Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL7
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 257
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
820 PM EDT WED MAY 6 2009
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHERN MARYLAND
CENTRAL AND EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA
CENTRAL AND EASTERN VIRGINIA
COASTAL WATERS
EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY MORNING FROM 820 PM
UNTIL 400 AM EDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS
TO 60 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 65 STATUTE
MILES EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 50 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF
GREENSBORO NORTH CAROLINA TO 10 MILES NORTH OF WALLOPS VIRGINIA.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...THIS TORNADO WATCH REPLACES TORNADO
WATCH NUMBER 256. WATCH NUMBER 256 WILL NOT BE IN EFFECT AFTER
820 PM EDT.
DISCUSSION...ISOLD TO WIDELY SCTD TSTMS MAY CONTINUE TO FORM THROUGH
LATER THIS EVENING INVOF SHALLOW WARM FRONT OVER S CNTRL VA...AND
FARTHER S IN SLIGHTLY CONFLUENT WARM SECTOR ACROSS PIEDMONT NC.
ALTHOUGH LARGE SCALE FORCING FOR ASCENT WILL REMAIN MODEST PER
SATELLITE AND EVE VWP DATA/...AND LOSS OF SFC HEATING WILL KEEP
ADDITIONAL STORM DEVELOPMENT ISOLD TO WIDELY SCTD...PRESENCE OF
MODERATE TO STRONG DEEP DIRECTIONAL SHEAR...AND ENHANCED LOW LVL
SHEAR NEAR WARM FRONT ..SUGGEST POTENTIAL FOR ISOLD TORNADOES WITH
ANY LONGER-LIVED UPDRAFTS AS TEMPERATURE-DEW POINT SPREADS DECREASE.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450.
MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23035.
...CORFIDI
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW7
WW 257 TORNADO MD NC VA CW 070020Z - 070800Z
AXIS..65 STATUTE MILES EITHER SIDE OF LINE..
50SSW GSO/GREENSBORO NC/ - 10N WAL/WALLOPS VA/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 55NM EITHER SIDE /35ENE CLT - 17S SBY/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1 INCH. WIND GUSTS..50 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23035.
REPLACES WW 256..NC SC VA CW
LAT...LON 36258081 38907605 37257491 34597973
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU7.
Watch 257 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 257
VALID 070730Z - 070840Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 N FLO TO
35 NNE RDU TO 30 SW RIC TO 40 WSW NHK TO 30 NW SBY.
..EDWARDS..05/07/09
ATTN...WFO...LWX...AKQ...RAH...RNK...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 257
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MDC009-019-039-045-047-070840-
MD
. MARYLAND COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CALVERT DORCHESTER SOMERSET
WICOMICO WORCESTER
$$
NCC015-029-041-053-065-069-073-077-083-085-091-101-127-131-139-
143-181-183-185-195-070840-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BERTIE CAMDEN CHOWAN
CURRITUCK EDGECOMBE FRANKLIN
GATES GRANVILLE HALIFAX
HARNETT HERTFORD JOHNSTON
NASH NORTHAMPTON PASQUOTANK
PERQUIMANS VANCE WAKE
WARREN WILSON
$$
VAC001-025-036-053-057-073-081-093-095-097-101-103-115-117-119-
127-131-133-149-159-175-181-183-193-199-550-570-595-620-650-670-
700-710-730-735-740-800-810-830-070840-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ACCOMACK BRUNSWICK CHARLES CITY
DINWIDDIE ESSEX GLOUCESTER
GREENSVILLE ISLE OF WIGHT JAMES CITY
KING AND QUEEN KING WILLIAM LANCASTER
MATHEWS MECKLENBURG MIDDLESEX
NEW KENT NORTHAMPTON NORTHUMBERLAND
PRINCE GEORGE RICHMOND SOUTHAMPTON
SURRY SUSSEX WESTMORELAND
YORK
VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
CHESAPEAKE COLONIAL HEIGHTS EMPORIA
FRANKLIN HAMPTON HOPEWELL
NEWPORT NEWS NORFOLK PETERSBURG
POQUOSON PORTSMOUTH SUFFOLK
VIRGINIA BEACH WILLIAMSBURG
$$
ANZ533-534-630-631-632-633-650-652-654-656-070840-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM NORTH BEACH TO DRUM POINT MD
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM DRUM POINT MD TO SMITH POINT VA
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM SMITH POINT TO WINDMILL POINT VA
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM WINDMILL POINT TO NEW POINT COMFORT VA
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM NEW POINT COMFORT TO CAPE HENRY VA
CURRITUCK SOUND
COASTAL WATERS FROM FENWICK ISLAND DE TO CHINCOTEAGUE VA OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CHINCOTEAGUE TO PARRAMORE ISLAND VA OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM PARRAMORE ISLAND TO CAPE CHARLES LIGHT VA OUT
20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE CHARLES LIGHT VA TO NC VA BORDER OUT 20
NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 257
VALID 070545Z - 070640Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 W SOP TO
25 SE DAN TO 30 WSW AVC TO 30 WNW RIC TO 40 SSW DCA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE SPC MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 740.
..EDWARDS..05/07/09
ATTN...WFO...LWX...AKQ...RAH...RNK...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 257
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MDC009-019-037-039-045-047-070640-
MD
. MARYLAND COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CALVERT DORCHESTER ST. MARYS
SOMERSET WICOMICO WORCESTER
$$
NCC007-015-029-037-041-053-063-065-069-073-077-083-085-091-101-
105-123-125-127-131-135-139-143-145-153-167-181-183-185-195-
070640-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANSON BERTIE CAMDEN
CHATHAM CHOWAN CURRITUCK
DURHAM EDGECOMBE FRANKLIN
GATES GRANVILLE HALIFAX
HARNETT HERTFORD JOHNSTON
LEE MONTGOMERY MOORE
NASH NORTHAMPTON ORANGE
PASQUOTANK PERQUIMANS PERSON
RICHMOND STANLY VANCE
WAKE WARREN WILSON
$$
VAC001-007-025-033-036-041-053-057-073-081-085-087-093-095-097-
099-101-103-111-115-117-119-127-131-133-135-145-149-159-175-181-
183-193-199-550-570-595-620-650-670-700-710-730-735-740-760-800-
810-830-070640-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ACCOMACK AMELIA BRUNSWICK
CAROLINE CHARLES CITY CHESTERFIELD
DINWIDDIE ESSEX GLOUCESTER
GREENSVILLE HANOVER HENRICO
ISLE OF WIGHT JAMES CITY KING AND QUEEN
KING GEORGE KING WILLIAM LANCASTER
LUNENBURG MATHEWS MECKLENBURG
MIDDLESEX NEW KENT NORTHAMPTON
NORTHUMBERLAND NOTTOWAY POWHATAN
PRINCE GEORGE RICHMOND SOUTHAMPTON
SURRY SUSSEX WESTMORELAND
YORK
VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
CHESAPEAKE COLONIAL HEIGHTS EMPORIA
FRANKLIN HAMPTON HOPEWELL
NEWPORT NEWS NORFOLK PETERSBURG
POQUOSON PORTSMOUTH RICHMOND
SUFFOLK VIRGINIA BEACH WILLIAMSBURG
$$
ANZ533-534-537-630-631-632-633-650-652-654-656-070640-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM NORTH BEACH TO DRUM POINT MD
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM DRUM POINT MD TO SMITH POINT VA
TIDAL POTOMAC FROM COBB ISLAND MD TO SMITH POINT VA
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM SMITH POINT TO WINDMILL POINT VA
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM WINDMILL POINT TO NEW POINT COMFORT VA
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM NEW POINT COMFORT TO CAPE HENRY VA
CURRITUCK SOUND
COASTAL WATERS FROM FENWICK ISLAND DE TO CHINCOTEAGUE VA OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CHINCOTEAGUE TO PARRAMORE ISLAND VA OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM PARRAMORE ISLAND TO CAPE CHARLES LIGHT VA OUT
20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE CHARLES LIGHT VA TO NC VA BORDER OUT 20
NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 257
VALID 070440Z - 070540Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 740
..GUYER..05/07/09
ATTN...WFO...LWX...AKQ...RAH...RNK...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 257
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MDC009-019-037-039-045-047-070540-
MD
. MARYLAND COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CALVERT DORCHESTER ST. MARYS
SOMERSET WICOMICO WORCESTER
$$
NCC001-007-015-029-033-037-041-053-057-063-065-067-069-073-077-
081-083-085-091-101-105-123-125-127-131-135-139-143-145-151-153-
167-181-183-185-195-070540-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALAMANCE ANSON BERTIE
CAMDEN CASWELL CHATHAM
CHOWAN CURRITUCK DAVIDSON
DURHAM EDGECOMBE FORSYTH
FRANKLIN GATES GRANVILLE
GUILFORD HALIFAX HARNETT
HERTFORD JOHNSTON LEE
MONTGOMERY MOORE NASH
NORTHAMPTON ORANGE PASQUOTANK
PERQUIMANS PERSON RANDOLPH
RICHMOND STANLY VANCE
WAKE WARREN WILSON
$$
VAC001-007-011-025-029-031-033-036-037-041-049-053-057-065-073-
075-081-083-085-087-093-095-097-099-101-103-109-111-115-117-119-
127-131-133-135-143-145-147-149-159-175-177-181-183-193-199-550-
570-590-595-620-630-650-670-700-710-730-735-740-760-800-810-830-
070540-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ACCOMACK AMELIA APPOMATTOX
BRUNSWICK BUCKINGHAM CAMPBELL
CAROLINE CHARLES CITY CHARLOTTE
CHESTERFIELD CUMBERLAND DINWIDDIE
ESSEX FLUVANNA GLOUCESTER
GOOCHLAND GREENSVILLE HALIFAX
HANOVER HENRICO ISLE OF WIGHT
JAMES CITY KING AND QUEEN KING GEORGE
KING WILLIAM LANCASTER LOUISA
LUNENBURG MATHEWS MECKLENBURG
MIDDLESEX NEW KENT NORTHAMPTON
NORTHUMBERLAND NOTTOWAY PITTSYLVANIA
POWHATAN PRINCE EDWARD PRINCE GEORGE
RICHMOND SOUTHAMPTON SPOTSYLVANIA
SURRY SUSSEX WESTMORELAND
YORK
VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
CHESAPEAKE COLONIAL HEIGHTS DANVILLE
EMPORIA FRANKLIN FREDERICKSBURG
HAMPTON HOPEWELL NEWPORT NEWS
NORFOLK PETERSBURG POQUOSON
PORTSMOUTH RICHMOND SUFFOLK
VIRGINIA BEACH WILLIAMSBURG
$$
ANZ533-534-536-537-630-631-632-633-650-652-654-656-070540-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM NORTH BEACH TO DRUM POINT MD
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM DRUM POINT MD TO SMITH POINT VA
TIDAL POTOMAC FROM INDIAN HEAD TO COBB ISLAND MD
TIDAL POTOMAC FROM COBB ISLAND MD TO SMITH POINT VA
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM SMITH POINT TO WINDMILL POINT VA
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM WINDMILL POINT TO NEW POINT COMFORT VA
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM NEW POINT COMFORT TO CAPE HENRY VA
CURRITUCK SOUND
COASTAL WATERS FROM FENWICK ISLAND DE TO CHINCOTEAGUE VA OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CHINCOTEAGUE TO PARRAMORE ISLAND VA OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM PARRAMORE ISLAND TO CAPE CHARLES LIGHT VA OUT
20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE CHARLES LIGHT VA TO NC VA BORDER OUT 20
NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 257
VALID 070225Z - 070340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..GUYER..05/07/09
ATTN...WFO...LWX...AKQ...RAH...RNK...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 257
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MDC009-019-037-039-045-047-070340-
MD
. MARYLAND COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CALVERT DORCHESTER ST. MARYS
SOMERSET WICOMICO WORCESTER
$$
NCC001-007-015-029-033-037-041-053-057-063-065-067-069-073-077-
081-083-085-091-101-105-123-125-127-131-135-139-143-145-151-153-
167-181-183-185-195-070340-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALAMANCE ANSON BERTIE
CAMDEN CASWELL CHATHAM
CHOWAN CURRITUCK DAVIDSON
DURHAM EDGECOMBE FORSYTH
FRANKLIN GATES GRANVILLE
GUILFORD HALIFAX HARNETT
HERTFORD JOHNSTON LEE
MONTGOMERY MOORE NASH
NORTHAMPTON ORANGE PASQUOTANK
PERQUIMANS PERSON RANDOLPH
RICHMOND STANLY VANCE
WAKE WARREN WILSON
$$
VAC001-007-011-025-029-031-033-036-037-041-049-053-057-065-073-
075-081-083-085-087-093-095-097-099-101-103-109-111-115-117-119-
127-131-133-135-143-145-147-149-159-175-177-181-183-193-199-550-
570-590-595-620-630-650-670-700-710-730-735-740-760-800-810-830-
070340-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ACCOMACK AMELIA APPOMATTOX
BRUNSWICK BUCKINGHAM CAMPBELL
CAROLINE CHARLES CITY CHARLOTTE
CHESTERFIELD CUMBERLAND DINWIDDIE
ESSEX FLUVANNA GLOUCESTER
GOOCHLAND GREENSVILLE HALIFAX
HANOVER HENRICO ISLE OF WIGHT
JAMES CITY KING AND QUEEN KING GEORGE
KING WILLIAM LANCASTER LOUISA
LUNENBURG MATHEWS MECKLENBURG
MIDDLESEX NEW KENT NORTHAMPTON
NORTHUMBERLAND NOTTOWAY PITTSYLVANIA
POWHATAN PRINCE EDWARD PRINCE GEORGE
RICHMOND SOUTHAMPTON SPOTSYLVANIA
SURRY SUSSEX WESTMORELAND
YORK
VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
CHESAPEAKE COLONIAL HEIGHTS DANVILLE
EMPORIA FRANKLIN FREDERICKSBURG
HAMPTON HOPEWELL NEWPORT NEWS
NORFOLK PETERSBURG POQUOSON
PORTSMOUTH RICHMOND SUFFOLK
VIRGINIA BEACH WILLIAMSBURG
$$
ANZ533-534-536-537-630-631-632-633-650-652-654-656-070340-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM NORTH BEACH TO DRUM POINT MD
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM DRUM POINT MD TO SMITH POINT VA
TIDAL POTOMAC FROM INDIAN HEAD TO COBB ISLAND MD
TIDAL POTOMAC FROM COBB ISLAND MD TO SMITH POINT VA
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM SMITH POINT TO WINDMILL POINT VA
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM WINDMILL POINT TO NEW POINT COMFORT VA
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM NEW POINT COMFORT TO CAPE HENRY VA
CURRITUCK SOUND
COASTAL WATERS FROM FENWICK ISLAND DE TO CHINCOTEAGUE VA OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CHINCOTEAGUE TO PARRAMORE ISLAND VA OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM PARRAMORE ISLAND TO CAPE CHARLES LIGHT VA OUT
20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE CHARLES LIGHT VA TO NC VA BORDER OUT 20
NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (<5%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (<5%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.