Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL0
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 250
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
915 AM CDT FRI MAY 2 2008
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHERN ILLINOIS
SOUTHWEST INDIANA
WESTERN KENTUCKY
SOUTHEAST MISSOURI
EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON FROM 915 AM UNTIL 300
PM CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF
EVANSVILLE INDIANA TO 50 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF PADUCAH
KENTUCKY. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 248...WW 249...
DISCUSSION...LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS IS INTENSIFYING OVER SOUTHEAST MO
AND MAY POSE A THREAT OF DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL THIS MORNING.
OTHER MORE ISOLATED CELLS MAY DEVELOP AHEAD OF LINE IN THE NEXT FEW
HOURS...WHERE LOW LEVEL VERTICAL SHEAR APPEARS FAVORABLE FOR
SUPERCELL STORMS CAPABLE OF ISOLATED TORNADOES.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
...HART
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW0
WW 250 TORNADO IL IN KY MO 021415Z - 022000Z
AXIS..75 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
40NNW EVV/EVANSVILLE IN/ - 50SSW PAH/PADUCAH KY/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 65NM E/W /38N PXV - 25NNE DYR/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
LAT...LON 38568643 36388776 36389045 38568919
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU0.
Watch 250 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 250
VALID 021935Z - 022000Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NE POF TO
40 NE OWB.
WW MAY BE EXTENDED LOCALLY FOR PARTS OF WFO PAH AREA. OTHERWISE...
WW 250 MAY BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 02/20Z.
..KERR..05/02/08
ATTN...WFO...PAH...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 250
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC069-127-151-022000-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HARDIN MASSAC POPE
$$
INC147-022000-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
SPENCER
$$
KYC007-033-035-039-047-055-059-075-083-105-107-139-143-145-149-
157-177-219-221-233-022000-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALLARD CALDWELL CALLOWAY
CARLISLE CHRISTIAN CRITTENDEN
DAVIESS FULTON GRAVES
HICKMAN HOPKINS LIVINGSTON
LYON MCCRACKEN MCLEAN
MARSHALL MUHLENBERG TODD
TRIGG WEBSTER
$$
MOC133-143-022000-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
MISSISSIPPI NEW MADRID
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 250
VALID 021840Z - 021940Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 WSW CGI
TO 45 W SDF.
..KERR..05/02/08
ATTN...WFO...PAH...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 250
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC069-127-151-021940-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HARDIN MASSAC POPE
$$
INC147-021940-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
SPENCER
$$
KYC007-033-035-039-047-055-059-075-083-105-107-139-143-145-149-
157-177-219-221-233-021940-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALLARD CALDWELL CALLOWAY
CARLISLE CHRISTIAN CRITTENDEN
DAVIESS FULTON GRAVES
HICKMAN HOPKINS LIVINGSTON
LYON MCCRACKEN MCLEAN
MARSHALL MUHLENBERG TODD
TRIGG WEBSTER
$$
MOC133-143-021940-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
MISSISSIPPI NEW MADRID
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 250
VALID 021810Z - 021940Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 W CGI TO
40 SSE BMG.
..KERR..05/02/08
ATTN...WFO...PAH...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 250
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC003-069-087-127-151-153-021940-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALEXANDER HARDIN JOHNSON
MASSAC POPE PULASKI
$$
INC147-021940-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
SPENCER
$$
KYC007-033-035-039-047-055-059-075-083-105-107-139-143-145-149-
157-177-219-221-233-021940-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALLARD CALDWELL CALLOWAY
CARLISLE CHRISTIAN CRITTENDEN
DAVIESS FULTON GRAVES
HICKMAN HOPKINS LIVINGSTON
LYON MCCRACKEN MCLEAN
MARSHALL MUHLENBERG TODD
TRIGG WEBSTER
$$
MOC133-143-201-021940-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
MISSISSIPPI NEW MADRID SCOTT
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 250
VALID 021630Z - 021740Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 WNW CGI
TO 20 ESE SLO.
..KERR..05/02/08
ATTN...WFO...PAH...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 250
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC003-047-059-065-069-087-127-151-153-165-185-191-193-021740-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALEXANDER EDWARDS GALLATIN
HAMILTON HARDIN JOHNSON
MASSAC POPE PULASKI
SALINE WABASH WAYNE
WHITE
$$
INC051-125-129-147-163-173-021740-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GIBSON PIKE POSEY
SPENCER VANDERBURGH WARRICK
$$
KYC007-033-035-039-047-055-059-075-083-101-105-107-139-143-145-
149-157-177-219-221-225-233-021740-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALLARD CALDWELL CALLOWAY
CARLISLE CHRISTIAN CRITTENDEN
DAVIESS FULTON GRAVES
HENDERSON HICKMAN HOPKINS
LIVINGSTON LYON MCCRACKEN
MCLEAN MARSHALL MUHLENBERG
TODD TRIGG UNION
WEBSTER
$$
MOC133-143-201-207-021740-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
MISSISSIPPI NEW MADRID SCOTT
STODDARD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 250
VALID 021530Z - 021640Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..KERR..05/02/08
ATTN...WFO...PAH...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 250
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC003-047-055-059-065-069-077-081-087-127-145-151-153-165-181-
185-191-193-199-021640-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALEXANDER EDWARDS FRANKLIN
GALLATIN HAMILTON HARDIN
JACKSON JEFFERSON JOHNSON
MASSAC PERRY POPE
PULASKI SALINE UNION
WABASH WAYNE WHITE
WILLIAMSON
$$
INC051-125-129-147-163-173-021640-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GIBSON PIKE POSEY
SPENCER VANDERBURGH WARRICK
$$
KYC007-033-035-039-047-055-059-075-083-101-105-107-139-143-145-
149-157-177-219-221-225-233-021640-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALLARD CALDWELL CALLOWAY
CARLISLE CHRISTIAN CRITTENDEN
DAVIESS FULTON GRAVES
HENDERSON HICKMAN HOPKINS
LIVINGSTON LYON MCCRACKEN
MCLEAN MARSHALL MUHLENBERG
TODD TRIGG UNION
WEBSTER
$$
MOC031-133-143-201-207-021640-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CAPE GIRARDEAU MISSISSIPPI NEW MADRID
SCOTT STODDARD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Mod (30%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.