Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL6
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 266
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
250 PM CDT TUE MAY 6 2008
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
WESTERN IOWA
CENTRAL AND EASTERN NEBRASKA
EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 250 PM UNTIL
1000 PM CDT.
HAIL TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 65
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 60 MILES NORTH
NORTHWEST OF IMPERIAL NEBRASKA TO 15 MILES NORTHEAST OF DENISON
IOWA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED
WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 265...
DISCUSSION...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY THIS
AFTERNOON OVER PARTS OF NEB IN REGION OF STRONG INSTABILITY AND
RATHER WEAK CAP. THESE STORMS WILL LIKELY PRODUCE VERY LARGE HAIL
AND DAMAGING WINDS AS THEY TRACK EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD TOWARD WESTERN
IA.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 27030.
...HART
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW6
WW 266 SEVERE TSTM IA NE 061950Z - 070300Z
AXIS..65 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
60NNW IML/IMPERIAL NE/ - 15NE DNS/DENISON IA/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 55NM N/S /44ENE SNY - 49SW FOD/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..3 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27030.
LAT...LON 42250205 43069516 41189516 40380205
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU6.
Watch 266 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 266
VALID 070205Z - 070340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 SSE GRI
TO 5 S SPW.
REMAINING PORTION OF WW 266 WILL BE ALLOW TO EXPIRE AT 03Z.
..GUYER..05/07/08
ATTN...WFO...OAX...LBF...GID...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 266
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC085-133-155-165-070340-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HARRISON MONONA POTTAWATTAMIE
SHELBY
$$
NEC021-023-037-039-053-055-153-155-177-070340-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BURT BUTLER COLFAX
CUMING DODGE DOUGLAS
SARPY SAUNDERS WASHINGTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 266
VALID 070040Z - 070140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 E IML TO
15 SE LBF TO 25 N EAR TO 25 NW GRI TO 40 WSW OFK TO 20 WNW OFK TO
25 NE OFK TO 25 WNW SUX TO 10 ENE SLB.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 800
..JEWELL..05/07/08
ATTN...WFO...OAX...LBF...GID...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 266
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC085-133-155-165-070140-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HARRISON MONONA POTTAWATTAMIE
SHELBY
$$
NEC011-019-021-023-037-039-047-053-055-063-073-079-081-085-093-
119-121-125-137-141-143-153-155-167-177-185-070140-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOONE BUFFALO BURT
BUTLER COLFAX CUMING
DAWSON DODGE DOUGLAS
FRONTIER GOSPER HALL
HAMILTON HAYES HOWARD
MADISON MERRICK NANCE
PHELPS PLATTE POLK
SARPY SAUNDERS STANTON
WASHINGTON YORK
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 266
VALID 062340Z - 070040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 WNW IML
TO 20 E LBF TO 20 E BBW TO 25 S ONL TO 25 ESE ONL TO 10 ENE SLB.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 266
..JEWELL..05/06/08
ATTN...WFO...OAX...LBF...GID...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 266
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC085-133-155-165-070040-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HARRISON MONONA POTTAWATTAMIE
SHELBY
$$
NEC011-019-021-023-029-037-039-047-053-055-063-073-077-079-081-
085-093-111-119-121-125-137-141-143-153-155-163-167-177-183-185-
070040-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOONE BUFFALO BURT
BUTLER CHASE COLFAX
CUMING DAWSON DODGE
DOUGLAS FRONTIER GOSPER
GREELEY HALL HAMILTON
HAYES HOWARD LINCOLN
MADISON MERRICK NANCE
PHELPS PLATTE POLK
SARPY SAUNDERS SHERMAN
STANTON WASHINGTON WHEELER
YORK
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 266
VALID 062245Z - 062340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..JEWELL..05/06/08
ATTN...WFO...OAX...LBF...GID...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 266
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC085-133-155-165-062340-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HARRISON MONONA POTTAWATTAMIE
SHELBY
$$
NEC005-009-011-019-021-023-029-031-037-039-041-047-049-053-055-
063-069-071-073-075-077-079-081-085-091-093-101-111-113-115-117-
119-121-125-135-137-141-143-153-155-163-167-171-175-177-183-185-
062340-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARTHUR BLAINE BOONE
BUFFALO BURT BUTLER
CHASE CHERRY COLFAX
CUMING CUSTER DAWSON
DEUEL DODGE DOUGLAS
FRONTIER GARDEN GARFIELD
GOSPER GRANT GREELEY
HALL HAMILTON HAYES
HOOKER HOWARD KEITH
LINCOLN LOGAN LOUP
MCPHERSON MADISON MERRICK
NANCE PERKINS PHELPS
PLATTE POLK SARPY
SAUNDERS SHERMAN STANTON
THOMAS VALLEY WASHINGTON
WHEELER YORK
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 266
VALID 062130Z - 062240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..JEWELL..05/06/08
ATTN...WFO...OAX...LBF...GID...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 266
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC085-133-155-165-062240-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HARRISON MONONA POTTAWATTAMIE
SHELBY
$$
NEC005-009-011-019-021-023-029-031-037-039-041-047-049-053-055-
063-069-071-073-075-077-079-081-085-091-093-101-111-113-115-117-
119-121-125-135-137-141-143-153-155-163-167-171-175-177-183-185-
062240-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARTHUR BLAINE BOONE
BUFFALO BURT BUTLER
CHASE CHERRY COLFAX
CUMING CUSTER DAWSON
DEUEL DODGE DOUGLAS
FRONTIER GARDEN GARFIELD
GOSPER GRANT GREELEY
HALL HAMILTON HAYES
HOOKER HOWARD KEITH
LINCOLN LOGAN LOUP
MCPHERSON MADISON MERRICK
NANCE PERKINS PHELPS
PLATTE POLK SARPY
SAUNDERS SHERMAN STANTON
THOMAS VALLEY WASHINGTON
WHEELER YORK
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
High (>95%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (60%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (>95%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.