Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL7
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 267
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
330 PM CDT TUE MAY 6 2008
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO
WEST TEXAS
EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 330 PM UNTIL
1000 PM CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 50 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 20 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF
FORT STOCKTON TEXAS TO 30 MILES NORTHEAST OF CANNON AFB NEW
MEXICO. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED
WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 265...WW 266...
DISCUSSION...CU IS INCREASING ALONG SURFACE DRYLINE OVER EXTREME
SOUTHEAST NM. RECENT OBSERVED SOUNDING DATA MODIFIED WITH CURRENT
SURFACE OBS SUGGEST AIRMASS IS GENERALLY UNCAPPED WITH MLCAPE VALUES
OVER 1500 J/KG. A FEW SUPERCELLS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG THE
DRYLINE WITH A RISK OF VERY LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. A FEW
TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE THIS EVENING AS LOW LEVEL JET INCREASES.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26030.
...HART
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW7
WW 267 TORNADO NM TX 062030Z - 070300Z
AXIS..50 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
20SSE FST/FORT STOCKTON TX/ - 30NE CVS/CANNON AFB NM/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 45NM E/W /20SSE FST - 12NNW TXO/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..3 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26030.
LAT...LON 30640362 34680383 34680206 30640194
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU7.
Watch 267 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 267
VALID 070155Z - 070240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 802
WW 267 WILL LIKELY BE REPLACED WITHIN THE HOUR.
..GUYER..05/07/08
ATTN...WFO...ABQ...MAF...LUB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 267
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NMC009-025-041-070240-
NM
. NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CURRY LEA ROOSEVELT
$$
TXC003-017-069-079-103-115-135-165-219-279-301-317-329-369-371-
389-445-461-475-495-501-070240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDREWS BAILEY CASTRO
COCHRAN CRANE DAWSON
ECTOR GAINES HOCKLEY
LAMB LOVING MARTIN
MIDLAND PARMER PECOS
REEVES TERRY UPTON
WARD WINKLER YOAKUM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 267
VALID 070055Z - 070140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..GUYER..05/07/08
ATTN...WFO...ABQ...MAF...LUB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 267
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NMC009-025-041-070140-
NM
. NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CURRY LEA ROOSEVELT
$$
TXC003-017-069-079-103-115-135-165-219-279-301-317-329-369-371-
389-445-461-475-495-501-070140-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDREWS BAILEY CASTRO
COCHRAN CRANE DAWSON
ECTOR GAINES HOCKLEY
LAMB LOVING MARTIN
MIDLAND PARMER PECOS
REEVES TERRY UPTON
WARD WINKLER YOAKUM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 267
VALID 062335Z - 070040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 799
..GUYER..05/06/08
ATTN...WFO...ABQ...MAF...LUB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 267
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NMC009-025-041-070040-
NM
. NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CURRY LEA ROOSEVELT
$$
TXC003-017-069-079-103-115-135-165-219-279-301-317-329-369-371-
389-445-461-475-495-501-070040-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDREWS BAILEY CASTRO
COCHRAN CRANE DAWSON
ECTOR GAINES HOCKLEY
LAMB LOVING MARTIN
MIDLAND PARMER PECOS
REEVES TERRY UPTON
WARD WINKLER YOAKUM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 267
VALID 062225Z - 062340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..GUYER..05/06/08
ATTN...WFO...ABQ...MAF...LUB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 267
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NMC009-025-041-062340-
NM
. NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CURRY LEA ROOSEVELT
$$
TXC003-017-069-079-103-115-135-165-219-279-301-317-329-369-371-
389-445-461-475-495-501-062340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDREWS BAILEY CASTRO
COCHRAN CRANE DAWSON
ECTOR GAINES HOCKLEY
LAMB LOVING MARTIN
MIDLAND PARMER PECOS
REEVES TERRY UPTON
WARD WINKLER YOAKUM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
High (70%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (60%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (90%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.