Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL1
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 271
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
440 PM EDT FRI MAY 8 2009
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
PARTS OF NORTHEAST ARKANSAS
SMALL PART OF SOUTHERN KENTUCKY
BOOTHEEL OF MISSOURI
MUCH OF TENNESSEE
SMALL PART OF WESTERN VIRGINIA
EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY AFTERNOON FROM 440 PM UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 45 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 20 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF
WALNUT RIDGE ARKANSAS TO 35 MILES NORTHEAST OF BRISTOL TENNESSEE.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 267...WW 268...WW
269...WW 270...
DISCUSSION...STRONG VEERING SHEAR PROFILES COUPLE WITH A MDTLY
UNSTABLE VERY MOIST AIR MASS PROVIDING FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR
SUPERCELL DEVELOPMENT. IN ADDITION TO LARGE HAIL...TORNADOES WILL
BE POSSIBLE ANY SUPERCELL BOTH ALONG OLD OUTFLOW BOUNDARY AND IN
WARM SECTOR.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
...HALES
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW1
WW 271 TORNADO AR KY MO TN VA 082040Z - 090400Z
AXIS..45 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
20SSW ARG/WALNUT RIDGE AR/ - 35NE TRI/BRISTOL TN/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 40NM N/S /16SSW ARG - 25NNE HMV/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
LAT...LON 36509106 37478194 36188194 35209106
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU1.
Watch 271 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 271
VALID 090235Z - 090340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 NNW HSS
TO 35 ENE BNA TO 50 NE MKL TO 50 SSW JBR.
..GUYER..05/09/09
ATTN...WFO...MEG...LMK...JKL...MRX...OHX...RLX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 271
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC021-031-055-093-111-090340-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLAY CRAIGHEAD GREENE
MISSISSIPPI POINSETT
$$
KYC013-025-051-071-095-109-119-121-125-131-133-147-189-193-195-
199-203-231-235-090340-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BELL BREATHITT CLAY
FLOYD HARLAN JACKSON
KNOTT KNOX LAUREL
LESLIE LETCHER MCCREARY
OWSLEY PERRY PIKE
PULASKI ROCKCASTLE WAYNE
WHITLEY
$$
MOC069-155-090340-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DUNKLIN PEMISCOT
$$
TNC013-017-025-027-033-045-049-053-057-063-067-079-083-087-095-
097-111-125-131-133-137-147-151-161-165-173-183-090340-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CAMPBELL CARROLL CLAIBORNE
CLAY CROCKETT DYER
FENTRESS GIBSON GRAINGER
HAMBLEN HANCOCK HENRY
HOUSTON JACKSON LAKE
LAUDERDALE MACON MONTGOMERY
OBION OVERTON PICKETT
ROBERTSON SCOTT STEWART
SUMNER UNION WEAKLEY
$$
VAC027-051-105-195-720-090340-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUCHANAN DICKENSON LEE
WISE
VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
NORTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 271
VALID 082340Z - 090040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..GUYER..05/08/09
ATTN...WFO...MEG...LMK...JKL...MRX...OHX...RLX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 271
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC021-031-055-093-111-090040-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLAY CRAIGHEAD GREENE
MISSISSIPPI POINSETT
$$
KYC013-025-051-071-095-109-119-121-125-131-133-147-189-193-195-
199-203-231-235-090040-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BELL BREATHITT CLAY
FLOYD HARLAN JACKSON
KNOTT KNOX LAUREL
LESLIE LETCHER MCCREARY
OWSLEY PERRY PIKE
PULASKI ROCKCASTLE WAYNE
WHITLEY
$$
MOC069-155-090040-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DUNKLIN PEMISCOT
$$
TNC001-003-005-007-009-013-015-017-021-023-025-027-031-033-035-
037-039-041-043-045-049-053-057-061-063-067-075-077-079-081-083-
085-087-089-093-095-097-101-105-107-111-113-117-119-121-123-125-
129-131-133-135-137-141-143-145-147-149-151-153-155-159-161-165-
167-169-173-175-177-183-185-187-189-090040-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDERSON BEDFORD BENTON
BLEDSOE BLOUNT CAMPBELL
CANNON CARROLL CHEATHAM
CHESTER CLAIBORNE CLAY
COFFEE CROCKETT CUMBERLAND
DAVIDSON DECATUR DEKALB
DICKSON DYER FENTRESS
GIBSON GRAINGER GRUNDY
HAMBLEN HANCOCK HAYWOOD
HENDERSON HENRY HICKMAN
HOUSTON HUMPHREYS JACKSON
JEFFERSON KNOX LAKE
LAUDERDALE LEWIS LOUDON
MCMINN MACON MADISON
MARSHALL MAURY MEIGS
MONROE MONTGOMERY MORGAN
OBION OVERTON PERRY
PICKETT PUTNAM RHEA
ROANE ROBERTSON RUTHERFORD
SCOTT SEQUATCHIE SEVIER
SMITH STEWART SUMNER
TIPTON TROUSDALE UNION
VAN BUREN WARREN WEAKLEY
WHITE WILLIAMSON WILSON
$$
VAC027-051-105-195-720-090040-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUCHANAN DICKENSON LEE
WISE
VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
NORTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 271
VALID 082235Z - 082340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..GUYER..05/08/09
ATTN...WFO...MEG...LMK...JKL...MRX...OHX...RLX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 271
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC021-031-055-093-111-082340-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLAY CRAIGHEAD GREENE
MISSISSIPPI POINSETT
$$
KYC001-013-025-051-053-057-071-095-109-119-121-125-131-133-147-
171-189-193-195-199-203-207-231-235-082340-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR BELL BREATHITT
CLAY CLINTON CUMBERLAND
FLOYD HARLAN JACKSON
KNOTT KNOX LAUREL
LESLIE LETCHER MCCREARY
MONROE OWSLEY PERRY
PIKE PULASKI ROCKCASTLE
RUSSELL WAYNE WHITLEY
$$
MOC069-155-082340-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DUNKLIN PEMISCOT
$$
TNC001-003-005-007-009-013-015-017-021-023-025-027-031-033-035-
037-039-041-043-045-049-053-057-061-063-067-075-077-079-081-083-
085-087-089-093-095-097-101-105-107-111-113-117-119-121-123-125-
129-131-133-135-137-141-143-145-147-149-151-153-155-159-161-165-
167-169-173-175-177-183-185-187-189-082340-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDERSON BEDFORD BENTON
BLEDSOE BLOUNT CAMPBELL
CANNON CARROLL CHEATHAM
CHESTER CLAIBORNE CLAY
COFFEE CROCKETT CUMBERLAND
DAVIDSON DECATUR DEKALB
DICKSON DYER FENTRESS
GIBSON GRAINGER GRUNDY
HAMBLEN HANCOCK HAYWOOD
HENDERSON HENRY HICKMAN
HOUSTON HUMPHREYS JACKSON
JEFFERSON KNOX LAKE
LAUDERDALE LEWIS LOUDON
MCMINN MACON MADISON
MARSHALL MAURY MEIGS
MONROE MONTGOMERY MORGAN
OBION OVERTON PERRY
PICKETT PUTNAM RHEA
ROANE ROBERTSON RUTHERFORD
SCOTT SEQUATCHIE SEVIER
SMITH STEWART SUMNER
TIPTON TROUSDALE UNION
VAN BUREN WARREN WEAKLEY
WHITE WILLIAMSON WILSON
$$
VAC027-051-105-195-720-082340-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUCHANAN DICKENSON LEE
WISE
VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
NORTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.