Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL8
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 268
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
345 PM CDT TUE MAY 6 2008
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
WESTERN KANSAS
SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA
EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 345 PM UNTIL
1000 PM CDT.
HAIL TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES WEST
NORTHWEST OF MCCOOK NEBRASKA TO 55 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF DODGE
CITY KANSAS. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 265...WW 266...WW 267...
DISCUSSION...HIGH BASED CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO SPREAD
EASTWARD INTO WESTERN KS AND INTENSIFY RAPIDLY THIS AFTERNOON.
THESE STORMS ARE LIKELY TO POSE A THREAT OF VERY LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 25030.
...HART
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW8
WW 268 SEVERE TSTM KS NE 062045Z - 070300Z
AXIS..75 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
25WNW MCK/MCCOOK NE/ - 55SSE DDC/DODGE CITY KS/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 65NM E/W /21WNW MCK - 44NNE GAG/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25030.
LAT...LON 40339958 37029823 37020094 40330244
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU8.
Watch 268 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 268
VALID 070210Z - 070340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SE ITR TO
25 ENE MCK.
..GUYER..05/07/08
ATTN...WFO...DDC...GLD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 268
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC007-025-033-039-047-051-055-057-063-065-069-071-075-083-093-
097-101-109-119-135-137-145-151-165-171-179-185-193-195-199-203-
070340-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBER CLARK COMANCHE
DECATUR EDWARDS ELLIS
FINNEY FORD GOVE
GRAHAM GRAY GREELEY
HAMILTON HODGEMAN KEARNY
KIOWA LANE LOGAN
MEADE NESS NORTON
PAWNEE PRATT RUSH
SCOTT SHERIDAN STAFFORD
THOMAS TREGO WALLACE
WICHITA
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 268
VALID 070055Z - 070140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 801
..GUYER..05/07/08
ATTN...WFO...DDC...GLD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 268
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC007-023-025-033-039-047-051-055-057-063-065-069-071-075-083-
093-097-101-109-119-135-137-145-151-153-165-171-179-181-185-193-
195-199-203-070140-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBER CHEYENNE CLARK
COMANCHE DECATUR EDWARDS
ELLIS FINNEY FORD
GOVE GRAHAM GRAY
GREELEY HAMILTON HODGEMAN
KEARNY KIOWA LANE
LOGAN MEADE NESS
NORTON PAWNEE PRATT
RAWLINS RUSH SCOTT
SHERIDAN SHERMAN STAFFORD
THOMAS TREGO WALLACE
WICHITA
$$
NEC057-087-145-070140-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DUNDY HITCHCOCK RED WILLOW
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 268
VALID 062340Z - 070040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 801
..GUYER..05/06/08
ATTN...WFO...DDC...GLD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 268
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC007-023-025-033-039-047-051-055-057-063-065-069-071-075-083-
093-097-101-109-119-135-137-145-151-153-165-171-179-181-185-193-
195-199-203-070040-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBER CHEYENNE CLARK
COMANCHE DECATUR EDWARDS
ELLIS FINNEY FORD
GOVE GRAHAM GRAY
GREELEY HAMILTON HODGEMAN
KEARNY KIOWA LANE
LOGAN MEADE NESS
NORTON PAWNEE PRATT
RAWLINS RUSH SCOTT
SHERIDAN SHERMAN STAFFORD
THOMAS TREGO WALLACE
WICHITA
$$
NEC057-087-145-070040-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DUNDY HITCHCOCK RED WILLOW
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 268
VALID 062225Z - 062340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..GUYER..05/06/08
ATTN...WFO...DDC...GLD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 268
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC007-023-025-033-039-047-051-055-057-063-065-069-071-075-083-
093-097-101-109-119-135-137-145-151-153-165-171-179-181-185-193-
195-199-203-062340-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBER CHEYENNE CLARK
COMANCHE DECATUR EDWARDS
ELLIS FINNEY FORD
GOVE GRAHAM GRAY
GREELEY HAMILTON HODGEMAN
KEARNY KIOWA LANE
LOGAN MEADE NESS
NORTON PAWNEE PRATT
RAWLINS RUSH SCOTT
SHERIDAN SHERMAN STAFFORD
THOMAS TREGO WALLACE
WICHITA
$$
NEC057-087-145-062340-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DUNDY HITCHCOCK RED WILLOW
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
High (70%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (90%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.