Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL4
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 254
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1030 AM EDT WED MAY 6 2009
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
LARGE PART OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL ALABAMA
MUCH OF NORTH AND PARTS OF CENTRAL GEORGIA
PARTS OF WESTERN SOUTH CAROLINA
EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY MORNING AND EVENING FROM 1030 AM UNTIL
700 PM EDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 80 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 115 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF
AUBURN ALABAMA TO 70 MILES NORTHEAST OF ROME GEORGIA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 252...WW 253...
DISCUSSION...WELL DEVELOPED SQUALL LINE WITH EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS
WILL CONTINUE EWD ACROSS THE WATCH AREA. WITH STRONG VEERING SHEAR
PROFILES IN PLACE AND STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES ALONG WITH MLCAPES
AOA 1500 J/KG...SEVERE THREAT WILL CONTINUE AND LIKELY INCREASE WITH
DIURNAL HEATING. IN ADDITION TO TORNADO POTENTIAL ASSOCIATED WITH
ANY EMBEDDED ROTATIONS WITHIN LINE...MORE DISCRETE SUPERCELLS COULD
DEVELOP IN ADVANCE OF MAIN LINE AS AIR MASS CONTINUES TO
DESTABILIZE.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
...HALES
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW4
WW 254 TORNADO AL GA SC 061430Z - 062300Z
AXIS..115 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
40WSW AUO/AUBURN AL/ - 70NE RMG/ROME GA/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 100NM E/W /16NE MGM - 43E GQO/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..70 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
LAT...LON 32368802 35048633 35048226 32368408
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU4.
Watch 254 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 254
VALID 062245Z - 062340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 SW CSG TO
35 NW MCN TO 5 E AHN TO 50 NW AND.
..GUYER..05/06/09
ATTN...WFO...BMX...HUN...FFC...GSP...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 254
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC005-011-109-113-062340-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBOUR BULLOCK PIKE
RUSSELL
$$
GAC009-021-053-079-105-119-133-141-147-153-169-193-197-225-237-
249-257-265-269-289-317-319-062340-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALDWIN BIBB CHATTAHOOCHEE
CRAWFORD ELBERT FRANKLIN
GREENE HANCOCK HART
HOUSTON JONES MACON
MARION PEACH PUTNAM
SCHLEY STEPHENS TALIAFERRO
TAYLOR TWIGGS WILKES
WILKINSON
$$
SCC007-073-077-062340-
SC
. SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDERSON OCONEE PICKENS
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 254
VALID 062045Z - 062140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 5 NE SEM TO
35 SSW ANB TO 25 S ATL TO 15 NW AHN TO 35 NNW AHN TO 45 SW AVL.
..DIAL..05/06/09
ATTN...WFO...BMX...HUN...FFC...GSP...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 254
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC001-005-011-017-037-051-081-085-087-101-109-113-123-062140-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AUTAUGA BARBOUR BULLOCK
CHAMBERS COOSA ELMORE
LEE LOWNDES MACON
MONTGOMERY PIKE RUSSELL
TALLAPOOSA
$$
GAC009-021-035-053-059-079-105-119-133-141-145-147-151-153-159-
169-171-193-195-197-199-207-211-215-217-219-221-225-231-237-247-
249-255-257-263-265-269-289-293-297-317-319-062140-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALDWIN BIBB BUTTS
CHATTAHOOCHEE CLARKE CRAWFORD
ELBERT FRANKLIN GREENE
HANCOCK HARRIS HART
HENRY HOUSTON JASPER
JONES LAMAR MACON
MADISON MARION MERIWETHER
MONROE MORGAN MUSCOGEE
NEWTON OCONEE OGLETHORPE
PEACH PIKE PUTNAM
ROCKDALE SCHLEY SPALDING
STEPHENS TALBOT TALIAFERRO
TAYLOR TWIGGS UPSON
WALTON WILKES WILKINSON
$$
SCC007-073-077-062140-
SC
. SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDERSON OCONEE PICKENS
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 254
VALID 061935Z - 062040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 5 E TCL TO
20 NW ATL TO 60 NW AND.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 735
..DIAL..05/06/09
ATTN...WFO...BMX...HUN...FFC...GSP...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 254
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC001-005-007-011-017-021-027-037-047-051-065-081-085-087-091-
101-105-109-111-113-117-121-123-062040-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AUTAUGA BARBOUR BIBB
BULLOCK CHAMBERS CHILTON
CLAY COOSA DALLAS
ELMORE HALE LEE
LOWNDES MACON MARENGO
MONTGOMERY PERRY PIKE
RANDOLPH RUSSELL SHELBY
TALLADEGA TALLAPOOSA
$$
GAC011-013-021-035-045-053-059-063-067-077-079-089-097-105-113-
117-119-121-133-135-137-139-145-147-149-151-157-159-169-171-195-
197-199-207-211-215-217-219-221-231-237-241-247-255-257-263-269-
285-293-297-062040-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BANKS BARROW BIBB
BUTTS CARROLL CHATTAHOOCHEE
CLARKE CLAYTON COBB
COWETA CRAWFORD DEKALB
DOUGLAS ELBERT FAYETTE
FORSYTH FRANKLIN FULTON
GREENE GWINNETT HABERSHAM
HALL HARRIS HART
HEARD HENRY JACKSON
JASPER JONES LAMAR
MADISON MARION MERIWETHER
MONROE MORGAN MUSCOGEE
NEWTON OCONEE OGLETHORPE
PIKE PUTNAM RABUN
ROCKDALE SPALDING STEPHENS
TALBOT TAYLOR TROUP
UPSON WALTON
$$
SCC007-073-077-062040-
SC
. SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDERSON OCONEE PICKENS
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 254
VALID 061735Z - 061840Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..DIAL..05/06/09
ATTN...WFO...BMX...HUN...FFC...GSP...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 254
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC001-007-009-015-017-019-021-027-029-037-047-049-051-055-063-
065-071-073-081-085-087-091-095-101-105-111-113-115-117-119-121-
123-125-127-061840-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AUTAUGA BIBB BLOUNT
CALHOUN CHAMBERS CHEROKEE
CHILTON CLAY CLEBURNE
COOSA DALLAS DEKALB
ELMORE ETOWAH GREENE
HALE JACKSON JEFFERSON
LEE LOWNDES MACON
MARENGO MARSHALL MONTGOMERY
PERRY RANDOLPH RUSSELL
ST. CLAIR SHELBY SUMTER
TALLADEGA TALLAPOOSA TUSCALOOSA
WALKER
$$
GAC011-013-015-021-035-045-047-053-055-057-059-063-067-077-079-
083-085-089-097-105-111-113-115-117-119-121-123-129-133-135-137-
139-143-145-147-149-151-157-159-169-171-187-195-197-199-207-211-
213-215-217-219-221-223-227-231-233-237-241-247-255-257-263-269-
281-285-291-293-295-297-311-313-061840-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BANKS BARROW BARTOW
BIBB BUTTS CARROLL
CATOOSA CHATTAHOOCHEE CHATTOOGA
CHEROKEE CLARKE CLAYTON
COBB COWETA CRAWFORD
DADE DAWSON DEKALB
DOUGLAS ELBERT FANNIN
FAYETTE FLOYD FORSYTH
FRANKLIN FULTON GILMER
GORDON GREENE GWINNETT
HABERSHAM HALL HARALSON
HARRIS HART HEARD
HENRY JACKSON JASPER
JONES LAMAR LUMPKIN
MADISON MARION MERIWETHER
MONROE MORGAN MURRAY
MUSCOGEE NEWTON OCONEE
OGLETHORPE PAULDING PICKENS
PIKE POLK PUTNAM
RABUN ROCKDALE SPALDING
STEPHENS TALBOT TAYLOR
TOWNS TROUP UNION
UPSON WALKER WALTON
WHITE WHITFIELD
$$
SCC007-073-077-061840-
SC
. SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDERSON OCONEE PICKENS
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
High (80%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (50%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (>95%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.