Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL5
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 265
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1205 PM CDT TUE MAY 6 2008
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
NORTHWEST IOWA
SOUTHWEST MINNESOTA
NORTHEAST NEBRASKA
SOUTHEAST SOUTH DAKOTA
EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 1205 PM UNTIL
700 PM CDT.
HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 60 MILES SOUTH
SOUTHWEST OF CHAMBERLAIN SOUTH DAKOTA TO 10 MILES EAST NORTHEAST
OF SPENCER IOWA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND
INTENSITY THIS AFTERNOON OVER WATCH AREA AS UPPER TROUGH APPROACHES
AND AIR MASS DESTABILIZES. COOL TEMPERATURES ALOFT AND STEEP LAPSE
RATES WILL POSE A THREAT OF LARGE HAIL IN STRONGER CELLS.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 28030.
...HART
SEL5
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 265
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1205 PM CDT TUE MAY 6 2008
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
NORTHWEST IOWA
SOUTHWEST MINNESOTA
NORTHEAST NEBRASKA
SOUTHEAST SOUTH DAKOTA
EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 1205 PM UNTIL
700 PM CDT.
HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 60 MILES SOUTH
SOUTHWEST OF CHAMBERLAIN SOUTH DAKOTA TO 10 MILES EAST NORTHEAST
OF SPENCER IOWA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND
INTENSITY THIS AFTERNOON OVER WATCH AREA AS UPPER TROUGH APPROACHES
AND AIR MASS DESTABILIZES. COOL TEMPERATURES ALOFT AND STEEP LAPSE
RATES WILL POSE A THREAT OF LARGE HAIL IN STRONGER CELLS.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 28030.
...HART
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW5
WW 265 SEVERE TSTM IA MN NE SD 061705Z - 070000Z
AXIS..60 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
60SSW 9V9/CHAMBERLAIN SD/ - 10ENE SPW/SPENCER IA/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM N/S /26NNE ANW - 47NW FOD/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 28030.
LAT...LON 43849976 44099497 42369497 42099976
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU5.
Watch 265 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 265
VALID 062240Z - 062340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 ESE ANW
TO 25 NE ONL TO 10 NW YKN TO 20 ENE SPW.
..JEWELL..05/06/08
ATTN...WFO...FSD...OAX...LBF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 265
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC021-025-027-035-041-047-059-063-091-093-109-119-141-143-147-
149-151-161-167-187-193-062340-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUENA VISTA CALHOUN CARROLL
CHEROKEE CLAY CRAWFORD
DICKINSON EMMET HUMBOLDT
IDA KOSSUTH LYON
O'BRIEN OSCEOLA PALO ALTO
PLYMOUTH POCAHONTAS SAC
SIOUX WEBSTER WOODBURY
$$
NEC003-017-027-043-051-089-107-139-149-173-179-062340-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANTELOPE BROWN CEDAR
DAKOTA DIXON HOLT
KNOX PIERCE ROCK
THURSTON WAYNE
$$
SDC027-083-127-135-062340-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLAY LINCOLN UNION
YANKTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 265
VALID 062130Z - 062240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NNE ANW
TO 25 NNW ONL TO 20 NE YKN TO 35 SW OTG TO 15 WSW FRM.
..JEWELL..05/06/08
ATTN...WFO...FSD...OAX...LBF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 265
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC021-035-041-059-093-119-141-143-149-167-193-062240-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUENA VISTA CHEROKEE CLAY
DICKINSON IDA LYON
O'BRIEN OSCEOLA PLYMOUTH
SIOUX WOODBURY
$$
NEC003-015-017-027-043-051-089-103-107-139-149-173-179-062240-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANTELOPE BOYD BROWN
CEDAR DAKOTA DIXON
HOLT KEYA PAHA KNOX
PIERCE ROCK THURSTON
WAYNE
$$
SDC009-027-083-127-135-062240-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BON HOMME CLAY LINCOLN
UNION YANKTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 265
VALID 062040Z - 062140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 NNE ANW
TO 45 SSW MHE TO 25 NE YKN TO 20 SE FSD TO 25 WSW OTG TO 45 E BKX.
..JEWELL..05/06/08
ATTN...WFO...FSD...OAX...LBF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 265
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC021-035-041-059-093-119-141-143-149-167-193-062140-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUENA VISTA CHEROKEE CLAY
DICKINSON IDA LYON
O'BRIEN OSCEOLA PLYMOUTH
SIOUX WOODBURY
$$
MNC033-063-101-105-062140-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COTTONWOOD JACKSON MURRAY
NOBLES
$$
NEC003-015-017-027-043-051-089-103-107-139-149-173-179-062140-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANTELOPE BOYD BROWN
CEDAR DAKOTA DIXON
HOLT KEYA PAHA KNOX
PIERCE ROCK THURSTON
WAYNE
$$
SDC009-023-027-053-083-127-135-062140-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BON HOMME CHARLES MIX CLAY
GREGORY LINCOLN UNION
YANKTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 265
VALID 061950Z - 062040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SW 9V9 TO
25 SE 9V9 TO 25 SE MHE TO 25 NW FSD TO 25 NE FSD TO 20 E BKX.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 797
..JEWELL..05/06/08
ATTN...WFO...FSD...OAX...LBF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 265
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC021-035-041-059-093-119-141-143-149-167-193-062040-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUENA VISTA CHEROKEE CLAY
DICKINSON IDA LYON
O'BRIEN OSCEOLA PLYMOUTH
SIOUX WOODBURY
$$
MNC033-063-101-105-117-133-062040-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COTTONWOOD JACKSON MURRAY
NOBLES PIPESTONE ROCK
$$
NEC003-015-017-027-043-051-089-103-107-139-149-173-179-062040-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANTELOPE BOYD BROWN
CEDAR DAKOTA DIXON
HOLT KEYA PAHA KNOX
PIERCE ROCK THURSTON
WAYNE
$$
SDC009-023-027-043-053-067-083-087-099-125-127-135-062040-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BON HOMME CHARLES MIX CLAY
DOUGLAS GREGORY HUTCHINSON
LINCOLN MCCOOK MINNEHAHA
TURNER UNION YANKTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 265
VALID 061815Z - 061940Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..JEWELL..05/06/08
ATTN...WFO...FSD...OAX...LBF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 265
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC021-035-041-059-093-119-141-143-149-167-193-061940-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUENA VISTA CHEROKEE CLAY
DICKINSON IDA LYON
O'BRIEN OSCEOLA PLYMOUTH
SIOUX WOODBURY
$$
MNC033-063-101-105-117-133-061940-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COTTONWOOD JACKSON MURRAY
NOBLES PIPESTONE ROCK
$$
NEC003-015-017-027-043-051-089-103-107-139-149-173-179-061940-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANTELOPE BOYD BROWN
CEDAR DAKOTA DIXON
HOLT KEYA PAHA KNOX
PIERCE ROCK THURSTON
WAYNE
$$
SDC003-009-015-023-027-035-043-053-061-067-079-083-087-097-099-
101-125-127-135-061940-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AURORA BON HOMME BRULE
CHARLES MIX CLAY DAVISON
DOUGLAS GREGORY HANSON
HUTCHINSON LAKE LINCOLN
MCCOOK MINER MINNEHAHA
MOODY TURNER UNION
YANKTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.