON BATES
BUCHANAN CALDWELL CARROLL
CASS CEDAR CHARITON
CLAY CLINTON DADE
DAVIESS DEKALB GENTRY
GRUNDY HARRISON HENRY
HOLT JACKSON JASPER
JOHNSON LAFAYETTE LAWRENCE
LINN LIVINGSTON MERCER
NEWTON NODAWAY PETTIS
PLATTE PUTNAM RAY
ST. CLAIR SALINE SULLIVAN
VERNON WORTH
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 244
VALID 020030Z - 020140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 761.
..GRAMS..05/02/08
ATTN...WFO...DMX...ICT...TOP...EAX...SGF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 244
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC001-003-007-009-015-027-029-039-047-049-053-073-077-099-117-
121-123-125-127-135-153-157-159-169-171-173-175-179-181-185-
020140-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR ADAMS APPANOOSE
AUDUBON BOONE CARROLL
CASS CLARKE CRAWFORD
DALLAS DECATUR GREENE
GUTHRIE JASPER LUCAS
MADISON MAHASKA MARION
MARSHALL MONROE POLK
POWESHIEK RINGGOLD STORY
TAMA TAYLOR UNION
WAPELLO WARREN WAYNE
$$
KSC001-003-005-011-013-015-017-019-021-031-035-037-043-045-049-
059-073-085-087-091-099-103-107-111-121-125-133-139-177-197-205-
207-209-020140-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN ANDERSON ATCHISON
BOURBON BROWN BUTLER
CHASE CHAUTAUQUA CHEROKEE
COFFEY COWLEY CRAWFORD
DONIPHAN DOUGLAS ELK
FRANKLIN GREENWOOD JACKSON
JEFFERSON JOHNSON LABETTE
LEAVENWORTH LINN LYON
MIAMI MONTGOMERY NEOSHO
OSAGE SHAWNEE WABAUNSEE
WILSON WOODSON WYANDOTTE
$$
MOC003-011-013-021-025-033-037-039-041-047-049-057-061-063-075-
079-081-083-087-095-097-101-107-109-115-117-129-145-147-159-165-
171-177-185-195-211-217-227-020140-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDREW BARTON BATES
BUCHANAN CALDWELL CARROLL
CASS CEDAR CHARITON
CLAY CLINTON DADE
DAVIESS DEKALB GENTRY
GRUNDY HARRISON HENRY
HOLT JACKSON JASPER
JOHNSON LAFAYETTE LAWRENCE
LINN LIVINGSTON MERCER
NEWTON NODAWAY PETTIS
PLATTE PUTNAM RAY
ST. CLAIR SALINE SULLIVAN
VERNON WORTH
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 244
VALID 012330Z - 020040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..GRAMS..05/01/08
ATTN...WFO...DMX...ICT...TOP...EAX...SGF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 244
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC001-003-007-009-015-027-029-039-047-049-053-073-077-099-117-
121-123-125-127-135-153-157-159-169-171-173-175-179-181-185-
020040-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR ADAMS APPANOOSE
AUDUBON BOONE CARROLL
CASS CLARKE CRAWFORD
DALLAS DECATUR GREENE
GUTHRIE JASPER LUCAS
MADISON MAHASKA MARION
MARSHALL MONROE POLK
POWESHIEK RINGGOLD STORY
TAMA TAYLOR UNION
WAPELLO WARREN WAYNE
$$
KSC001-003-005-011-013-015-017-019-021-031-035-037-043-045-049-
059-073-085-087-091-099-103-107-111-121-125-133-139-177-197-205-
207-209-020040-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN ANDERSON ATCHISON
BOURBON BROWN BUTLER
CHASE CHAUTAUQUA CHEROKEE
COFFEY COWLEY CRAWFORD
DONIPHAN DOUGLAS ELK
FRANKLIN GREENWOOD JACKSON
JEFFERSON JOHNSON LABETTE
LEAVENWORTH LINN LYON
MIAMI MONTGOMERY NEOSHO
OSAGE SHAWNEE WABAUNSEE
WILSON WOODSON WYANDOTTE
$$
MOC003-011-013-021-025-033-037-039-041-047-049-057-061-063-075-
079-081-083-087-095-097-101-107-109-115-117-129-145-147-159-165-
171-177-185-195-211-217-227-020040-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDREW BARTON BATES
BUCHANAN CALDWELL CARROLL
CASS CEDAR CHARITON
CLAY CLINTON DADE
DAVIESS DEKALB GENTRY
GRUNDY HARRISON HENRY
HOLT JACKSON JASPER
JOHNSON LAFAYETTE LAWRENCE
LINN LIVINGSTON MERCER
NEWTON NODAWAY PETTIS
PLATTE PUTNAM RAY
ST. CLAIR SALINE SULLIVAN
VERNON WORTH
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
High (70%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
High (70%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (50%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
High (80%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (60%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (90%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.