Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL0
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 260
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
615 PM CDT THU MAY 7 2009
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN ILLINOIS
WESTERN INDIANA
NORTHEAST MISSOURI
EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING FROM 615 PM
UNTIL 200 AM CDT.
HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 60 MILES WEST
SOUTHWEST OF QUINCY ILLINOIS TO 45 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF TERRE
HAUTE INDIANA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 258...WW 259...
DISCUSSION...TSTMS EXPECTED TO INCREASE THROUGH LATE EVE ALONG /1/
W-E BOUNDARY OVER NE MO/W CNTRL IL...AND /2/ INVOF DIFFUSE WARM
FRONTAL SEGMENT ORIENTED MORE N-S ACROSS CNTRL MO. PROXIMITY TO
STRONG ZONAL MID/UPR LVL FLOW AND SIZABLE TEMPERATURE-DEW POINT
SPREADS SUGGEST POTENTIAL FOR BOWING SEGMENTS WITH SVR WIND/HAIL AS
STORMS MERGE INTO A FORWARD-PROPAGATING MCS.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 29035.
...CORFIDI
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW0
WW 260 SEVERE TSTM IL IN MO 072315Z - 080700Z
AXIS..60 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
60WSW UIN/QUINCY IL/ - 45SSE HUF/TERRE HAUTE IN/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM N/S /35SSE IRK - 40SSE TTH/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 29035.
LAT...LON 40479223 39728700 37978700 38749223
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU0.
Watch 260 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 260
VALID 080455Z - 080540Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 N COU TO
35 ENE ALN TO 15 SE CMI.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 753
..GUYER..05/08/09
ATTN...WFO...LSX...ILX...PAH...IND...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 260
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC005-013-019-023-025-027-029-033-035-041-045-047-049-051-065-
079-081-083-101-119-121-139-159-163-173-183-185-189-191-193-
080540-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOND CALHOUN CHAMPAIGN
CLARK CLAY CLINTON
COLES CRAWFORD CUMBERLAND
DOUGLAS EDGAR EDWARDS
EFFINGHAM FAYETTE HAMILTON
JASPER JEFFERSON JERSEY
LAWRENCE MADISON MARION
MOULTRIE RICHLAND ST. CLAIR
SHELBY VERMILION WABASH
WASHINGTON WAYNE WHITE
$$
INC051-125-129-163-173-080540-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GIBSON PIKE POSEY
VANDERBURGH WARRICK
$$
MOC007-019-027-113-139-183-189-219-510-080540-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AUDRAIN BOONE CALLAWAY
LINCOLN MONTGOMERY ST. CHARLES
ST. LOUIS WARREN
MISSOURI INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
ST. LOUIS CITY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 260
VALID 080240Z - 080340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 751
..JEWELL..05/08/09
ATTN...WFO...LSX...ILX...PAH...IND...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 260
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC001-005-009-013-017-019-021-023-025-027-029-033-035-041-045-
047-049-051-061-065-079-081-083-101-115-117-119-121-129-135-137-
139-147-149-159-163-167-169-171-173-183-185-189-191-193-
080340-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS BOND BROWN
CALHOUN CASS CHAMPAIGN
CHRISTIAN CLARK CLAY
CLINTON COLES CRAWFORD
CUMBERLAND DOUGLAS EDGAR
EDWARDS EFFINGHAM FAYETTE
GREENE HAMILTON JASPER
JEFFERSON JERSEY LAWRENCE
MACON MACOUPIN MADISON
MARION MENARD MONTGOMERY
MORGAN MOULTRIE PIATT
PIKE RICHLAND ST. CLAIR
SANGAMON SCHUYLER SCOTT
SHELBY VERMILION WABASH
WASHINGTON WAYNE WHITE
$$
INC021-027-045-051-055-083-101-107-119-121-125-129-133-153-157-
163-165-167-171-173-080340-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLAY DAVIESS FOUNTAIN
GIBSON GREENE KNOX
MARTIN MONTGOMERY OWEN
PARKE PIKE POSEY
PUTNAM SULLIVAN TIPPECANOE
VANDERBURGH VERMILLION VIGO
WARREN WARRICK
$$
MOC007-019-027-103-111-113-127-137-139-163-173-183-189-205-219-
510-080340-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AUDRAIN BOONE CALLAWAY
KNOX LEWIS LINCOLN
MARION MONROE MONTGOMERY
PIKE RALLS ST. CHARLES
ST. LOUIS SHELBY WARREN
MISSOURI INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
ST. LOUIS CITY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 260
VALID 080125Z - 080240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..JEWELL..05/08/09
ATTN...WFO...LSX...ILX...PAH...IND...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 260
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC001-005-009-013-017-019-021-023-025-027-029-033-035-041-045-
047-049-051-061-065-079-081-083-101-115-117-119-121-129-135-137-
139-147-149-159-163-167-169-171-173-183-185-189-191-193-
080240-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS BOND BROWN
CALHOUN CASS CHAMPAIGN
CHRISTIAN CLARK CLAY
CLINTON COLES CRAWFORD
CUMBERLAND DOUGLAS EDGAR
EDWARDS EFFINGHAM FAYETTE
GREENE HAMILTON JASPER
JEFFERSON JERSEY LAWRENCE
MACON MACOUPIN MADISON
MARION MENARD MONTGOMERY
MORGAN MOULTRIE PIATT
PIKE RICHLAND ST. CLAIR
SANGAMON SCHUYLER SCOTT
SHELBY VERMILION WABASH
WASHINGTON WAYNE WHITE
$$
INC021-027-045-051-055-083-101-107-119-121-125-129-133-153-157-
163-165-167-171-173-080240-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLAY DAVIESS FOUNTAIN
GIBSON GREENE KNOX
MARTIN MONTGOMERY OWEN
PARKE PIKE POSEY
PUTNAM SULLIVAN TIPPECANOE
VANDERBURGH VERMILLION VIGO
WARREN WARRICK
$$
MOC007-019-027-103-111-113-127-137-139-163-173-183-189-205-219-
510-080240-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AUDRAIN BOONE CALLAWAY
KNOX LEWIS LINCOLN
MARION MONROE MONTGOMERY
PIKE RALLS ST. CHARLES
ST. LOUIS SHELBY WARREN
MISSOURI INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
ST. LOUIS CITY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 260
VALID 080045Z - 080140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..GUYER..05/08/09
ATTN...WFO...LSX...ILX...PAH...IND...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 260
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC001-005-009-013-017-019-021-023-025-027-029-033-035-041-045-
047-049-051-061-065-079-081-083-101-115-117-119-121-129-135-137-
139-147-149-159-163-167-169-171-173-183-185-189-191-193-
080140-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS BOND BROWN
CALHOUN CASS CHAMPAIGN
CHRISTIAN CLARK CLAY
CLINTON COLES CRAWFORD
CUMBERLAND DOUGLAS EDGAR
EDWARDS EFFINGHAM FAYETTE
GREENE HAMILTON JASPER
JEFFERSON JERSEY LAWRENCE
MACON MACOUPIN MADISON
MARION MENARD MONTGOMERY
MORGAN MOULTRIE PIATT
PIKE RICHLAND ST. CLAIR
SANGAMON SCHUYLER SCOTT
SHELBY VERMILION WABASH
WASHINGTON WAYNE WHITE
$$
INC021-027-045-051-055-083-101-107-119-121-125-129-133-153-157-
163-165-167-171-173-080140-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLAY DAVIESS FOUNTAIN
GIBSON GREENE KNOX
MARTIN MONTGOMERY OWEN
PARKE PIKE POSEY
PUTNAM SULLIVAN TIPPECANOE
VANDERBURGH VERMILLION VIGO
WARREN WARRICK
$$
MOC007-019-027-103-111-113-127-137-139-163-173-183-189-205-219-
510-080140-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AUDRAIN BOONE CALLAWAY
KNOX LEWIS LINCOLN
MARION MONROE MONTGOMERY
PIKE RALLS ST. CHARLES
ST. LOUIS SHELBY WARREN
MISSOURI INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
ST. LOUIS CITY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (90%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.