SEL9
   
   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 259
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   710 AM CDT SAT MAY 3 2008
   
   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
   
          CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN ALABAMA
          THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE
          COASTAL WATERS
   
   EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON FROM 710 AM UNTIL
   100 PM CDT.
   
   HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
   MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
   
   THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 80
   STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 15 MILES WEST OF
   MOBILE ALABAMA TO 35 MILES SOUTH OF MONTGOMERY ALABAMA.  FOR A
   COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
   UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
   
   REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
   FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
   AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
   THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
   AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
   DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
   
   OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 258...
   
   DISCUSSION...A WELL-DEVELOPED PRE-FRONTAL SQUALL LINE WILL CONTINUE
   MOVING ESEWD THROUGH THE MORNING ACROSS CENTRAL/SRN AL.  AS THE LOW
   LEVELS DESTABILIZE WITH DAYTIME HEATING...THE THREAT FOR DAMAGING
   WINDS AND LARGE HAIL WILL BE MAINTAINED WITH THE STRONGEST STORMS IN
   THE LINE.  THE CONVECTIVE MODE SHOULD REMAIN PRIMARILY LINEAR GIVEN
   THE TENDENCY FOR LOW-LEVEL AND DEEP LAYER SHEAR TO WEAKEN GRADUALLY
   BY EARLY AFTERNOON.
   
   AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
   TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
   KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
   MOTION VECTOR 28030.
   
   
   ...THOMPSON

   SEL9
   
   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 259
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   710 AM CDT SAT MAY 3 2008
   
   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
   
          CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN ALABAMA
          THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE
          COASTAL WATERS
   
   EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON FROM 710 AM UNTIL
   100 PM CDT.
   
   HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
   MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
   
   THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 80
   STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 15 MILES WEST OF
   MOBILE ALABAMA TO 35 MILES SOUTH OF MONTGOMERY ALABAMA.  FOR A
   COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
   UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
   
   REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
   FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
   AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
   THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
   AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
   DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
   
   OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 258...
   
   DISCUSSION...A WELL-DEVELOPED PRE-FRONTAL SQUALL LINE WILL CONTINUE
   MOVING ESEWD THROUGH THE MORNING ACROSS CENTRAL/SRN AL.  AS THE LOW
   LEVELS DESTABILIZE WITH DAYTIME HEATING...THE THREAT FOR DAMAGING
   WINDS AND LARGE HAIL WILL BE MAINTAINED WITH THE STRONGEST STORMS IN
   THE LINE.  THE CONVECTIVE MODE SHOULD REMAIN PRIMARILY LINEAR GIVEN
   THE TENDENCY FOR LOW-LEVEL AND DEEP LAYER SHEAR TO WEAKEN GRADUALLY
   BY EARLY AFTERNOON.
   
   AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
   TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
   KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
   MOTION VECTOR 28030.
   
   
   ...THOMPSON

   WOUS64 KWNS 031207
   WOU9
   
   BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 259
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   710 AM CDT SAT MAY 3 2008
   
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 259 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 PM CDT
   FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS
   
   ALC001-003-013-021-025-035-037-039-041-047-051-053-085-091-099-
   101-105-131-031800-
   /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0259.080503T1210Z-080503T1800Z/
   
   AL 
   .    ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
   
   AUTAUGA              BALDWIN             BUTLER              
   CHILTON              CLARKE              CONECUH             
   COOSA                COVINGTON           CRENSHAW            
   DALLAS               ELMORE              ESCAMBIA            
   LOWNDES              MARENGO             MONROE              
   MONTGOMERY           PERRY               WILCOX              
   
   
   FLC033-091-113-031800-
   /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0259.080503T1210Z-080503T1800Z/
   
   FL 
   .    FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
   
   ESCAMBIA             OKALOOSA            SANTA ROSA          
   
   
   GMZ655-031800-
   /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0259.080503T1210Z-080503T1800Z/
   
   CW 
   
   .    ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
   
   COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM 
   
   ATTN...WFO...BMX...MOB...
   
   
   

   SAW9 
   WW 259 SEVERE TSTM AL FL CW 031210Z - 031800Z
   AXIS..80 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
   15W MOB/MOBILE AL/ - 35S MGM/MONTGOMERY AL/
   ..AVIATION COORDS.. 70NM N/S /8WSW SJI - 27S MGM/
   HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
   MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 28030.
   
   LAT...LON 31848850 32938640 30628640 29528850
   
   THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA.  FOR A
   COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
   FOR WOU9.
   

Watch 259 Status Report Messages:

STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 259

VALID 031720Z - 031840Z

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 ENE BVE
TO 30 S GZH TO 20 NNE CEW.

..KERR..05/03/08

ATTN...WFO...BMX...MOB...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 259 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

FLC033-091-113-031840-

FL 
.    FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ESCAMBIA	     OKALOOSA		 SANTA ROSA	     
$$


GMZ655-031840-

CW 

.    ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE

COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM 

$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 259

VALID 031635Z - 031740Z

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 SE GPT TO
30 ENE MOB TO 40 E GZH.

..KERR..05/03/08

ATTN...WFO...BMX...MOB...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 259 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

ALC003-039-031740-

AL 
.    ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BALDWIN 	     COVINGTON		 
$$


FLC033-091-113-031740-

FL 
.    FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ESCAMBIA	     OKALOOSA		 SANTA ROSA	     
$$


GMZ655-031740-

CW 

.    ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE

COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM 

$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 259

VALID 031440Z - 031540Z

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NW MOB TO
45 N MGM.

..KERR..05/03/08

ATTN...WFO...BMX...MOB...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 259 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

ALC001-003-013-035-039-041-051-053-085-101-031540-

AL 
.    ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

AUTAUGA 	     BALDWIN		 BUTLER 	     
CONECUH 	     COVINGTON		 CRENSHAW	     
ELMORE		     ESCAMBIA		 LOWNDES	     
MONTGOMERY	     
$$


FLC033-091-113-031540-

FL 
.    FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ESCAMBIA	     OKALOOSA		 SANTA ROSA	     
$$


GMZ655-031540-

CW 

.    ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE

COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM 

$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 259

VALID 031345Z - 031440Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.

..KERR..05/03/08

ATTN...WFO...BMX...MOB...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 259 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

ALC001-003-013-021-025-035-037-039-041-047-051-053-085-091-099-
101-105-131-031440-

AL 
.    ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

AUTAUGA 	     BALDWIN		 BUTLER 	     
CHILTON 	     CLARKE		 CONECUH	     
COOSA		     COVINGTON		 CRENSHAW	     
DALLAS		     ELMORE		 ESCAMBIA	     
LOWNDES 	     MARENGO		 MONROE 	     
MONTGOMERY	     PERRY		 WILCOX 	     
$$


FLC033-091-113-031440-

FL 
.    FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ESCAMBIA	     OKALOOSA		 SANTA ROSA	     
$$


GMZ655-031440-

CW 

.    ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE

COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM 

$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

Please visit the National Weather Service Interactive Weather Information Network (IWIN) for more information on the warnings.

For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch (listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster. The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2% to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities), "Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%. High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of an increased threat for a particular event.