Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL6
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 276
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
355 PM MDT TUE JUN 4 2013
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
EASTERN COLORADO
WESTERN KANSAS
* EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 355 PM UNTIL
1100 PM MDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
SEVERAL LARGE HAIL EVENTS LIKELY WITH A FEW VERY LARGE HAIL
EVENTS TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
SEVERAL DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH LIKELY
A FEW TORNADOES POSSIBLE
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 90
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 45 MILES NORTH
NORTHWEST OF GOODLAND KANSAS TO 5 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF ELKHART
KANSAS. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED
WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
&&
DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORM INITIATION IS UNDERWAY NEAR THE COLORADO
FRONT RANGE...AND FURTHER DEVELOPMENT AND UPSCALE CONVECTIVE GROWTH
IS EXPECTED LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...AS IT SPREADS EASTWARD
INTO THE HIGH PLAINS...WITHIN A MODERATELY UNSTABLE AND STRONGLY
SHEARED ENVIRONMENT. A FEW SUPERCELLS ARE LIKELY BEFORE ACTIVITY
DEVELOPS INTO A CONSOLIDATING AND ORGANIZING CLUSTER...ACCOMPANIED
BY AN INCREASING RISK FOR DAMAGING WIND GUSTS...IN ADDITION TO THE
RISK FOR LARGE HAIL. ONE OR TWO...MAINLY RELATIVELY
SHORT-LIVED...TORNADOES MAY NOT BE COMPLETELY OUT OF THE QUESTION.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 29020.
...KERR
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW6
WW 276 SEVERE TSTM CO KS 042155Z - 050500Z
AXIS..90 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
45NNW GLD/GOODLAND KS/ - 5ESE EHA/ELKHART KS/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 80NM E/W /38NNW GLD - 41W LBL/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 29020.
LAT...LON 39950033 36950019 36950344 39950372
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU6.
Watch 276 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 276
VALID 050439Z - 050540Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 5 S LBL TO
10 NNW DDC.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE SPC MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 962.
..EDWARDS..06/05/13
ATTN...WFO...PUB...GLD...BOU...DDC...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 276
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC069-119-175-050540-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GRAY MEADE SEWARD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 276
VALID 050325Z - 050440Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 W EHA TO
40 ESE LAA TO 40 NNE LAA TO 15 S LIC.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE SPC MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 960.
..EDWARDS..06/05/13
ATTN...WFO...PUB...GLD...BOU...DDC...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 276
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
COC017-063-125-050440-
CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHEYENNE KIT CARSON YUMA
$$
KSC023-039-055-063-067-069-071-075-081-093-101-109-119-129-153-
171-175-179-181-187-189-193-199-203-050440-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHEYENNE DECATUR FINNEY
GOVE GRANT GRAY
GREELEY HAMILTON HASKELL
KEARNY LANE LOGAN
MEADE MORTON RAWLINS
SCOTT SEWARD SHERIDAN
SHERMAN STANTON STEVENS
THOMAS WALLACE WICHITA
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 276
VALID 050229Z - 050340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
PER COORD W/WFO PUB -- SERN CO PORTIONS WW MAY BE RELEASED WITHIN
NEXT HOUR IF CURRENT CONVECTIVE/STABILITY TRENDS CONTINUE.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE SPC MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 960.
..EDWARDS..06/05/13
ATTN...WFO...PUB...GLD...BOU...DDC...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 276
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
COC009-011-017-025-039-061-063-071-073-089-099-121-125-050340-
CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BACA BENT CHEYENNE
CROWLEY ELBERT KIOWA
KIT CARSON LAS ANIMAS LINCOLN
OTERO PROWERS WASHINGTON
YUMA
$$
KSC023-039-055-063-067-069-071-075-081-093-101-109-119-129-153-
171-175-179-181-187-189-193-199-203-050340-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHEYENNE DECATUR FINNEY
GOVE GRANT GRAY
GREELEY HAMILTON HASKELL
KEARNY LANE LOGAN
MEADE MORTON RAWLINS
SCOTT SEWARD SHERIDAN
SHERMAN STANTON STEVENS
THOMAS WALLACE WICHITA
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 276
VALID 050140Z - 050240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE SPC MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 959.
..EDWARDS..06/05/13
ATTN...WFO...PUB...GLD...BOU...DDC...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 276
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
COC009-011-017-025-039-061-063-071-073-089-099-121-125-050240-
CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BACA BENT CHEYENNE
CROWLEY ELBERT KIOWA
KIT CARSON LAS ANIMAS LINCOLN
OTERO PROWERS WASHINGTON
YUMA
$$
KSC023-039-055-063-067-069-071-075-081-093-101-109-119-129-153-
171-175-179-181-187-189-193-199-203-050240-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHEYENNE DECATUR FINNEY
GOVE GRANT GRAY
GREELEY HAMILTON HASKELL
KEARNY LANE LOGAN
MEADE MORTON RAWLINS
SCOTT SEWARD SHERIDAN
SHERMAN STANTON STEVENS
THOMAS WALLACE WICHITA
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 276
VALID 050033Z - 050140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE SPC MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 959.
..EDWARDS..06/05/13
ATTN...WFO...PUB...GLD...BOU...DDC...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 276
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
COC009-011-017-025-039-061-063-071-073-089-099-121-125-050140-
CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BACA BENT CHEYENNE
CROWLEY ELBERT KIOWA
KIT CARSON LAS ANIMAS LINCOLN
OTERO PROWERS WASHINGTON
YUMA
$$
KSC023-039-055-063-067-069-071-075-081-093-101-109-119-129-153-
171-175-179-181-187-189-193-199-203-050140-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHEYENNE DECATUR FINNEY
GOVE GRANT GRAY
GREELEY HAMILTON HASKELL
KEARNY LANE LOGAN
MEADE MORTON RAWLINS
SCOTT SEWARD SHERIDAN
SHERMAN STANTON STEVENS
THOMAS WALLACE WICHITA
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 276
VALID 042330Z - 050040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..EDWARDS..06/04/13
ATTN...WFO...PUB...GLD...BOU...DDC...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 276
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
COC009-011-017-025-039-061-063-071-073-089-099-121-125-050040-
CO
. COLORADO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BACA BENT CHEYENNE
CROWLEY ELBERT KIOWA
KIT CARSON LAS ANIMAS LINCOLN
OTERO PROWERS WASHINGTON
YUMA
$$
KSC023-039-055-063-067-069-071-075-081-093-101-109-119-129-153-
171-175-179-181-187-189-193-199-203-050040-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHEYENNE DECATUR FINNEY
GOVE GRANT GRAY
GREELEY HAMILTON HASKELL
KEARNY LANE LOGAN
MEADE MORTON RAWLINS
SCOTT SEWARD SHERIDAN
SHERMAN STANTON STEVENS
THOMAS WALLACE WICHITA
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
High (70%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (10%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
High (70%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (>95%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.